The Data for Progress newsletter, your weekly dose of polls, memos, and memes.

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On top of literally everything else, the 2022 midterms are in young people’s hands

Young people didn’t ([link removed]) Pokemon-Go-To-The-Polls last Tuesday, and it may have contributed to why Democrats lost in Virginia. We’re not sorry we made this joke.

Ahead of the 2022 midterm elections, Data for Progress partnered with NextGen to test the political attitudes of young voters (aged 18 to 36) in two critical states, Pennsylvania ([link removed]) and North Carolina ([link removed]) . We found a throughline across both states: Democrats have an advantage over Republicans in the eyes of young voters, but there’s room for improvement. In order to increase voter registration and turn out more young voters — which would be critical to victory in 2022 — Democrats at the top of the ticket must support the policies young voters care about.

In North Carolina, Democrats break even in favorability with younger voters. Meanwhile, Republicans are at a cool -16 points of net favorability. Both parties have about 18 points’ worth of leeway to pull undecided voters in their direction, giving Democrats a clear persuasion advantage. In Pennsylvania, it’s even worse for Republicans: Democrats have +11 points net favorability with young voters, while Republicans are deeply underwater with -31 points of favorability.

We also found that, across both states, the top two issues for young voters were increasing the minimum wage to $15 an hour and strengthening the economy.

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Read the full blog results and analysis from Senior Writer Lew Blank, Writing Fellow David Guirgis, Senior Analyst Brian Burton, and Polling Analyst Anika Dandekar — North Carolina is linked here ([link removed]) , and Pennsylvania is linked here ([link removed]) .
Help us poll for the progressive movement by donating to DFP ([link removed])

After we pass Build Back Better, we should never shut up about It

Our way out of a 2022 bloodbath hinges on passing Build Back Better. You’re sick of hearing it, we’re sick of writing it, yada yada. But a new Data for Progress analysis finds that part of the formula for success in the midterms isn’t just passing the bill: it’s making voters aware that Democrats are the ones who did it.

Stimulus checks are a pretty good example of this. We polled a national pool of likely voters and found that, when asked to name the first government program that comes to mind, voters overwhelmingly named stimulus checks first.

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Stimulus checks were highly visible and widely distributed — and they helped boost the popularity of Joe Biden and Congressional Democrats this past spring ([link removed]) . If we were to pass Build Back Better and message constantly about it, ensuring that voters felt immediate effects and knew about it, we’d have a likely chance of getting a similar boost.

Read the full blog results and analysis from Senior Writer Lew Blank here ([link removed]) .


While we’re on the subject, voters want immigration to be a part of Build Back Better

While the Senate Parliamentarian wasn’t looking, we managed to include some limited immigration protections as part of Build Back Better. The protections in question include giving DACA recipients and other undocumented immigrants the ability to earn a work permit, as well as protection from deportations.

We find that 75 percent of likely voters, including 88 percent of Democrats and 81 percent of Independents, support this provision. Republicans also support this provision by a +19-point margin.

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Read the full analysis from Senior Analyst Evangel Penumaka here ([link removed]) .


Surprise, surprise — the United States is discriminating against disabled people and U.S. citizens living in the territories

Right now, if you’re disabled and living in a territory that’s not the Mariana Islands, you don’t qualify for disability benefits (SSI) from Social Security. It’s part of a completely arbitrary and discriminatory rule set by the Social Security Administration — and yesterday, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments in a case seeking to overturn that rule.

One of the benefits of American citizenship is Social Security. The fact that American citizens don’t qualify for the program simply based on where they live is morally bankrupt — and voters agree that the U.S. should stop discriminating against disabled citizens who just happen to live outside the contiguous United States.

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Read the full blog from Senior Resident Fellow and disability rights activist Matthew Cortland and Principal Gustavo Sanchez here ([link removed]) .
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DFP In The News

The New York Times:Democrats Thought They Bottomed Out in Rural, White America. It Wasn’t the Bottom. ([link removed])

MSNBC:Despite GOP pushback, Build Back Better plan remains popular ([link removed])

The Hill:Critics say Congress falling short on pandemic preparedness ([link removed])

The Hill:McAuliffe's loss exposes deepening Democratic rift ([link removed])

The Guardian:Why do the media keep saying this election was a loss for Democrats? It wasn’t ([link removed])

The Daily Beast:‘We’re Screwed’: Dems Worry the Anti-Trump Playbook May Be Useless ([link removed])

Sierra Club:New Data Finds American Public Strongly Supports Specific Climate Provisions in the Updated Build Back Better Act ([link removed])

The Dallas Morning News:Congress must act to lower drug prices for our patients ([link removed])

Up North News:Family Sees Hope for In-Home Healthcare Worker Shortage in Biden Package Being Negotiated in Congress ([link removed])

The Nation:If Biden Doesn’t Govern Like FDR, Democrats Are Doomed ([link removed])

Pennsylvania Capital Star:Poll: Young voters excited for 2022. Will they turn out for Dems again? | Wednesday Morning Coffee ([link removed])

Sludge:Top House Dem Buys Stock in Pharma Companies and Defense Contractors ([link removed])

Salon:Thumbs Up: Kyrsten Sinema's hometown flips it, approves $15 minimum wage by nearly 2-to-1 margin ([link removed])

The Charlotte Observer:Young voters say the economy worries them. Will they vote in 2022? ([link removed])

The Saxon:75% in the United States support deportation forgiveness for the undocumented and work permit ([link removed])

Document Journal:Lil Yachty is the new face of financial wellness ([link removed])

On Social
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Meme of the Week

Here’s a list of our other TSwift subject line ideas:
* young voters stream red and vote blue
* voters want build back better (ten minute version)

And a meme from @macrotargeting ([link removed]) on Twitter:
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Support DFP ([link removed])

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