The recovery is broadly on track but needs all the help it can get
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DECEMBER 3, 2021
Kuttner on TAP
Latest Jobs Report: More Ammo for Build Back Better
The recovery is broadly on track but needs all the help it can get.
The Labor Department’s latest jobs report, for November, puzzled the forecasters. The general expectation was another month of job growth of half a million or more, but the department’s payroll survey showed that the economy added only 210,000 new jobs.

This suggests that we are far from an overheated economy, and that it is way premature for the Federal Reserve to pull back from its policy of very low interest rates, despite the clamor on Wall Street for a rate hike. The report also strengthens the case for more public investment and for fixing the supply chain mess, which has not only raised some prices due to bottlenecks but left employers a little more reluctant to hire.

Our friends over at the Economic Policy Institute view the November numbers as a temporary blip, and project that the economy is on track to add a total of well over 6.5 million jobs by the end of 2021 and a full recovery by the end of 2022. That’s also a credit to the Biden program.

As even the naysayers like Larry Summers admit, Build Back Better deserves support because it is mostly about fixing long-term holes in our social infrastructure. It is not about short-term economic stimulus.

The Labor Department jobs reports often seem contradictory, because they rely on two different surveys which sometimes produce divergent results. The November report was even more of a puzzle than usual, with the survey of households showing a much brighter picture of 1.1 million new jobs (which may include gig work). Most economists view the payroll survey of actual employment as the more accurate.

Taken together, the two reports show that the Biden recovery is on track, that the economy still has spots of fragility, and that this is no time to pull back on public investment.
As Buttigieg Eyes a Presidential Run, His DOT Is Floundering
The transportation secretary has a major role to play in easing the supply chain crisis. Pete Buttigieg isn’t doing the job. BY DANIEL BOGUSLAW & DYLAN GYAUCH-LEWIS
Altercation: The Media’s Role in Biden’s Popularity Decline
Surprise: Mainstream media outlets insist they’re not to blame. But how much coverage have they given to Biden’s economic policies? BY ERIC ALTERMAN
Who Said Musicals Are for Kids?
Stephen Sondheim and the adult-ification of the American musical theater BY HAROLD MEYERSON
A new book about the Boeing 737 MAX disaster exposes the company’s allergy to the truth. BY MAUREEN TKACIK
 
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