Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
February 1, 2022
Top of the Agenda
Blinken, Lavrov to Speak After UN Standoff
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will speak on the phone today (CNN), following a verbal confrontation between their countries’ envoys at the UN Security Council yesterday. The U.S. ambassador to the United Nations warned that consequences would be “horrific” if Russia further invades Ukraine and said intelligence shows Moscow intends to amass more than thirty thousand troops near the Belarus-Ukraine border this month. Russia’s ambassador accused Washington of “whipping up tensions and rhetoric.”
 
Today, Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to publicly address (NYT) Russia’s crisis with Ukraine for the first time since December. An unnamed U.S. official yesterday told the Washington Post that Washington received a written follow-up from Moscow in an ongoing exchange about Russia’s security demands, but Russian state media reported that Moscow is still working on its latest response (Moscow Times).
Analysis
“It is a mistake to assume Putin would be assuaged by assurances that [North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)] membership for Ukraine (and Georgia) is off the table. On the contrary, concessions would likely lead him to up the ante,” the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments’ Eric S. Edelman and the George W. Bush Institute’s David J. Kramer write for Foreign Affairs.
 
“Combined with the ongoing fallout from the pandemic, it seems clear that any war would destroy the still-relevant Putinist model of the state as stable and successful. Instead of mobilizing public opinion ahead of the 2024 [Russian] presidential election, it would have the opposite effect,” the Carnegie Moscow Center’s Andrei Kolesnikov writes.

Pacific Rim
Japan’s Lower House Passes Resolution on Human Rights in China
Japan’s House of Representatives called for accountability (Kyodo) regarding the “serious human rights situations” in the Xinjiang region, Tibet, Inner Mongolia, and Hong Kong, saying human rights are an international concern. The resolution does not blame the Chinese government for abuses.
 
Taiwan: Taiwanese athletes will attend (SCMP) the opening and closing ceremonies of the Winter Olympics in Beijing after initially saying they would not.

South and Central Asia
Protests, Sanctions Mark One Year Since Myanmar Coup
Businesses across Myanmar closed their doors (FT) today as part of a “silent strike” to protest on the one-year anniversary of a military coup. The United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom (UK) imposed new sanctions (Nikkei) against the junta.
 
This Backgrounder looks at how the coup has led to a civil war and humanitarian crisis in Myanmar.
 
Afghanistan: The Taliban agreed to allow Qatar Airways to charter two evacuation flights from Kabul’s airport per week, Qatar’s foreign minister told Axios.

Middle East and North Africa
Biden Names Qatar a Major Non-NATO Ally
U.S. President Joe Biden announced the designation (NYT) before Qatar’s emir visited the White House yesterday. Seventeen other countries hold this status.
 
At this meeting, Qatar’s foreign minister, Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, discusses U.S.-Qatar relations.
 
Syria: The U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces said forty of their troops, seventy-seven prison guards, and four civilians died in clashes (Reuters) after the self-proclaimed Islamic State began trying to free some of its fighters from prison on January 20.

Sub-Saharan Africa
African Union Suspends Burkina Faso After Coup
The bloc voted to suspend (AFP) Burkina Faso yesterday, one week after the country’s military coup. West African and UN envoys are now in Burkina Faso to hold talks with the junta.
 
Mali: The country gave France’s ambassador seventy-two hours to leave Mali (BBC) after he said its junta was “illegitimate” and “out of control.”

Europe
UK’s Johnson Rebuked in House of Commons Over Pandemic Parties
Prime Minister Boris Johnson faced a barrage of criticism (Politico) in the House of Commons yesterday after an inquiry into government parties held during a COVID-19 lockdown cited officials’ “serious failure” to observe the standards expected of them.

Americas
Peru’s President to Reshuffle Cabinet After PM’s Resignation
Prime Minister Mirtha Vasquez announced yesterday that she is resigning (MercoPress) “due to the impossibility of achieving consensus” in President Pedro Castillo’s cabinet.
 
CFR’s Paul J. Angelo and Chloé Mauvais unpack the polarization that surrounded Castillo’s election.
 
Argentina: The majority leader of the lower house of Congress resigned in disapproval (MercoPress) of an agreement that President Alberto Fernandez’s administration reached with the International Monetary Fund. Congressional approval is needed to ratify the deal.

United States
California Moves to Shut Down Death Row at San Quentin State Prison
The state’s corrections department is beginning the process of dismantling (Guardian) the prison’s death row, which is the second-largest in the United States, and will repurpose it to focus on rehabilitation. California last carried out an execution in 2006.
Council on Foreign Relations
58 East 68th Street - New York, NY 10065
1777 F Street, NW - Washington, DC 20006
Shop the CFR store
Council on Foreign Relations

.

Email Marketing Powered by Mailchimp