Forefront: Authors discuss the CMS health spending projections
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Monday, March 28, 2022 | The Latest Research, Commentary, And News From
Health Affairs
Dear John,
****A new Health Affairs paper published today makes annual projections
about national health expenditures
through 2030.
[link removed]
Health Expenditures 2021-30
A new ahead-of-print article published today features the Centers for
Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) annual projections of national
health expenditures.
John Poisal and colleagues estimate national health spending growth will
moderate from 9.7 percent in 2020 to 4.2 percent in 2021 as COVID-19
impacts wane.
They expect the share of gross domestic product devoted to health to
decline from 19.7 percent in 2020 to just over 18 percent in the
2022-24 period.
"Although a normalization of health spending and the economy underlie
this projection, only time will tell how normal the next decade is,"
Poisal and colleagues conclude.
Also on national health care spending, revisit the national health
expenditures report
by Micah Hartman and colleagues, which reveals a nearly 10 percent
increase in health spending in 2020 due almost entirely to growing
federal expenditures associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.
Looking for more analysis on health care spending and value? Sign up for
the Health Spending newsletter to get insights delivered straight to
your inbox.
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Elsewhere At Health Affairs
Today in Health Affairs Forefront, two articles discuss the newest
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) health spending
projections.
Michael Chernew argues that policy changes are needed to improve the
value of health care dollars
that are spent.
George Miller and coauthors explain that the longest lasting financial
impacts of the pandemic
may be accelerations of shifts that were already underway.
Daily Digest
National Health Expenditure Projections, 2021-30: Growth To Moderate
As COVID-19 Impacts Wane
John A. Poisal et al.
National Health Expenditure Projections And A Few Ways We Might Avoid
Our Fate
Michael Chernew
National Health Expenditures Post COVID: Hints Of A New Normal?
George Miller et al.
[link removed]
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