Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
March 17, 2022
Top of the Agenda
ICJ Orders Russia to Immediately Suspend Military Operations in Ukraine
The International Court of Justice (ICJ), the United Nations’ top court for disputes between countries, ruled that Russia must immediately halt its military operations (Reuters) in Ukraine and that its justification for the invasion was unfounded. Russian forces yesterday bombed a theater (CNN) in the Ukrainian city of Mariupol where civilians were sheltering. Some survivors emerged from the building today.
 
Washington announced a new package of military aid to Ukraine that includes (NYT) antiaircraft missiles, anti-tank weapons, tactical drones, and small arms. After the announcement, U.S. President Joe Biden called Russian President Vladimir Putin (Reuters) a “war criminal.” The Kremlin called the comment “unforgivable” and said that the war is going “according to plan.”
Analysis
“Ukraine’s decision to rely on law [to prosecute the invasion] even as Russia has relied on brute force has raised the stakes of the confrontation. The conflict is not simply about the future of Ukraine; it is about the future of the global legal order as we know it,” Yale University’s Oona A. Hathaway writes for Foreign Affairs.

“Every additional weapons system that comes across the border from [North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)] countries—especially if they are Russian-made—risks the very sort of escalation Biden has been desperately seeking to avoid,” Foreign Policy’s Michael Hirsh writes.

CFR covers everything to know about the war in Ukraine.

Pacific Rim
Cambodia Convicts Nineteen Opposition Figures in Mass Trial
A Cambodian court delivered jail sentences ranging from five to ten years to the politicians and activists, some of whom were tried in absentia. A Human Rights Watch staffer called the charges baseless and politically motivated.
 
U.S./China: U.S. prosecutors charged five people (WaPo) with acting on behalf of the Chinese government to harass and spy on Chinese nationals in the United States who criticized Beijing.

South and Central Asia
India, Russia Weigh Rupee-Ruble Trade Arrangement
Officials from the countries are discussing (FT) a trade arrangement of their currencies. The move would help Indian exports to Russia continue despite international sanctions due to the war in Ukraine.
 
U.S./Afghanistan: The U.S. government announced (WaPo) that Afghan nationals living in the United States as of March 15 will be eligible for temporary protected status (TPS), which would protect them from deportation for eighteen months. The announcement is expected to affect around two thousand people.
 
This Backgrounder explains TPS.

Middle East and North Africa
UN Aid Conference Raises Only a Third of Funds Needed for Yemen
The conference sought pledges to fill a $4.3 billion funding gap for food aid in Yemen this year, but donors only committed around $1.3 billion (Al Jazeera).
 
UAE/Russia: In Moscow, the foreign minister of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, said Abu Dhabi seeks to cooperate with Russia (Reuters) on global energy security. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have so far resisted U.S. calls to boost their oil output to control rising prices.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Mali’s Military Government Orders French Broadcasters Off the Air
The junta claimed (AFP) that RFI and France 24 had falsely accused Mali’s army of committing abuses. They were still broadcasting as of this morning.
 
Kenya: Presidential hopeful Raila Odinga said he would try to renegotiate (Bloomberg) Kenya’s nearly $100 billion in foreign debt if elected.

Europe
Turkey’s Foreign Minister Urges End to War in Ukraine
After meeting with Russia’s top diplomat in Moscow, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said Ankara will continue to support efforts (Hurriyet) toward a cease-fire.
 
CFR’s Steven A. Cook unpacks Turkey’s stance on the war.

Americas
Honduran Judge Approves Extradition of Former President to U.S.
U.S. prosecutors indicted (AP) former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez on drug trafficking charges after he left office in February.
 
Chile: A guarantee of reproductive rights, including abortion, was included (Reuters) in Chile’s draft constitution, which would come into effect (BBC) if it is approved by the constitutional convention and nationwide referendum. Chile currently permits abortion only in cases of rape, danger to a woman’s life, and fetal inviability.

United States
Fed Raises Interest Rates, Signals Aggressive Hikes Will Continue
Amid concerns over inflation, the Federal Reserve voted to raise interest rates (WSJ) for the first time since 2018 and signaled it plans to do so six more times this year, which would be the fastest rate of increases in more than fifteen years.
 
In this webinar, CFR’s Roger W. Ferguson Jr. discusses inflation and the U.S. economic outlook.
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