What Does Joe Biden's Health Have to Do with the Future of Taiwan?

by Pete Hoekstra  •  October 11, 2021 at 5:00 am

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  • The Chinese communists very much want to gain control of Taiwan, and the current intelligence assessment that China's leadership is probably looking at is one that spells opportunity — a weak U.S. president, wary of foreign military entanglements, whose political fortunes are crashing, and in their analysis is the real possibility of a transfer of power to an even weaker and less popular vice president in Kamala Harris, who has little foreign policy chops.

  • The bottom line — the next year will be a high-risk period between China and the United States where serious miscalculations could take place. And that is why... the Biden Administration must send a clear signal of support now for Taiwan.

The Chinese communists very much want to gain control of Taiwan, and the current intelligence assessment that China's leadership is probably looking at is one that spells opportunity — a weak U.S. president, wary of foreign military entanglements, whose political fortunes are crashing, and in their analysis is the real possibility of a transfer of power to an even weaker and less popular vice president in Kamala Harris, who has little foreign policy chops. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

What is China planning? More than 150 air incursions into Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone, testing Taiwanese response capabilities, strategies, timing and other military capabilities. Are these just Chinese war games or is China getting close to invading Taiwan? These are just some of the many questions that U.S. and other world leaders are grappling with as they try to determine the plans and intentions of China's President Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party.

Understanding "leadership intent" is one of the key priorities for intelligence collection and analysis. It is safe to assume America's intelligence agencies are doing this with China and the Chinese are doing the same with the U.S. So, what does that have to do with U.S. President Joe Biden's health and communist China's intentions when it comes to Taiwan?

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