Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
January 11, 2022
Top of the Agenda
U.S. Poised to Break Pandemic Record for COVID-19 Hospitalizations
More than 141,000 people were hospitalized with COVID-19 in the United States yesterday, a number just short of the record 142,273 hospitalizations a year ago, the Washington Post reported. The record could be surpassed as soon as today. Disease models predict as many as 300,000 daily hospitalizations as the coronavirus’s current wave peaks in the coming weeks.
 
Meanwhile, the virus’s omicron variant is on track to infect half of Europe’s population (Reuters) in the next six to eight weeks, a World Health Organization official said. And while health systems worldwide are increasingly strained, COVID-19 also continues to threaten education. Uganda reopened schools yesterday (NYT) for the first time since March 2020, ending the world’s longest pandemic shutdown.
Analysis
“COVID will overwhelm the hospitals, but not because it’s a severe illness. Right now, the definition of a hospitalization for COVID is anybody who walks into a hospital and is tested and turns out to be COVID positive,” the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation’s Ali H. Mokdad tells Think Global Health.  

“Every part of the [U.S.] health-care system has been affected, diminishing the quality of care for all patients,” the Atlantic’s Ed Yong writes.
Guantanamo Bay: Twenty Years of Controversy
Two decades ago today, the United States transferred the first group of “war on terrorism” detainees to the military base at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. This article explains the facility’s origins and its ongoing controversies.

Pacific Rim
North Korea Tests Second Ballistic Missile in Less Than a Week
The launch came as the UN Security Council discussed (NYT) North Korea’s missile activities.
 
Taiwan: Taiwan’s air force paused training (Reuters) for its fleet of F-16 fighter jets after one crashed into the sea.

South and Central Asia
UN Seeks More Than $5 Billion to Prevent Humanitarian Catastrophe in Afghanistan
The aid would supply food within Afghanistan, where eight million people face “a march to starvation” (NYT), UN emergency relief coordinator Martin Griffiths said. It would also provide support for 2.5 million Afghan refugees in neighboring countries.
 
A humanitarian disaster in Afghanistan is one of the Center for Preventive Action’s crises to watch in 2022.
 
Kazakhstan: Foreign ministers of the Organization of Turkic States, which includes Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkey, and Uzbekistan, meet today (TASS) to discuss the recent protests in Kazakhstan.

Middle East and North Africa
Leading Egyptian Human Rights Group Shuts Down
The Arabic Network for Human Rights Information said it closed due to government persecution (AP). It documented violations against journalists, political prisoners, and others in Egypt and the region.
 
Syria: The UN Security Council extended permission (Al Jazeera) for cross-border humanitarian aid to northwestern Syria for another six months without voting on the matter.
This Day in History: January 11, 1943
The United States and United Kingdom sign a treaty with China in which they agree to relinquish any special rights they had claimed to China’s land (known as extraterritoriality) to gain Chinese cooperation during World War II.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Biden Voices Concerns to Ethiopia’s Abiy
U.S. President Joe Biden raised concerns (Reuters) about air strikes and civilian casualties in Ethiopia’s conflict during a call with Ethiopian President Abiy Ahmed yesterday, the White House said.
 
For Foreign Affairs, Terrence Lyons discusses how to pull Ethiopia back from the brink.
 
Sudan: The United Nations began a round of talks (AP) with Sudanese groups in hopes of helping the country transition out of its political crisis.

Europe
International Protests Oppose Breakup of Bosnia
Protesters in thirty-five cities in the United States and Europe called for foreign governments to discourage (Al Jazeera) Bosnian Serbs from seceding from Bosnia and Herzegovina.
 
CFR’s Charles A. Kupchan examines the separatist tensions in Bosnia.
 
U.S./Russia: Envoys from both countries said yesterday’s negotiations about the Russian military buildup on Ukraine’s border were businesslike (WSJ). The talks produced no breakthroughs, but they did not break down.

Americas
New U.S., EU Sanctions Mark Nicaraguan President’s Swearing-In
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega took office (AP) for a fourth consecutive term yesterday following elections that were widely denounced as rigged. Meanwhile, the United States and European Union (EU) announced asset freezes for six people with ties to Ortega’s government and visa restrictions for more than one hundred others.
 
Brazil: Heavy rainfall and flooding forced around seventeen thousand people in the state of Minas Gerais to evacuate their homes (MercoPress).
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