Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
January 28, 2022
Top of the Agenda
France’s Macron Speaks With Russian, Ukrainian Leaders Amid Crisis
French President Emmanuel Macron held a call (France 24) with Russian President Vladimir Putin today and will speak with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky this evening about the possibility of diplomacy to ease tensions on the Russia-Ukraine border. Before the call with Putin, France’s foreign minister said that Paris aimed to assess (Reuters) whether Moscow wants “confrontation or consultation.”
 
Zelensky and U.S. President Joe Biden spoke in a call yesterday that a Ukrainian official described as “long and frank” (CNN). Additionally, U.S. State Department Spokesperson Ned Price said that if Russia invades Ukraine, the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline “will not move forward” (NPR).
Analysis
Macron does not want Europe—or France—to be a powerless observer in a world increasingly defined by a competition for influence between a rising China and the United States,” Johns Hopkins University’s Francis J. Gavin and the Center for European Policy Analysis’s Alina Polyakova write for Foreign Affairs.
 
“After complaints from Europeans that they were blindsided by the swift American withdrawal from Afghanistan last summer, and that France was frozen out of a new defense alliance with Australia, Mr. Biden has gone out of his way to involve allies in every step of this crisis,” the New York Times’ Mark Landler, Steven Erlanger, and David E. Sanger write.

Pacific Rim
North Korea Confirms Missile Tests
North Korean media said that the country conducted two rounds of missile tests (Yonhap) this week and leader Kim Jong-un visited a munitions factory. U.S. State Department Spokesperson Price called the tests “a priority challenge for the United States” and said Washington is ready for talks with Pyongyang.
 
China: The country agreed to host (SCMP) UN human rights chief Michelle Bachelet in the Xinjiang region, where the Chinese government has allegedly inflicted human rights abuses against Uyghurs and other Muslims, including mass detention and forced labor.
 
This virtual event discusses what’s happening to the Uyghurs in Xinjiang.

South and Central Asia
Woodside Joins Chevron, TotalEnergies in Pulling Out of Myanmar
Australia’s Woodside Energy will follow France’s TotalEnergies and the United States’ Chevron in withdrawing (FT) from gas exploration projects in Myanmar in light of human rights violations after the country’s 2021 coup. Natural gas projects are estimated to generate more than $1 billion per year for Myanmar’s junta.
 
Pakistan: The military said ten soldiers were killed (Dawn) when militants attacked a security checkpoint in Balochistan Province on Tuesday. No group immediately claimed responsibility for the attack.

Middle East and North Africa
Strike in Yemen’s Marib Governorate Kills Five
Yemeni state media said the Houthi rebels carried out the strike (Reuters), which also wounded thirty people.
 
The Backgrounder unpacks the conflict in Yemen.
 
Syria: Iran-linked militias have stepped up recruitment in Syria’s east, outcompeting the Syrian military with higher pay and benefits such as food baskets, the Washington Post reported.
This Day in History: January 28, 2003
President George W. Bush introduces the President’s Emergency Program for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), pledging $15 billion to treat people with HIV/AIDS and prevent further infections. The program is later extended and credited with saving some twenty-one million lives.

Sub-Saharan Africa
West African Bloc Holds Summit in Wake of Burkina Faso Coup
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) is holding a virtual summit (Al Jazeera) today to discuss how to respond to Monday’s coup in Burkina Faso.
 
Rwanda/Uganda: Amid warming ties, the countries will reopen their land border (East African) on Monday after three years of its closure.

Europe
Portugal Holds Snap Election
Voting concludes (Euronews) on Sunday for a snap election called when the ruling Socialist Party failed to pass its budget due to a lack of support from left-wing parties.

Americas
Argentina, IMF Reportedly Agree on Fiscal Path to Deal
Argentina plans to make a payment to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) today and agreed to balance its primary budget in 2025 as part of a path to a larger deal, Bloomberg reported. Argentina owes the IMF more than $40 billion.
 
This Backgrounder looks at Argentina’s struggle for stability.
 
Honduras: Hours after leaving office, former President Juan Orlando Hernandez obtained immunity (Reuters) from prosecution by being sworn in as a member of the Central American Parliament. U.S. prosecutors have accused him of aiding drug traffickers.

United States
Judge Cancels Oil Leases Over Climate Impact
A federal judge canceled oil and gas leases (NYT) in the Gulf of Mexico that the Biden administration auctioned late last year, saying the government did not take environmental considerations into account. It had been the largest lease sale in U.S. history.
Friday Editor’s Pick
Al Jazeera shows how ship-spotting hobbyists in the Bosporus Strait can predict new conflicts before governments publicly announce them.
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