Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
March 7, 2022
Top of the Agenda
U.S., Allies Weigh Ban on Russian Oil Imports as Prices Soar
The price for Brent crude hit $139 per barrel (FT) today after reports that the United States and its allies are considering banning imports of Russian oil to pressure Moscow against fighting in Ukraine. The United States is also working with Poland (FT) on a plan to send fighter jets to Ukraine.
 
Russian forces continued to shell (BBC) the Ukrainian city of Mariupol on Saturday, despite agreeing to a cease-fire there. The United Nations said more than 1.7 million people have fled Ukraine (AFP) since the war began. A Ukrainian government spokesperson called a Russian plan (RFE/RL) to allow refugees to evacuate to Russia and Belarus “completely immoral.” Russian and Ukrainian delegates are meeting for their third round of talks today.
Analysis
“To give [Ukrainian forces] a fighting chance, Washington and its allies should establish a lend-lease program modeled on the one that provided arms and assistance to U.S. allies in Europe during World War II,” the Lawfare Institute’s Alexander Vindman and Dominic Cruz Bustillos write for Foreign Affairs.
 
“The current half-hearted talks on [a] Russia energy ban is a win for the Kremlin. It is still exporting, **and benefiting from much higher prices**. Either put the ban in place, now, and stop the money flow. Or backtrack, and let prices drop,” Bloomberg’s Javier Blas tweets.
 
CFR provides a suite of resources with everything to know on the war in Ukraine.

Pacific Rim
Chinese Foreign Minister: Taiwan, Ukraine Are Fundamentally Different
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told reporters (SCMP) that Taiwan’s situation is “fundamentally different” from Ukraine’s because it is a “purely domestic affair” and not a dispute between countries. He also said that Russia is China’s “most important strategic partner” (AP) and did not condemn the invasion of Ukraine.
 
For the Asia Unbound blog, CFR’s David Sacks writes that Russia’s aggression against Ukraine threatens China’s hopes for Taiwan.
 
Australia: Prime Minister Scott Morrison unveiled a plan to construct (Nikkei) a $7.4 billion nuclear submarine base in Australia’s east.

South and Central Asia
Rohingya Refugees Reach Indonesia’s Aceh Province
More than one hundred Rohingya refugees from Myanmar arrived by boat (Reuters) in Indonesia, which is not a signatory to the 1951 UN Refugee Convention and is usually seen as a transit country.
 
Pakistan: The self-declared Islamic State claimed responsibility (PTI) for an attack on a mosque in Peshawar on Friday that killed at least sixty-two people.

Middle East and North Africa
Yemen’s Fuel Shortage Worsens
People are struggling to reach markets, schools, and health-care centers as the fuel shortage raises demand for public transportation (Reuters) in the capital, Sanaa, and other areas controlled by the Houthi rebels.

This Backgrounder explains Yemen’s conflict.

Syria: State media reported that an Israeli missile attack killed two civilians (Al Jazeera) on the outskirts of Syria’s capital, Damascus. Israel did not comment on the attack.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Nigeria Bans Citizens From Fighting in Ukraine
Nigeria’s foreign ministry made the announcement (BBC) following reports that Nigerians had volunteered to fight for Ukraine.
 
South Africa: Former President Jacob Zuma announced that he supports Russian President Vladimir Putin (Daily Maverick) in his invasion of Ukraine, calling Putin a “man of peace.”

Europe
Denmark to Vote on Joining EU Defense Pact
A referendum set for June 1 will consider overturning (Guardian) the country’s rejection of the common European Union (EU) defense policy.
 
At this event, CFR’s Charles A. Kupchan and former Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk discuss war in Europe.

Americas
U.S. Officials Hold Rare Meeting With Venezuela’s Maduro Government
The parties discussed the possibility of easing U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan oil exports, and U.S. officials pushed for the release of six detained former executives of Citgo Petroleum Corporation, the Washington Post reported.
 
Brazil: The country is seeking new fertilizer suppliers (WSJ) after Russia called for a broad suspension of its fertilizer exports. Some 17 percent of the fertilizer used in Brazil comes from Russia.

United States
Hundreds of Vehicles Protesting COVID-19 Mandates Encircle Washington
Led by a group of truckers, the protesters drove slowly (NYT) around the nation’s capital. 
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