Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
February 3, 2022
Top of the Agenda
U.S. Orders Three Thousand Troops to Eastern Europe Amid Russia-Ukraine Tensions
The White House approved the deployment (CNN) of around two thousand troops from the United States to Germany and Poland and the movement of one thousand troops from Germany to Romania. A Pentagon spokesperson said (Politico) the troops are to be prepared to defend North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries “if it comes to that.” 

Although a Kremlin spokesperson accused the United States of “igniting tensions” (NYT) with the deployment, Russia has sent around thirty thousand troops (RFE/RL) to Belarus in recent days, according to NATO’s secretary-general. Meanwhile, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is in Kyiv and will offer to mediate (Guardian) between Russia and Ukraine.
Analysis
“While [U.S. President Joe] Biden and NATO have said they will not intervene directly on behalf of Ukraine, this is not the same as accepting Russian dominance. In fact, the U.S. has organized a comprehensive response,” CFR President Richard Haass writes.

“Below the surface, [Europe]’s defense and security arrangements, far from threatening Russia, look troublingly flimsy,” the Center for European Policy Analysis’s Edward Lucas writes for Foreign Policy.

Middle East and North Africa
Biden Announces Killing of Islamic State Leader in Syria
President Biden announced that a U.S. counterterrorism raid in Syria’s Idlib Governorate today killed (CNN) Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi, leader of the self-declared Islamic State. Aid workers said at least thirteen people were killed, including six children and four women.

UAE: The United Arab Emirates (UAE) failed to identify and correct (AP) a wide range of abuses against migrant laborers working at the World Expo 2020 site, according to consultancy Equidem.

This video explains how the kafala system allows for abuses of migrant workers in the UAE and other Middle Eastern countries.

Pacific Rim
Olympic Official: Choice to Probe Tennis Player’s Assault Claims ‘Must Be Her Decision’
International Olympic Committee President Thomas Bach said he will not press (NYT) for an investigation of Chinese tennis player Peng Shuai’s sexual assault accusations against a top Chinese official unless Peng requests an inquiry. Bach and Peng will meet during the Winter Olympics in Beijing.
 
CFR’s Jerome A. Cohen discusses Peng’s case and how China silences critics.
 
North Korea: A documentary that aired on state media made a rare mention (WaPo) of the country’s “food crisis,” acknowledging that “the situation is more difficult than ever.” The United Nations estimates that 40 percent of North Koreans suffer from food insecurity (FT).

South and Central Asia
Pakistani PM Begins Three-Day Trip to China
Prime Minister Imran Khan will reportedly meet with top Chinese officials and request $3 billion (Diplomat) in loans to stabilize Pakistan’s falling reserves. Last week, Khan said Western criticism of China’s treatment of Uyghur Muslims was unfounded.
 
Afghanistan: The U.S. Treasury Department said international companies can transfer aid funds to Afghanistan (Axios) without fear of violating U.S. sanctions.

Sub-Saharan Africa
West Africa Bloc Holds Summit After Wave of Coups
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) meets in Ghana today (Al Jazeera) to consider imposing sanctions on Burkina Faso, the latest West African country to witness a successful coup.
 
CFR’s Michelle Gavin discusses West Africa’s so-called coup contagion.
 
DRC: A militia group killed at least sixty people (Guardian) in an attack on a refugee camp in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).

Europe
British COVID-19 Study Finds Viral Levels Peaked Five Days Post-infection
The trial deliberately infected unvaccinated young people in London and tested responses to an early strain (BBC) of the coronavirus. It found that symptoms and positive test results appeared within forty-two hours of infection and that the virus remained detectable up to twelve days later.

Americas
Mexican Auto Workers Elect Independent Union in Test of USMCA Labor Provisions
The election was held (Reuters) due to a complaint (NYT) under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), a trade pact that includes more stringent labor provisions than its predecessor, the North American Free Trade Agreement.
 
Canada: The opposition Conservative Party of Canada ousted its leader (Guardian) amid debates over whether to appeal to a more right-wing base.

United States
Biden Announces Goal of Halving Cancer Death Rate by 2047
Biden said he aims to boost cancer screenings (CNN) as part of a relaunch of the White House’s “Cancer Moonshot” initiative, which started as vice president. In 2016, Congress authorized $1.8 billion for the program, and $400 million is still available for 2022 and 2023.
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