Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
January 19, 2022
Top of the Agenda
Blinken Conducts Fresh Diplomatic Push in Europe Over Russia Tensions
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (AFP) in Kyiv today and called on Moscow to maintain “a diplomatic and peaceful path” amid mounting fears of a Russian invasion of Ukraine. Blinken will meet with envoys from France, Germany, and the United Kingdom (UK) tomorrow in Berlin and with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov on Friday in Geneva.
 
Lavrov met with (Politico) his German counterpart, Annalena Baerbock, in Moscow yesterday. Lavrov repeated his insistence that the West respond to Russia’s security demands, while Baerbock said Germany is ready for “a serious dialogue on mutual agreements.” Meanwhile, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said Germany will consider halting (Politico) the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline if Russia attacks Ukraine.     
Analysis
“If Russia attempts to revise the status quo in eastern Europe, Washington may once again find itself pivoting away from the Pacific to reinforce under-resourced regions that still matter to U.S. security. America’s defense strategy is increasingly focused on the Indo-Pacific, but its foreign policy remains stubbornly global,” Johns Hopkins University’s Hal Brands writes for Foreign Affairs.
 
“Ukraine is not asking for the West to defend it. Rather, it is asking for help to prepare for this fight by bolstering [its] military capacity,” the New Europe Center’s Alyona Getmanchuk writes for the New York Times.  

Pacific Rim
Report Finds Security Flaws in Beijing Olympics Smartphone App
The mandatory app that athletes will use to register their health data has serious encryption flaws (NYT), according to the University of Toronto’s Citizen Lab. The research lab said it notified the Beijing Organising Committee of the issues but received no response.
 
Thailand: Two former ministers formed a new political party (Bloomberg) focused on reviving the country’s economy in the wake of the pandemic, signaling that elections could occur later this year.

South and Central Asia
Former Kazakh President Speaks Out for First Time Since Protests
President Nursultan Nazarbayev led Kazakhstan for three decades and was a target of protesters’ ire earlier this month. In a video statement, he denied any conflict (RFE/RL) with his successor, President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, who publicly criticized his leadership last week.
 
India/Sri Lanka: Amid Sri Lanka’s mounting debt crisis, India offered the country a $400 million currency swap (Nikkei) and a two-month deferral on a $515 million loan that it owes a network of regional central banks.

Middle East and North Africa
Emirates, Other Airlines Alter Some Flights to U.S. Over 5G Concerns
The airline Emirates will suspend flights (Reuters) to nine U.S. destinations over safety concerns related to potential interference by 5G networks. Japan Airlines and Korean Air will temporarily stop using Boeing 777s after the company issued an advisory for the planes.
 
Palestinian territories: Israeli authorities evicted a Palestinian family (Times of Israel) in the East Jerusalem neighborhood of Sheikh Jarrah and demolished their home. Jerusalem’s deputy mayor said a school for Palestinians will be built on the plot.
This Day in History: January 19, 1960
The United States and Japan revise their security treaty to include a U.S. commitment to Japan’s defense. Japan continues to offer the United States bases, a significant contribution to U.S. strategy in Asia.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Biotech Billionaire Opens Africa’s First Start-to-Finish COVID-19 Vaccine Plant
South African–born billionaire Patrick Soon-Shiong opened a plant (AFP) in Cape Town that aims to produce COVID-19 vaccines “within the year” and manufacture one billion doses annually by 2025.
 
This Backgrounder looks at global COVID-19 vaccine efforts.
 
Sudan: New U.S. Special Envoy for the Horn of Africa David Satterfield arrived in Sudan (Bloomberg) for talks. He is expected to urge the military to end its violent crackdown and respect freedom of expression.
 
CFR’s Michelle Gavin lays out what to know about the crisis in Sudan.

Europe
UK’s Johnson Reportedly Receives Letters of No Confidence From Allies Amid Scandal
As many as eleven lawmakers from Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s party submitted no confidence letters related to Johnson’s attending parties during the pandemic lockdown, the Telegraph reported. Johnson was questioned in Parliament today.

Americas
Barbados Holds First General Elections as Republic
Prime Minister Mia Amor Mottley is expected to win (Guardian) today’s snap general elections, Barbados’s first since abandoning British Queen Elizabeth II as its head of state.
 
This In Brief examines Queen Elizabeth’s global role.
 
Colombia: Former Senator Ingrid Betancourt announced that she will run for president (NYT). Betancourt was captured by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) when she last ran for president in 2002 and was held for more than six years. 

United States
Biden to Hold First Formal News Conference in Months
President Joe Biden will hold his second-ever formal news conference (CNN) today at the White House, where he is expected to face questions about his administration’s pandemic response and the economy.
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