Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
November 3, 2021
Editor’s note: For the duration of the twenty-sixth Conference of the Parties (COP26), the Daily News Brief will include a special section dedicated to developments at the climate summit.
Top of the Agenda
Report Details Possible War Crimes in Ethiopia
All parties to the conflict in Ethiopia’s Tigray region have committed violations (Reuters) that could be war crimes, according to a report by the United Nations and Ethiopian government–appointed investigators. Yesterday, Ethiopia declared a state of emergency (NYT) and called on citizens to arm themselves and defend the capital against an advance by Tigrayan rebels. 
 
The report found that Ethiopian government forces, the rebels, and both sides’ allies tortured and killed civilians, committed gang rapes, and made arrests based on ethnicity. UN human rights chief Michelle Bachelet said most of the violations documented were committed by Ethiopian and Eritrean forces, but that since the investigation period, reports of abuses by Tigrayan forces have increased (CNN).
Analysis
“The state of emergency reflected the rapidly changing tide in a metastasizing war that threatens to tear apart Ethiopia,” the New York Times’ Declan Walsh and Simon Marks write.
 
“No credible observers believe there can be a lasting military solution to the multiple conflicts tearing apart the Ethiopian state, yet vast obstacles stand in the way of political solutions,” CFR’s Michelle Gavin writes for the Africa in Transition blog.

Pacific Rim
Australia, New Zealand Ratify Asian Trade Deal
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), which also includes China, Japan, and Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries, is set to take effect (Nikkei) on January 1.
 
This Backgrounder explains ASEAN’s role in the RCEP.
 
Taiwan: In the first official visit by a European Union (EU) delegation to the island, members of the EU’s committee on foreign interference in democratic processes met with (AP) Taiwanese Premier Su Tseng-chang.

South and Central Asia
Islamic State in Khorasan Claims Responsibility for Kabul Hospital Attack
The group said it was behind the attack in Afghanistan’s capital yesterday that killed at least twenty-five people. Suicide bombings by the group in Kabul and Kandahar have killed at least ninety people in recent weeks, the New York Times reported.
 
China/India: India has deployed (AFP) howitzers, transport choppers, and drones to its border with China. Last month, an Indian military official told reporters that China had sent more troops to the region.

Middle East and North Africa
Bahrain, United Arab Emirates Call for Citizens to Leave Lebanon
Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia also expelled Lebanese envoys (Al Jazeera) in response to comments that surfaced last week in which Lebanon’s information minister criticized Saudi Arabia’s role in the war in Yemen.
 
Israel/Syria: Israeli missiles struck sites (Times of Israel) on the outskirts of Damascus, Syrian state media reported. No casualties were immediately reported.
This Day in History: November 3, 1970
Salvador Allende, leader of the Socialist Party, assumes the presidency of Chile. Allende is deposed three years later in a military coup d’état led by Augusto Pinochet.

Sub-Saharan Africa
South Africa’s ANC on Track for Worst-Ever Results in Local Elections Since End of Apartheid
With more than half of polling sites counted, the ruling African National Congress (ANC) has captured (Reuters) around 46 percent of votes in nationwide municipal elections.

Europe
CIA Director Finishes Two-Day Visit to Moscow
CIA Director William Burns met with (NYT) a top advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin yesterday. His visit was the fourth known trip to Moscow by a senior U.S. official since July.
 
For Foreign Affairs, Michael Kimmage discusses the value of U.S. consultation with Moscow.
 
Australia/France: France’s ambassador to Australia said the leak of a text message from French President Emmanuel Macron to Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison represented an “unprecedented new low” (Politico) in their relationship and that the privacy of leaders’ personal messages should be respected.

Americas
Republican Wins Governor’s Race in U.S. State of Virginia
In another closely watched election, the New Jersey governor’s race was too close to call (NPR) as of this morning.
 
Peru: The government authorized the military (Bloomberg) to help police maintain order in Lima amid a rise in crime and a planned transportation strike.

Climate
Proposed UK Treasury Rules to Force Firms to Show How They Will Hit Net Zero
By 2023, most big companies and financial institutions in the United Kingdom (UK) will be required to show (BBC) how they will achieve net-zero emissions, according to the proposed rule.
 
In this May 2020 Foreign Affairs article, Rebecca Henderson explained how the private sector can combat climate change.
 
South Africa: The United States, EU, and UK jointly pledged (Reuters) $8.5 billion to help South Africa speed its shift away from coal.
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