Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
January 7, 2022
Top of the Agenda
Kazakh President Gives Shoot-to-Kill Order Amid Protests
President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev authorized troops to use lethal force “without warning” (Reuters) to control mass demonstrations in Kazakhstan. Already, dozens of people are believed to have been killed in the protests. Reinforcements arrived (RFE/RL) from Russia and other Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) countries today. Tokayev said order had “basically” been restored, but that “bandits” would face severe punishment.
 
State television reported over 3,700 arrests, and the internet remains partially blocked. Representatives from the United States, United Nations, and European Union (EU) have called for restraint (Al Jazeera), while China and Turkey have voiced solidarity with the Kazakh government.
Analysis
“Many inside and outside Kazakhstan will see the placement of foreign troops in the country as sacrificing its sovereignty and an example of the Toqaev government’s weakness, which carries with it ramifications for the future when Russia will remind Toqaev of the service it has rendered and told what loyalty the Kremlin expects,” RFE/RL’s Bruce Pannier writes.
 
“Many of the tools that the United States would normally use in this kind of situation (i.e., sanctions) are poorly suited for the Kazakh case; major American energy companies are deeply integrated into the Kazakh economy, and sanctions on these industries would risk production shortfalls that could impact America’s European allies,” the Atlantic Council’s Emma Ashford writes.

Pacific Rim
U.S., Japan to Cooperate on Defense Technology
During a virtual meeting with Japanese officials, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken announced that Washington and Tokyo pledged to collaborate (Nikkei) on projects such as countering hypersonic missiles and developing space-based capabilities.
 
This Backgrounder unpacks the U.S.-Japan security alliance.
 
China: The Shanghai Stock Exchange suspended trading (FT) for several bonds of property developer Shimao Group after the company missed a loan payment.

South and Central Asia
Cambodian PM Becomes First Head of State to Visit Post-coup Myanmar
Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen is the new chair (Bloomberg) of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). He said the visit aimed to ease Myanmar’s crisis, but critics said it could legitimize the junta.

Middle East and North Africa
FBI Arrests Egyptian American Accused of Spying
U.S. prosecutors charged Pierre Girgis (ABC) with acting as an illegal agent of Egypt to spy on opponents of Egyptian President Abdel Fatah al-Sisi.
 
Lebanon: The United Nations urged Lebanese authorities (UN News) to investigate an attack on its peacekeepers in southern Lebanon after they were robbed and their vehicles were vandalized.
This Day in History: January 7, 1979
Vietnamese troops seize Phnom Penh and overthrow Pol Pot and the Khmer Rouge regime. The Khmer Rouge had occupied the Cambodian capital since April 1975.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Air Strike Kills Three Eritrean Refugees at Camp in Tigray
The United Nations did not say who conducted the strike in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, but only the Ethiopian government has air power (Reuters) in the area. The government did comment on the strike and has previously denied targeting civilians.
 
Tanzania: Speaker of the National Assembly Job Ndugai resigned (East African) after facing pressure to do so for criticizing the government’s public spending.

Europe
NATO Foreign Ministers Meet About Ukraine Crisis
The foreign ministers of countries in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) meet today to discuss (RFE/RL) the Russian military buildup on Ukraine’s border and their upcoming meeting with Russia, which is set for January 12.
 
For Foreign Affairs, Jim Townsend discusses what it will take to deter Russia.
 
Brussels: Airlines said they will fly thousands of near-empty flights (AP) in the coming months unless the EU changes rules about securing landing time slots at airports. Many passengers have canceled air tickets due to COVID-19.

Americas
U.S. Places Travel Bans on Eight Cuban Officials
Secretary Blinken said the officials were involved (Al Jazeera) in efforts to “silence the voices of Cuban people.”
 
Mexico: The country will impose a visa requirement (Reuters) for visiting Venezuelans amid efforts to curb migration at the U.S.-Mexico border.

United States
Former Biden Health Advisors Publish Papers Criticizing COVID-19 Policies
Six health experts who previously advised U.S. President Joe Biden on COVID-19 published articles (NYT) in JAMA calling for vaccine mandates, digital health passes, and faster development of vaccines and therapeutics.
 
CFR’s Douglas D. Jackson discusses how the military is handling COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy.
Friday Editor’s Pick
Vox explores potential futures for American democracy a year after the Capitol insurrection.
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