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MDAA Alert:
Walking on Sunshine
November 26, 2019
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and South Korean President Moon Jae In at the DMZ
on April 27, 2018.
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Dear Members and Friends,
a
On the Korean Peninsula, North Korea has reached the apex in its charm offensive,
maxing out its options and still not able to get the reaction from the West it seeks.
Lifting crippling economic sanctions, recognition as a nuclear state, eliminating
U.S. strategic presence on the Peninsula, and preserving its dictatorship are North
Korea's desires. This repetitive cycle of charm offensives lead by North Korea's
Kim dynasty, coming to the negotiation table to gain as much or little as they
can and then breaking from the table to advance new military technology in capacity
and capability to threaten the Peninsula and the region with the goal to force Western
reaction to their desires, is forever embedded in their foundation as a nation from
the beginning of their nation in 1948.
North Korea came into existence with the avid support of the Soviet Union and its
military weapons and in 1950 North Korea tried to unify the Korean Peninsula and
North Korea today remains reliant on Russian support for their new missile systems
with advanced capabilities to include maneuvering warheads. In 1950, China kept
North Korea in existence by sending in divisions of military forces to save them
and pushing back the United Nations Force to the 38th parallel. China keeps North
Korea in existence today as a buffer state and like North Korea has no appetite
for the reunification of Korea and has a mutual dislike of U.S. strategic presence
on the Korean Peninsula.
North Korea is walking all over the Republic of Korea (ROK) President Moon Jai-in's
Sunshine Policy of matching charm with charm, finding all the seams outside of U.S.
denuclearization talks possible with Kim Jong Un and has now becoming seen as a
failure to resolve the denuclearization of North Korea. Expectations of changing
dynamics are soon to begin by Kim Jong Un on January 1, New Year's day, with speeches
and rocket works followed by April 15th North Korea's Day of the Sun. Intercontinental
ballistic missile (ICBM) testing and nuclear testing, backed by parades of increased
missile capacity, are North Korea's resolve actions to keep the political survival
within its state and to get driven responses by the United States, along with gambling
on a reaction from a U.S. President in an election year.
The United States ability to defend its homeland and its forces on Peninsula, as
well as in the region, against these North Korean increasing new technologies is
paramount to providing stability for continued diplomacy, giving confidence to the
populations threatened by North Korea, and to change the true calculus, not the
rhetoric, of North Korea to escalate and use these weapons in conflict.
Earlier this year, the United States delayed its intended capacity increase of Ground
Based Interceptors (GBIs) for the ballistic missile defense (BMD) of the homeland
to be deployed from 44 to 64 by 2025 [[link removed]]
with the cancelation of the Redesigned Kill Vehicle (RKV) program [[link removed]].
This reduction of U.S. homeland missile defense capacity increases risk of defeating
an overmatch of North Korean nuclear ICBMs that continue to be in production and
coupled with a change in North Korean dynamics and brings forward a serious concern
to the national security of the United States. There are 20 new silos being constructed
in Alaska, as well as the introduction of a next generation missile defense system,
the "Next Generation Interceptor (NGI) [[link removed]]"
to be deployed in the 2030 timeframe which currently is not funded or approved by
Congress. The risk assessment by the United States government 2019 Missile Defense
Review (MDR) requested 64 GBIs by 2023 for the defense of the United States homeland
against North Korea, which is not being fulfilled. This marks a 31% reduction of
missile defense capability for the United States homeland against a North Korean
nuclear ICBM threat that is growing and changing dynamics to be more aggressive
with its ballistic missiles and nuclear development.
The growing North Korean threat in capacity, capability, and intent of attaining
50 nuclear ICBMs will change its negotiating position from denuclearization to
arms control reduction, validating its nuclear state and solidifying its population
in its self-defense that goes beyond with purpose to overmatch limited U.S. homeland
defense capacity, but also regional missile defense capacity and capabilities on
the Peninsula, in Japan, and on Guam. If the United States cannot adequately protect
with redundancy of close to 99% reliability of the homeland from an overmatch of
North Korean nuclear ballistic missiles, it certainly cannot assure and provide
regional defense to its forces and allies nor can it realistically negotiate denuclearization
with North Korea.
It is a national security priority, a United States Congressional priority, and
a United States Presidential priority to address the 31% reduction of our intended
GBI force and rapidly find solutions to increase capabilities for the defense of
our population from North Korea.
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Respectfully,
Riki Ellison
Chairman and Founder
Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance
Click Here to Join MDAA [[link removed]]
MDAA is a non-profit, non-partisan tax-exempt 501(c) (4) organization. Our mission
is to make the world safer by advocating for the development and deployment of missile
defense systems to defend the United States and its allies against missile threats.
We are a membership-funded organization that does not advocate on behalf of any
specific system, technology, architecture or entity. Founded in 2002, MDAA is the
only organization in existence whose primary mission is to recruit, organize, and
mobilize proponents to advocate for the critical need of missile defense. Visit
our website www.missiledefenseadvocacy.org [[link removed]]
for more information.
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Alexandria, VA 22134
Phone: (703) 299-0060
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