Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
September 27, 2021
Top of the Agenda
German Government Hinges on Coalition Talks After Narrow SPD Win
The Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) held a 1.6 percent lead (FT) over the ruling center-right Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) and another party the CDU is allied with in preliminary results of the country’s parliamentary elections. Strong showings by the Greens and the pro-business Free Democratic Party suggest lengthy coalition talks could be in store (Economist) for the biggest economy in the European Union (EU). Until a new government is formed, Angela Merkel, of the CDU, will remain Germany’s chancellor.
 
Merkel’s alliance earned the worst national result in its history, while the Greens earned their best, at 14.8 percent of the vote. Both the CDU and the SPD said they will try to form a government (DW).
Analysis
“About the only thing one can say for certain now is that post-Merkel, Germany will remain on a solidly pro-EU transatlantic course, with moderate parties continuing to steer Europe’s most populous country,” Politico’s Matthew Karnitschnig writes.
 
“The primary challenge [facing Merkel’s successor] will be to give concrete meaning to the EU’s new big idea of ‘open strategic autonomy,’ currently a somewhat-vague goal of increasing EU global influence through greater sovereignty,” CFR’s Matthias Matthijs writes.
 
This Backgrounder explores how green-party success is reshaping global politics.

Pacific Rim
Beijing Says Xi Gave Orders Regarding Detained Huawei Exec
A foreign ministry spokesperson said President Xi Jinping personally gave orders (Bloomberg) regarding the case of Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou, who Canada released from house arrest on Friday after Meng’s nearly three-year extradition fight with the United States. Shortly after her release, China released two Canadians it had detained on spying charges.
 
China: Health authorities announced that they aim to reduce abortions (WaPo) in a new policy document on women’s health, which comes as China seeks to revive its birth rate. It was not immediately clear whether they aim to improve access to contraception or restrict access to abortion.

South and Central Asia
Indian Farmers Revive Nationwide Protests
An umbrella body of over forty farmers unions organized nationwide protests (India Today) to mark the one-year anniversary of Parliament approving contentious agricultural reform laws (BBC).
 
For Foreign Affairs, Surupa Gupta and Sumit Ganguly argue that the agricultural reforms were long overdue.
 
Afghanistan: Ghulam Isaczai, the UN ambassador for the Afghan government that the Taliban ousted last month, is set to address the UN General Assembly (Reuters) today.

Middle East and North Africa
White House Advisor in Saudi Arabia for Talks on Yemen
U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan is traveling to Riyadh today (AP) to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman about ongoing efforts to support a cease-fire in Yemen.
 
This Backgrounder looks at the war in Yemen.
 
Syria: Russia escalated air strikes against Turkey-backed rebels in northwestern Syria, killing at least five fighters, Reuters reports. Moscow backs President Bashar al-Assad’s government in Syria’s civil war. Iran, Russia, and Turkey are due to meet (Bloomberg) about Syria on Wednesday.
This Day in History: September 27, 1940
In Berlin, Germany, Italy, and Japan sign the Tripartite Pact, a mutual defense alliance between the Axis powers. The agreement is meant to deter the United States from entering World War II on the side of the Allies.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Sudanese Protesters Agree to Stop Blocking Oil Flow
The protesters, who objected to the terms of a peace deal signed last year, reached a tentative agreement with the transitional government and said they will stop blocking (BBC) two pipelines that handled oil imports and exports.
 
Rwanda: Theoneste Bagosora, a former senior military officer serving a life sentence for his role in the 1994 Rwandan genocide, died at age eighty (AFP).

Europe
United Kingdom Suspends Competition Laws to Ease Oil Supply
The move aims to facilitate the supply of fuel (BBC) to gas stations after a shortage of truck drivers prompted panic buying.

Americas
Report: Iran, Venezuela Agree to Oil-Swap Deal
The two countries reportedly agreed to a six-month deal (Reuters) in which Venezuela will swap heavy oil for Iranian condensate.
 
This Backgrounder explains how dependence on oil has fueled a crisis in Venezuela.
 
Chile: The United Nations condemned arson attacks (MercoPress) that occurred during an anti-immigrant march in northern Chile and called on the country to respect immigrants’ rights.

United States
New York’s Vaccine Deadline a Test for Similar Mandates Across Country
Tens of thousands of health-care workers could lose their jobs (NYT) if they do not receive a COVID-19 vaccine by today.
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