This Issue: Labor force yet to return to pre-pandemic levels, despite calls for more immigration
Fri,
Mar. 18th
Despite efforts by Congress to increase legal immigration in what some are calling a nationwide labor shortage, new analysis of government data by Steve Camarota and Karen Zeigler from the Center of Immigration Studies found that Americans have not yet returned to the labor force at pre-pandemic levels.
According to Camarota's analysis, the labor participation rate for working-age Americans (16-64) was only 73.2% -- down nearly a full percentage point from the pre-pandemic rate of 74.1%.
Perhaps the most startling finding from the CIS report is that the labor force participation rate is down by more than 5% since 2000 when 77.3% of working-age Americans held a job. If employers improved recruiting so the percentage of those Americans in the labor force returned to the 2000 level, there would be 7 million more American workers available for U.S. jobs.
SPENDING BILL ADDED MORE FOREIGN WORKERS
As I reported last week, the omnibus spending bill passed by Congress and signed into law by Pres. Joe Biden allowed for the near-doubling of H-2B guest worker visa program and reauthorized the EB-5 foreign investor visa program.
Additionally, House Democrats passed the America COMPETES Act earlier this year that would have added tens of thousands of new foreign workers each year, and Pres. Biden's Build Back Better legislation that passed the House before hitting resistance in the Senate would have added approximately 9.5 million additional foreign workers over the next 10 years.
But Congress isn't the only one calling for more foreign workers.
The U.S. Chamber of Commerce is among a number of business groups calling for more foreign workers. Just last week the Chamber called for a massive increase in legal immigration, saying that the country needs more foreign workers to fill an estimated 11.3 million open jobs. This is a high number, but there always are a minimum of several million job openings because of the churn of people changing jobs.
PLENTY OF AMERICANS TO FILL OPEN JOBS
But according to the CIS analysis, there are plenty of working-age Americans to fill these open jobs if employers are willing to properly train and pay Americans. Among their findings:
- The total number of working-age immigrants and U.S.-born not working -- unemployed or not in the labor force at all -- in the fourth quarter of 2021 was 60.6 million.
- In the fourth quarter of 2021, only 70.2 percent of U.S.-born Americans without a college degree were in the labor force, compared to 71.4 percent in 2019, 74.3 percent in 2007, and 76.4 percent in 2000.
- Among U.S.-born working-age Black American adults without a bachelor's degree, only 66.3 percent were in the labor force in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to 71 percent of U.S.-born whites and 72 percent of U.S.-born Hispanics.
You can read the full CIS' report by clicking here.
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CHRIS Chmielenski NumbersUSA Deputy Director |
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