Dear John,
Goldsmith Update-Summer Scramble
The political message from Chris Luxon at our two day caucus
retreat was it is ‘Game on’. If we are a united and disciplined team
that proposes good policy, while opposing where Labour is going
off-track, and we focus on the issues that matter to New Zealanders –
such as the thief in their pocket that is inflation – we’ll make
progress.
New Zealanders face a government that has lost its way. We have a
Prime Minister that is in the mind-set of declaring white is black,
because I say so, and expecting everyone just to accept it.
She ‘absolutely refutes’ the idea that her government’s massive
spending stimulus is contributing to record high inflation. She can
refute it all she likes, but it is blindingly obvious to everyone.
Inflation is rising globally, but among high income countries it is
rising fastest here and in the United States, both places where
misguided governments are over-cooking the government fiscal
stimulus. All it means is more struggles for families to make ends
meet and a bigger crunch down the line when the Reserve Bank has no
choice but to hike interest rates.
Our caucus retreat was in Queenstown, ground-zero for the economic
and social consequences of Covid restrictions. This is a town based
on tourism, facing its third year with very few tourists. We met with
local business owners and their stories were heartrending. A
lifetime’s work, one bewildered man told me, draining away, month
after month, as costs carry on but the cash has stopped flowing.
Labour’s Covid scramble
When you strip it all away, Ardern and Labour’s Covid strategy
since March 2020 has been to buy time. They have imposed heavy
restrictions and closed the border to buy time to prepare the health
system and the country to deal with the disease, when it finally
arrives.
It arguably made sense at the start. But, boy, did they ‘buy’
time. It is an incredible stat from the OECD that New Zealand has
had the second highest Covid spending per capita amongst its members.
Even though as an isolated, sparsely populated country, we were the
best placed to get through it well, we’ve thrown much more money than
most countries at the problem – mostly to provide subsidies to cover
for the lockdowns. But the truth is much of the Covid spending has
been poor quality and unrelated to Covid.
And yet, as we all know, having bought the time, they didn’t use
it. The government totally failed to prepare the health system
better – no more ICU beds, no more trained staff. The vaccine
rollout was six months late, because ‘other countries needed them more
than us’. And rapid testing kits were banned and not bought.
This lack of preparation led them to impose the second crushing
lockdown in Auckland last year, and to ongoing restrictions with
Omicron.
Eventually, they will have no choice but to remove restrictions.
It’s inexcusable that two years later, after so many billions have
been spent, the health system is no better prepared to deal with a
surge in demand.
Chris Luxon pointed to a few things they could do tomorrow to help
– such as approving for use all the rapid testing kits that have been
approved in Australia. It’s beyond me what unique wisdom our local
regulators have that they need to fluff around approving things that
have been approved for use in the US, UK or other similar
jurisdictions.
New Zealand will get through the challenges we face. We’ll have a
legacy of debt and a weak economy, and plenty of work to do on all the
other areas where progress hasn’t been made – housing affordability,
better transport, the reassertion of law and order, better education
outcomes.
One thing is clear, under Chris Luxon’s leadership the National
Party caucus is focused on the task ahead and determined in 2022 to
offer New Zealanders a clear alternative and some hope.
Paul Goldsmith http://paulgoldsmith.national.org.nz/
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