Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
December 17, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Moscow Announces Demands Amid Tensions With NATO
Russia’s foreign ministry published a list of demands (Moscow Times) for North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries, which includes guarantees that Ukraine will never join NATO and that NATO will abandon its military activities in Ukraine, Eastern Europe, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. A Kremlin spokesperson said yesterday that Russia stands ready to negotiate (AP)

Concerns over Russia’s military buildup near its border with Ukraine also prompted European Union (EU) leaders to threaten “massive consequences” (Politico) in the case of “further aggression.” As efforts to resolve the standoff continue, German regulators announced yesterday that a decision on whether to authorize (Bloomberg) the controversial Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia to Germany will not be made before July 2022. Some EU leaders have suggested blocking the pipeline as part of a potential sanctions package against Russia.
Analysis
“Whatever order does exist in the world is premised on the principle that no country is permitted to invade another and change borders by force. This more than justifies providing Ukraine with arms to defend itself, as well as threatening to impose severe economic sanctions that would exact a significant cost on Russia’s already fragile, energy-dependent economy,” CFR President Richard Haass writes.

“The more the West can convince Ukraine to define its destiny as one of fight against economic insecurity rather than of geopolitical choice and NATO membership, the more that process is likely to be surrounded by stability,” ETH Zurich’s Henrik Larsen writes for the Moscow Times.
New Podcast: Nine Challenges for the Next Century
In a new, limited-series podcast, Nine Questions for the World, CFR President Richard Haass speaks with some of the world’s most influential thinkers to explore nine issues that will shape the next century.

Pacific Rim
Hong Kong Holds First Elections Under Rules Giving Beijing More Control
Voters will choose between Beijing-vetted candidates (Bloomberg) on Sunday and directly elect only around one-fifth of members on Hong Kong’s Legislative Council.
 
CFR’s Jerome A. Cohen talks to experts about the future of Hong Kong at this virtual roundtable.
 
China: The U.S. Department of the Treasury blacklisted drone maker DJI (CNN) and seven other Chinese companies, saying they facilitated abuses against Uyghur Muslims in the Xinjiang region and other minorities.

South and Central Asia
Iran Increases Deportations of Afghan Migrants
From January to November 28 of this year, Iran sent back (LA Times) more than one million Afghans, a nearly 50 percent increase from the same period in 2020, according to the International Organization for Migration.
 
Afghanistan/Pakistan: A drone strike apparently targeted a senior leader of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, also known as the Pakistani Taliban, on the Afghan side of the countries’ border. However, it failed to explode, Reuters reported.

Middle East and North Africa
Meta Suspends ‘Surveillance-for-Hire’ Accounts Linked to Seven Spy Companies
Meta, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram, said four of the companies were founded or based (Al Jazeera) in Israel and one each was based in China, India, and North Macedonia.
 
In Foreign Affairs, Jacquelyn Schneider discusses how to address cyberthreats in a world without trust.
 
Iran: Diplomats will temporarily adjourn talks (Reuters) on reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal after meeting today and plan to resume them later this month.
This Day in History: December 17, 2010
Tunisian street vendor Mohamed Bouazizi sets himself on fire after police officers mistreat him. His self-immolation sparks protests across Tunisia, leading the president to flee and inspiring similar movements in what becomes known as the Arab Spring.

Sub-Saharan Africa
DRC Declares End of Ebola Outbreak That Killed Six People
Health authorities officially declared the outbreak (WHO) on October 8. It was the second in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) this year.
 
DRC: The country’s central bank never registered (Bloomberg) a $530 million payment that state mining company Gecamines said it paid to the government during former President Joseph Kabila’s final term, the country’s top anticorruption official said.

Europe
UK Signs First New Trade Deal Since Brexit
The deal, signed with Australia, is the first pact that the United Kingdom (UK) negotiated from scratch (BBC) after Brexit instead of rolling over terms from when the UK was part of the EU. It is Australia’s second-largest trade deal with any country.

Americas
Chile to Hold Presidential Election on Sunday
Far-right former Congressman Jose Antonio Kast Rist has risen in polls (Axios) in recent weeks and is virtually tied with leftist former student leader Gabriel Boric Font.
 
For Foreign Affairs, CFR’s Paul J. Angelo discusses Chile’s uncertain next chapter.
 
Brazil: Federal officials are expelling (FT) the International Monetary Fund’s office in the country due to dissatisfaction with its economic forecasts.

United States
FDA Lifts Ban on Mail-Order Abortion Pills
The new rule from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) could help women circumvent abortion restrictions (NBC) in states, such as Texas, where such pills must be picked up in person and cannot be acquired through telemedicine.
Friday Editor’s Pick
The New Yorker examines how Svetlana Tikhanovskaya inadvertently became the leader of Belarus’s revolutionary movement.
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