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Ohio Polling Memo

To: Supporters of JD Vance

From Jordan Wiggins, Campaign Manager


Today, The Trafalgar Group released what is the first truly independent survey for the 2022 Ohio Senate Republican Primary. You can find the results
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here.


While this campaign will never depend on polls to determine our fate, there are incredibly positive lessons to draw from this survey.


First, the poll was conducted 12/12/21 through 12/15/21, well after millions of dollars in negative advertising has been spent to smear JD. These results confirm JD’s strong position in this race even though he has never before run for office.


The results are as follows with the amounts of television advertisements bought for and against each candidate:


Josh Mandel - 22%
$115,000 in positive television ads

JD Vance - 15%
$1m in positive television ads $2.76m in negative ads spent against JD by Mandel’s allies and Mike Gibbons

Mike Gibbons - 12%
$3.2m in positive television ads ($500k was in a spot that also attacked JD)

Jane Timken - 10%
$1.75m in positive ads

Matt Dolan - 5%
No money spent for or against

Bernie Moreno - 2%
$1.7m in positive ads

Undecided/Other - 34%

Here are the key take-aways:
- As a first time candidate and a conservative outsider, JD Vance has proven he can take multiple punches. He is the only candidate with significant resources being poured against him, yet he is in prime position to win the Republican nomination.
- While other candidates have been inflating their polling numbers, Protect Ohio Values, the Super Pac supporting JD Vance, however, has shown to accurately reflect the electorate. In the poll they released prior to the onslaught of smears against JD, they showed very similar results.
- Other candidates who have run for office multiple times, and/or have spent considerable money on television are not gaining traction. Put simply, Ohioans are not buying what they are selling.
- JD Vance is proving that he understands and is articulating the solutions Ohioans care about most.I hope you have a Merry Christmas. Your help has been critical in getting us to where we are right now. This positive news reflects what we all know – JD Vance will be the next Senator from the great State of Ohio.



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Paid for by Ohioans for JD Inc., a joint fundraising committee authorized by and comprised of JD Vance for Senate Inc. and Working for Ohio.

This email was sent by: Ohioans for JD Inc.

PO Box 6564, Cincinnati, OH, 45206-9998 United States of America

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