Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
October 28, 2021
Top of the Agenda
EU Court Slaps Record Fine on Poland, Escalating Rule-of-Law Dispute
The Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU) ordered Poland to pay a record-high fine (Politico) of $1.2 million per day for failing to comply with a July order to suspend a controversial disciplinary mechanism for judges. The fine escalates the long-building tensions between the European Union (EU) and Poland over judicial independence.
 
The CJEU said the fine aims to prevent “serious and irreparable harm” (AP) to the EU’s legal order and values, while a Polish government spokesperson criticized the fine as “blackmail.” Critics of Poland’s disciplinary chamber say it allows for judges to be dismissed (DW) on political grounds. Last week, Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki said it would be abolished but did not announce a date.
Analysis
“The issue at stake here is whether the EU can expect and require of its member states that they have independent judiciaries and adhere to fundamental rule of law principles. That is the very backbone of the EU,” Rutgers University’s R. Daniel Kelemen tells the Financial Times.
 
“Beyond the combative comments, however, the [Polish] government is concerned if voters will accept fines that, over the course of a year, would total more than half a billion euros. Opinion polls show more than 80% of Poles want to remain in the EU, in part because the country is the biggest net recipient of the bloc’s funds,” Bloomberg’s Stephanie Bodoni writes.
 
This Backgrounder explains how the EU and CJEU work.

Pacific Rim
Chinese Gas Stations Ration Diesel Amid Fuel Shortage
The fuel rationing adds pressure (Caixin) to an economy already struggling with coal and natural gas shortages that have caused electricity cuts.
 
Taiwan: In a CNN interview, President Tsai Ing-wen publicly confirmed for the first time that there are U.S. troops in Taiwan for training purposes. She also said she believed the United States would defend Taiwan if it were attacked.
 
At this virtual event, panelists discuss the risk of an armed conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan.

South and Central Asia
Indian Official: Net-Zero Emissions Targets Aren’t a ‘Solution’
Environment secretary R. P. Gupta said announcing such a target “in itself isn’t a solution” (AP). Instead, he said, countries should focus on having a plan to reduce the amount of carbon released into the atmosphere while getting to their net-zero goal.

For Foreign Affairs, Kelly Sims Gallagher argues that countries should focus on reducing emissions now rather than announcing net-zero targets for the future.

India: The country test-fired (Indian Express) a nuclear-capable ballistic missile amid rising tensions with China.

Middle East and North Africa
Iranian Official: Tehran Will Return to Nuclear Talks in November
Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri Kani tweeted the announcement (WaPo) and said a date for the negotiations would be revealed next week. For months, Tehran has said it would return to the negotiating table but never set a date.
 
For Foreign Affairs, Michael Singh writes that Washington should prepare for a scenario in which Tehran does not agree to rejoin the 2015 nuclear deal.
 
Iraq: Election officials are conducting a manual recount (National) of certain polling stations’ votes from October 10 parliamentary elections after irregularities were reported. The final election results have yet to be announced.
This Day in History: October 28, 1922
Troops loyal to Italy’s National Fascist Party begin the March on Rome, leading to King Victor Emmanuel III handing over control of the government to Benito Mussolini the next day.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Sudanese Military Leader Fires Six Ambassadors Who Condemned Takeover
The Sudanese ambassadors to the United States, the EU, and France were among those fired (AP).
 
Kenya: An energy ministry official said the country plans to convert (Bloomberg) all heavy fuel oil–fired power plants to run on liquified natural gas by 2030.

Europe
Moscow Locks Down Amid Surge in COVID-19 Cases
Shops, schools, restaurants, and nonessential services will be closed (AFP) for eleven days.

Americas
Brazil Carries Out Largest Interest Rate Hike in Two Decades
The Central Bank raised its benchmark rate (Buenos Aires Times) to 7.75 percent in an effort to curb inflation.
 
Ecuador: President Guillermo Lasso called for dialogue (Al Jazeera) after Indigenous demonstrators blocked roads to protest rising fuel prices.

United States
Big Oil Executives to Testify About Climate Disinformation
A House of Representatives committee will question the CEOs (NYT) of BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, and Shell about allegations that they intentionally misled the public about their products’ impact on the climate.
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