Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
January 6, 2022
Top of the Agenda
Biden to Denounce Political Violence on Capitol Riot Anniversary
U.S. President Joe Biden will deliver a speech (NPR) at the Capitol today to mark one year since a mob stormed the building in support of former President Donald Trump. The attack, which FBI Director Christopher Wray called “domestic terrorism” (NPR), came after multiple attempts by Trump to overturn the results (CNN) of the 2020 presidential election. According to an excerpt of Biden’s remarks, he plans to say that the United States cannot be “a nation that accepts political violence as a norm.”
 
At least seven people died (NYT) in connection to the attack, according to a bipartisan Senate report. The Department of Justice estimates as many as 2,500 people could be charged with federal crimes (NYT). Trump canceled plans to give his own news conference today.
Analysis
The threat of far-right terrorism remains high heading into 2022 and could even grow in the lead-up to the 2024 presidential primaries and election. Disaffected individuals and armed extremist groups will likely continue to see terrorism as a means to incite a revolution and ensure that the deep state doesn’t ‘steal’ another election,” CFR’s Bruce Hoffman writes.
 
“The event continues to reverberate in American politics—but its impact is not just domestic. It has also had a large impact internationally and signals a significant decline in American global power and influence,” Stanford University’s Francis Fukuyama writes for the New York Times.

Pacific Rim
Russia-Led Security Alliance Deploys Troops to Kazakhstan Amid Unrest
The Collective Security Treaty Organization deployed paratroopers (RFE/RL) to “stabilize” Kazakhstan as protests continue throughout the country. A Kazakh police official said dozens of protesters were killed overnight, and state television reported that twelve police officers died.
 
India: The country’s cabinet approved a $1.61 billion plan to build transmission lines (Reuters) to bring twenty gigawatts of renewable energy to its power grid. The government plans to fund one-third of the total cost. 

South and Central Asia
Australia, Japan Sign Defense Treaty
The pact will facilitate military exercises (Kyodo) between the two countries. Japan has already signed a similar agreement with the United States and is reportedly seeking others with France and the United Kingdom.
 
North Korea: State media said North Korea test-fired a “hypersonic missile” (Reuters) that it first unveiled in October. South Korea’s military said the launch yesterday appeared to be of a ballistic missile and that it detected a different flight range (Yonhap) than the one announced by North Korea.
 
The Why It Matters podcast unpacks the debate over hypersonics.

Middle East and North Africa
Rockets, Gunfire Target Bases With U.S. Troops in Iraq, Syria
The attacks were part of a series (AP) that began on Monday, the second anniversary of the U.S. strike that killed top Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani. No casualties have been reported.
 
Iran/Israel: The head of Israel’s military intelligence told cabinet members that Israel would be better off if ongoing talks to revive the Iran nuclear deal succeed than if they fail, Axios reported. Israel has long opposed the deal.
 
CFR’s Ray Takeyh discusses the future of the Iran nuclear talks.
This Day in History: January 6, 2017
The U.S. intelligence community releases a report detailing a comprehensive Russian cyber campaign aimed to influence the 2016 U.S. election in favor of Donald Trump.

Sub-Saharan Africa
U.S. Envoy for Horn of Africa Visits Ethiopia
U.S. envoy Jeffrey Feltman is in Ethiopia today as part of efforts to mediate between the government and Tigrayan rebels. He will step down this month after more than nine months in the position, Reuters reported.
 
Nigeria: The government labeled “bandit” groups (Al Jazeera) known for mass abductions as “terrorists” in an effort to strengthen its fight against them.

Europe
Taiwan to Build $200 Million Fund for Lithuania
The investment announcement (FT) comes months after Lithuania allowed Taiwan to open a de facto embassy in its own name, which resulted in diplomatic and economic punishments against Vilnius by Beijing.
 
Kosovo: The country banned cryptocurrency mining (BBC) to save energy as electricity prices soar.

Americas
Chilean Constitutional Assembly Elects Epidemiologist as Its President
Maria Elisa Quinteros Caceres will preside over the next stage (AFP, Al Jazeera) in drafting Chile’s new constitution, which must pass a referendum before it can take effect.
 
For Foreign Affairs, CFR’s Paul J. Angelo discusses Chile’s uncertain next chapter.
 
Guyana: ExxonMobil said it made two new oil discoveries (AP) off Guyana’s coast. The country issued its first oil and gas license to the company in 2017.
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