From Health Affairs Sunday Update <[email protected]>
Subject AHEAD OF PRINT: National Health Expenditure Projections, 2021–30
Date April 3, 2022 1:01 PM
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Forefront: Health Care is Now Healthcare
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Sunday, April 3, 2022 | The Latest Research, Commentary, And News From
Health Affairs

Dear John,

The Health Affairs team is growing and looking to fill the Development
Assistant role
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which will work in collaboration with key staff to meet Health
Affairs' annual fiscal goals. Apply today.

What's New At Health Affairs

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A new ahead-of-print article

published this week features the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid
Services' (CMS) annual projections of national health expenditures.

John Poisal and colleagues estimate national health spending growth will
moderate from 9.7 percent in 2020 to 4.2 percent in 2021 as COVID-19
impacts wane.

They expect the share of gross domestic product devoted to health to
decline from 19.7 percent in 2020 to just over 18 percent in the
2022-24 period.

"Although a normalization of health spending and the economy underlie
this projection, only time will tell how normal the next decade is,"
Poisal and colleagues conclude.

For additional context on national health care spending, revisit the
national health expenditures report

by Micah Hartman and colleagues, which reveals a nearly 10 percent
increase in health spending in 2020 due almost entirely to growing
federal expenditures associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Looking for more analysis on health care spending and value? Sign up for
the Health Spending newsletter to get insights delivered straight to
your inbox.

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Community Part 1 - Mental Health Meets Primary Care

Sania Ali and Avni Kulkarni interview two members of the Behavioral
Health Integration (BHI) Task Force about the current state of our
mental health care system and policy solutions.

Listen Here

Elsewhere At Health Affairs

This week in Health Affairs Forefront, authors covered topics including
national expenditure projections, ACA Marketplace enrollment, and
emergency boarding.

In evaluating the national expenditure projections, George Miller and
coauthors explain that the longest-lasting financial impacts of the
pandemic

may be accelerations of shifts that were already underway.

Michael Chernew adds to the topic by arguing for policy changes that can
improve the value of health care dollars
that
are spent.

Chernew and coauthors also write about two strategies to limit health
care prices:

comprehensive price caps supported by rate review and out-of-network
price caps.

Katie Keith examines the impact of enhanced subsidies

under the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) and the continued importance
of Marketplace coverage during the pandemic.

Lisa Simpson and Karen DeSalvo examine the innovations that transpired
during the pandemic, such as telehealth services, and how to sustain the
next generation of innovation beyond COVID-19
.

Editor-in-Chief Alan Weil also had a bit of fun on April Fool's Day
evaluating the stylistic merits of "healthcare" over "health care."

In a new podcast episode of Health Affairs This Week, Ellen Bayer and
Chris Fleming dissect the latest national health spending projections

published this week from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.

Featured This Week

National Health Spending Projected To Hit $6.8 Trillion by 2030

Health Affairs Editorial

National Health Expenditure Projections And A Few Ways We Might Avoid
Our Fate

Michael E. Chernew

National Health Expenditures Post COVID: Hints Of A New Normal?

George Miller et al.

 

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Seth Berkowitz Puts A Figure To Social Determinant Health Spending

Listen to Health Affairs Editor-in-Chief Alan Weil interview Seth
Berkowitz from the University of North Carolina School of Medicine about
social determinants of health benefit programs, health spending, and
non-emergency medical transportation.

Listen Here

 

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contributing to the leading research and analysis on improving health
policy and health care.

Our team contains a deep bench of experienced professionals in health
policy, dedicated to making health care better. Below are the current
job openings at Health Affairs:

* Sales And Partnerships Manager

* Development Assistant

 

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