The Data for Progress newsletter, your weekly dose of polls, memos, and memes.

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No, it’s not a slow news day. And yes, we’ve been saying this pretty much every week for months. But since Joe Biden is headed to Scotland in a couple of days for the United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP26), we thought it was worth reiterating: The Build Back Better bill needs to keep its climate provisions intact. New Data for Progress polling finds that voters want the United States to lead on climate change and that the climate provisions in the new Build Back Better framework are massively popular.

We don’t know how many times to scream this into the void. We really don’t.

Anyway, here’s a breakdown of our new polling:

By a +55-point margin, voters agree that combating climate change should be a global effort — and by a +44 point margin, voters agree that the United States should lead on that effort.

Each climate and clean energy provision in the Build Back Better agenda has a net margin of support of at least +30 points and up to +68 points, Even provisions like the Civilian Climate Corps and the Clean Electricity Performance Program (CEPP), which have since been pretty much killed in BBB negotiations, hold wide margins of support.

It’s possible these climate provisions in Build Back Better are partly why the bill at large remains so popular: 64 percent of all likely voters, including 61 percent of Independents, support the Build Back Better Act. And when asked, 61 percent of all likely voters agree that the Build Back Better bill should make significant progress towards meeting President Biden's goal to cut emissions in half by 2030.

Read the new blog and analysis by our Senior Climate Analyst Danielle Deiseroth here. ([link removed])
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** Here are some other highlights from DFP over the past week:
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The next big school supply? Moderna and Pfizer

Thus far, the coronavirus vaccine has only been available to children ages 12 and up — but voters want to change that. Vaccinating children ages 5-11 would help ensure that our classrooms are safe for both teachers and students, and Pfizer and BioNTech released ([link removed]) a statement last month stating their vaccine is effective at protecting younger children from the virus.

Our polling finds ([link removed]) that voters support vaccinating children aged 5-11 by a +28-point margin — including 81 percent of Democrats, 58 percent of Independents, and nearly two-fifths of Republicans.



Even Republicans Love Labor Strikes

In recent weeks, thousands of workers — including workers at Kellogg’s, Nabisco and John Deere — have gone on strike to demand the pay, benefits, and working conditions they deserve. And our polling — covered in a great Huffington Post piece ([link removed]) earlier this week — shows that voters are loving “Striketober.” Seventy-four percent of voters, including 72 percent of Republicans and 60 percent of Independents, back the strikes.

As DFP senior analyst Ethan Winter told HuffPost: “The fact that we now see a bipartisan majority of voters who are backing workers agitating for better pay, benefits and working conditions, I think it’s reflective of the sea change the coronavirus pandemic has brought about.”

Survey of the South

The issues Southern voters face are a lot like those of the rest of the nation. In our latest poll with Groundwork Collaborative and the Southern Economic Advancement Project, we find that voters in 12 Southern states ([link removed]) support investments in health care and community service. We also find that the pandemic-related economic crisis and climate change have had a negative impact on workers and families throughout the South.

Southern voters are notably concerned about climate change and say that extreme weather events have gotten more frequent — a reminder that the climate crisis in regions such as the Gulf are intensifying.

McAuliffe Leads in Virginia

On Tuesday, November 2nd, Virginia voters will decide who their next Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and State House Representatives will be. The Gubernatorial race especially has gathered a lot of attention, and we recently released new polling showing the Democratic candidate in the lead.

We find ([link removed]) that Democrat Terry McAuliffe is leading the Gubernatorial race by a +5-point margin, with 50 percent of voters supporting his candidacy. Democrat Hala Ayala also leads in the race for Lieutenant Governor by a +5-point margin. In State House races, voters favor the Democratic candidates by a +4-point margin. Additionally, our polling finds that Virginia voters have much higher favorability ratings of both McAuliffe and Ayala than their Republican counterparts.
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From DFP

Blog: McAuliffe Slated to Win in Virginia ([link removed])

Blog: Voters Across Party Lines Support Biden’s Pandemic Preparedness Plan ([link removed])

Blog: Despite Pushback From Tech Interests, Voters Still Want to Rein In Big Tech ([link removed])

Blog: At a Critical Moment for the Build Back Better Act, Voters Want It Passed with Bold Climate Action at its Core ([link removed])

Blog: Voters Want Young Children to Be Vaccinated Against the Coronavirus ([link removed])

Blog: Sinema and Manchin Flush With Lobbyist Contributions As They Hold Up Biden Agenda ([link removed])

Blog: Voters Support the Climate Provisions in the New Build Back Better Act ([link removed])

Memo: Voters Across the South Are Concerned About Climate Change, Support Robust Investments in Health Care and Community Services ([link removed])

DFP In The News

NBC:Climate vs. jobs: How Democrats talk about policy proposals may make the difference ([link removed])

New York Magazine:Polling in America Is Still Broken. So Who Is Really Winning in Virginia? ([link removed])

HuffPost:Survey Shows Broad Public Support For Worker Strikes ([link removed])

FiveThirtyEight:How You View Climate Change Might Depend On Where You Live ([link removed])

The Hill:Manchin dampens progressive hopes for billionaires tax ([link removed])

Morning Consult:The Climate President’s Twin Tests: COP26 and His Own Base ([link removed])

The Atlantic:Democrats Stare Into the Abyss ([link removed])

The Hill:How 'Buy American', other pro-US policies can help advocates pass ambitious climate policies ([link removed])

FiveThirtyEight:We’re Tracking Trump’s And Harris’s Popularity Ahead Of The 2024 Presidential Election. (Yes, It’s Early.) ([link removed])

The American Prospect:Will the Reconciliation Bill Do Anything to Secure Workers’ Rights? ([link removed])

Mother Jones:Is Kyrsten Sinema Ready to Listen to Elizabeth Warren? ([link removed])

The Nation:The Resistance Has Come Too Far to Stop Now ([link removed])

NY Daily News:New York needs good-cause evictions ([link removed])

Truthout:New Poll Finds Broad Support for Strikes Across the Country ([link removed])

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