Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
March 14, 2022
Top of the Agenda
New Round of Russia-Ukraine Talks Weigh Cease-Fire
Representatives from Russia and Ukraine began their fourth round of peace talks (Reuters) today. Meanwhile, senior U.S. and Chinese officials are meeting in Rome (Al Jazeera) to discuss the war in Ukraine, which China has refused to condemn. An unnamed U.S. official said Russia recently requested military aid from China, but Beijing dismissed it as “disinformation.” 

On Sunday, a Russian air strike hit a Ukrainian military base (RFE/RL) a few miles from Ukraine’s border with Poland, killing 35 people and injuring 134. Anti-war protests were held (AP) in Russia and in European capitals, including Berlin, London, and Warsaw. A Ukrainian presidential advisor said more than 2,500 residents of the port city of Mariupol have been killed (Reuters) as Russian shelling of Ukrainian cities continues.
Analysis
“Reports that [Russian President Vladimir] Putin asking [Chinese President Xi Jinping] for military help. To do so means China would open itself to substantial sanctions and make itself a pariah; to refuse would keep open the possibility of at least selective cooperation with US and West. Defining moment for Xi, China, and 21st century,” CFR President Richard Haass tweets.

“Even if [Russia and Ukraine agree to a truce], few would expect Russia to respect it, leaving troops on Ukrainian soil instead and firing rockets when it feels like it. If the insincere talk of ceasefires and humanitarian corridors on display in Mariupol is an omen, the city’s suffering could be as well,” the Economist writes. 

CFR provides analysis, explainers, podcasts, and more on the war in Ukraine.

Pacific Rim
China Locks Down Tech Hub Amid Virus Spread
To counter rising COVID-19 cases, authorities imposed a six-day lockdown (FT) in the city of Shenzhen, home to 17.5 million people. Apple supplier Foxconn and dozens of other factories halted operations.

This report by CFR’s Yanzhong Huang looks at China’s mixed response to the pandemic.

Philippines: In the first survey conducted during the Philippines’ election period, 60 percent of people said they would vote for Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. (Nikkei), the son of former dictator Ferdinand Marcos.

South and Central Asia
Report: Loopholes Allowed Ads for India’s Ruling Party to Spread on Facebook
Al Jazeera reported that an election commission loophole and selective application of Facebook’s rules allowed political ads for India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) that were not directly paid for or authorized by the party to run on Facebook in the lead-up to 2019 parliamentary elections. Facebook’s crackdown on such ads mostly targeted the opposition Congress Party.

Kazakhstan: Authorities detained the nephew (Reuters) of former President Nursultan Nazarbayev as part of an anticorruption probe.

Middle East and North Africa
U.S. Says Iran Should Be ‘Held Accountable’ for Missile Attack in Iraq
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed responsibility (WSJ) for a missile attack near a U.S. military base in Erbil, Iraq, saying it was in response to recent Israeli actions in the region.

Iran/Saudi Arabia: Iranian state media reported that Iran temporarily suspended talks (Reuters) aiming to defuse tensions with Saudi Arabia.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Chad Begins Peace Talks in Qatar
Representatives of Chad’s ruling military council and opposition rebels began talks (AP) in Doha, Qatar, as part of an effort to stop decades of conflict and hold presidential elections in eighteen months.

Mozambique: At least eleven people were killed (AfricaNews) and 115,000 people were affected by Cyclone Gombe.

Europe
Report: Germany to Buy U.S. F-35 Fighter Jets
Germany is reportedly planning to equip its air force (DW, Reuters) with up to thirty-five U.S. stealth jets after the government announced it is increasing its defense budget. 

On The President’s Inbox podcast, Liana Fix discusses how Germany’s new government is approaching foreign policy.

Americas
Leftist Emerges as Big Winner in Colombian Presidential Primaries
During Colombia’s presidential primaries on Sunday, former mayor of Bogota Gustavo Petro won the nomination (FT) for the left-wing Historic Pact coalition with nearly 4.5 million votes. Federico Gutierrez, former mayor of Medellin, won the right-wing nomination with about half as many votes.

Bolivia/Peru: During the inauguration of Chile’s president, Bolivian President Luis Arce and Peruvian President Pedro Castillo discussed several bilateral issues (MercoPress), including the possibility of Bolivia supplying Peru with liquefied petroleum gas.

United States
CDC Removes Restrictions on Children Claiming Asylum at U.S. Border
Following a lawsuit by the state of Texas, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced that unaccompanied children arriving at the southern U.S. border will no longer be subject to Title 42 (AP), which allows authorities to rapidly expel migrants due to public health concerns.

This Backgrounder looks at the U.S. immigration debate.
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