Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
November 8, 2021
Editor’s note: For the duration of the twenty-sixth Conference of the Parties (COP26), the Daily News Brief will include a special section dedicated to developments at the climate summit.
Top of the Agenda
Iraqi Prime Minister Survives Apparent Assassination Attempt
Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi called for “calm and restraint” (BBC) after drones attacked his Baghdad home. No group immediately claimed responsibility for the attack, though Iran-backed armed groups had threatened Kadhimi (Al-Monitor) in recent days. On Friday, demonstrations by Iran-backed political factions that lost ground in October’s parliamentary elections turned violent (NYT)
 
An interior ministry spokesperson said two armed drones launched from northeast of Baghdad targeted the prime minister’s home (CNN) and that one was shot down by the military. Washington was among the foreign governments that condemned the attack, with the U.S. Department of State calling it an “apparent act of terrorism” and offering to help investigate.
Analysis
“Most analysts saw the attack as a warning to Mr. al-Kadhimi and his allies rather than as an assassination attempt. The prime minister has remained in power by balancing Iraqi relations between Iran and the United States, and he is seeking another term,” the New York Times’ Jane Arraf writes. 

“There is also a significant prospect that the attack, by being near-universally recognized as having gone too far, marks the high point of brinkmanship from which post-elections compromise will begin,” Control Risks’ Patrick Osgood tweets.

At this meeting, Iraqi President Barham Salih discusses Iranian influence in Iraq.
Why It Matters: ‘The Climate for Nuclear Energy’
Nuclear energy could be vital to global climate action, but at what cost? Experts weigh the risks of nuclear power against continued reliance on fossil fuels.

Pacific Rim
Beijing Begins Party Meeting That Could Greenlight Extended Rule for Xi
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is holding a major meeting (Bloomberg) this week that is expected to address a resolution that would authorize President Xi Jinping to rule for an unprecedented third term.
 
This Backgrounder looks at the CCP.
 
New Zealand: Beginning today, New Zealand hosts a virtual summit (Reuters) of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) trade group that is slated to focus on pandemic recovery.

South and Central Asia
Taliban Authorize Start of Polio Vaccination Campaign in Afghanistan
The World Health Organization (WHO) and the UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) will begin the nationwide polio vaccination drive (AP) this week. Before the Taliban took control of the country in August, the group had prohibited similar door-to-door vaccination campaigns in areas they controlled.
 
India: Dozens of people have been diagnosed with the Zika virus (PTI) in an outbreak centered around the city of Kanpur in Uttar Pradesh State.

Middle East and North Africa
Kuwaiti Government Submits Resignation Amid Political Standoff
For the second time this year, a government headed by Prime Minister Sheikh Sabah al-Khalid al-Sabah submitted its resignation (Reuters) amid conflict with the country’s parliament, state news agency KUNA reported. 
This Day in History: November 8, 1923
Adolf Hitler and the fledgling Nazi Party stage the Beer Hall Putsh in Munich, attempting a coup against the Bavarian government. The plan is foiled and Hitler is arrested; however, the attempt makes him a national figure.

Sub-Saharan Africa
West African Bloc Adds Sanctions on Guinea, Mali
The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) imposed new sanctions (AFP) on the two military-ruled countries, calling for them to comply with roadmaps for returns to democracy.
 
CFR’s Africa in Transition blog examines Guinea’s military takeover in the context of a resurgence of coups in West Africa
 
Ethiopia: An envoy from the African Union held talks (Bloomberg) with a top Tigrayan official in an effort to achieve a cease-fire amid the Tigrayan rebels’ advance toward the Ethiopian capital.
 
For Foreign Affairs, Nic Cheeseman and Yohannes Woldemariam discuss what could happen if Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed falls.

Europe
Czech Government Forms in Power-Sharing Deal
The deal between two coalitions creates a 108-seat majority (AP) in the country’s lower house of Parliament. The party of outgoing populist Prime Minister Andrej Babis is now in the opposition.
 
Ireland: Irish Minister for Foreign Affairs Simon Coveney warned that the European Union could abandon the Brexit agreement (FT) if the United Kingdom follows through on threats to suspend provisions regarding trade rules on the Irish border.

Americas
Washington Slams ‘Pantomime’ Nicaraguan Election
Preliminary results from Nicaragua’s election yesterday suggested that President Daniel Ortega secured a fourth term (France 24) after jailing several opponents. The White House called the election a “pantomime” and said the United States will use all diplomatic and economic tools at its disposal to hold the Ortega government accountable.
 
Brazil: An environmental defender from the Amazonian state of Para said armed men attacked her community (Guardian) while she was serving as a delegate at COP26.

COP26
Report Uncovers Flawed Data in Countries’ Climate Pledges
A Washington Post investigation found that many countries underreport their greenhouse gas emissions, resulting in a combined gap of 8.5–13.3 billion tons in unreported emissions per year.
 
In the second week of COP26, negotiators are set to tackle (Axios) issues including international carbon markets and the possibility that the rich countries most responsible for global warming could pay damages to poorer ones suffering the impacts of climate change.
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