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Daily News Brief
November 21, 2019
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Top of the Agenda
U.S. Congress Sends Hong Kong Bills to Trump
The House of Representatives overwhelmingly passed two bills (Reuters) in support of Hong Kong protesters and sent them to President Donald J. Trump to sign into law. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi rebuked the measures (SCMP), saying they “have seriously poisoned the atmosphere” of U.S.-China relations.
 
The bills advanced as Washington has also sought to de-escalate trade tensions with Beijing. One bill would require U.S. sanctions (NYT) on officials who abuse human rights in Hong Kong and would also mandate annual certifications of Hong Kong’s autonomy in order for it to keep trade privileges. The second bill would ban exports of some crowd-control weapons to Hong Kong. China’s state-owned People’s Daily wrote on Thursday (CNN) that China would take “effective measures to resolutely counteract” the legislation.
Analysis
“An estimated $38 billion in trade between Hong Kong and the U.S. could be jeopardized,” Iain Marlow and Daniel Flatley write for Bloomberg.
 
“The legislation will further fuel the narrative in Chinese domestic policy circles that the U.S. is attempting to infringe on the sovereignty of China in terms of its internal economic and political affairs,” Eswar Prasad, former head of the International Monetary Fund’s China division, told the New York Times.
 
CFR looks at what’s in the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act.
Why It Matters: ‘STEMinism’
The latest episode of CFR’s new podcast unpacks the global gender gap in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education and careers.

 

Pacific Rim
China’s Coal Production Continues to Expand
A new report [PDF] by Global Energy Monitor shows China’s coal production grew by forty-three gigawatts in the past two years, roughly the size of Germany’s entire coal-producing capacity. Some in China’s energy industry are pushing for the country’s coal cap to rise (WaPo) by nearly 30 percent in its next five-year plan.

 

South and Central Asia
Sri Lanka’s New President Names His Brother Prime Minister
President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s brother Mahinda was sworn in as prime minister (Al Jazeera) today. The two brothers helped defeat the Tamil Tigers militant group a decade ago.
 
On the Asia Unbound blog, CFR’s Alyssa Ayres lays out the geopolitical consequences of Sri Lanka’s election.
 
Afghanistan: The Taliban overtook the self-proclaimed Islamic State to become the world’s deadliest terrorist group in 2018, according to the Institute for Economics and Peace’s Global Terrorism Index. Terrorism-related deaths attributed to the Taliban accounted for 38 percent of the global total.

 

Middle East and North Africa
Israel’s Gantz Fails to Form Government
The leader of Israel’s Blue and White party, Benny Gantz, was unable to form a governing coalition (Jerusalem Post) before a deadline last night and returned the mandate to Israel’s legislature. If no lawmaker earns majority support to form a government in twenty-one days, Israel will hold a new election.
 
Egypt: Exiled Egyptian whistleblower Mohamed Ali, whose videos denouncing government corruption sparked street protests two months ago, announced plans to unite opposition groups (Guardian) in an effort to oust President Abdel Fatah al-Sisi.

 

Sub-Saharan Africa
France Criticizes Saudi Arabia Over West Africa Funding
France’s armed forces minister said that Riyadh has not followed through (Reuters) on a 2017 pledge to provide $110 million for the G5 Sahel force, aimed at countering extremism in the region.
 
On the Africa in Transition blog, CFR’s John Campbell writes that foreign troops fighting jihadis in the Sahel are facing criticism as terrorism grows.
 
Nigeria: Former Attorney General Mohammed Adoke was arrested in Dubai (Al Jazeera) by Interpol as part of an anticorruption probe into the 2011 sale of a Nigerian offshore oil field.

 

Europe
Greece to Shut Some Migrant Camps
The Greek government announced plans to relocate between one thousand and five thousand migrants from overcrowded island camps to new closed centers (BBC) aimed at deterring asylum seekers.

 

Americas
Canada’s Trudeau Shakes Up Cabinet
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau appointed seven new members (CBC) to his cabinet and moved former Foreign Minister Chrystia Freeland to serve as deputy prime minister and minister of intergovernmental affairs.

Guatemala: The United States has reportedly begun interviews with asylum seekers at its southern border with the aim of deporting some to Guatemala (BuzzFeed) under a “safe third country” agreement.

CFR looks at whether “safe third country” agreements can resolve the asylum crisis.

 

United States
Diplomat: Staffers Knew of Ukraine Quid Pro Quo
In congressional testimony, U.S. Ambassador to the European Union Gordon Sondland said that many officials were aware (CNN) of efforts by the president to condition U.S. assistance to Ukraine on an investigation by Kyiv into the Biden family.

 

Global
Fossil Fuel Production Inconsistent With Emissions Targets
Governments are currently planning to produce around 50 percent more fossil fuels in 2030 than the maximum level that would still allow the world to limit global warming to 2°C above preindustrial levels, and 120 percent more than would limit warming to 1.5°C, according to a new report by the United Nations and several environmental groups.
 
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