Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
September 7, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Guinean Military Consolidates Power in Wake of Coup
The soldiers who carried out a coup against Guinean President Alpha Conde on Sunday announced that military officers have assumed political leadership (Reuters) of the country’s regions and districts. The United States, the United Nations, and the African Union condemned the coup (Al Jazeera)—Central and West Africa’s third since April—and called for an immediate return to civilian rule. The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) threatened sanctions and scheduled an emergency meeting (Reuters) on Thursday.
 
Conde became Guinea’s first democratically elected president in 2010, but his move to change the constitution and sidestep a two-term limit in 2020 sparked protests. On Sunday, gunfire was heard (NYT) in the capital of Conakry, and military officers arrested Conde. Military special forces commander Mamady Doumbouya said the government and the constitution were dissolved.
Analysis
“This must trouble African strongmen. You couldn’t construct & protect your power with more loyalty than Condé did with Col. Doumbouya. Presumably, the next best thing is to put a brother, son, or daughter in charge – but even that, history teaches us – is no guarantee,” journalist Charles Onyango-Obbo tweets.
 
“[ECOWAS], though, has its own credibility problems. It allowed not only Conde but also Ivory Coast’s President Alassane Ouattara to seek third terms last year despite the constitutional wrangling needed,” the Associated Press’ Krista Larson writes.
 
In this 2020 Africa in Transition blog post, CFR’s Michelle Gavin looks at Conde’s push for a third term.

Pacific Rim
South Korea Test-Fires Ballistic Missile From Submarine
South Korea successfully test-fired a ballistic missile from a submarine, Yonhap reported, making it the eighth country to possess (Reuters) submarine-launched ballistic missiles.
 
Hong Kong: Hong Kong will allow two thousand nonresidents, including those from mainland China, per day to skip strict quarantine requirements (SCMP) beginning September 15, Chief Executive Carrie Lam announced. Hong Kong had maintained (Bloomberg) strict pandemic travel restrictions.

South and Central Asia
Ousted Myanmar Politicians Call for ‘People’s Defensive War’ Against Junta
Duwa Lashi La, the head of a group of legislators ousted by Myanmar’s military in a February coup, called for a “people’s defensive war” (Al Jazeera) against the junta. He urged the escalation of attacks against the junta.
 
Afghanistan: The Taliban announced they captured (TOLOnews) the last provincial capital not under their control in Panjshir Province after several days of heavy fighting. The leader of the opposition forces vowed to continue fighting the Taliban.
 
This Backgrounder examines the Taliban.

Middle East and North Africa
Israeli Forces Search for Palestinian Prison Escapees
Israeli security forces launched an operation to recapture (Guardian) six Palestinians who they said escaped from one of the country’s highest-security prisons. Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett called the jailbreak a “grave incident.”
 
Iraq: The self-declared Islamic State claimed responsibility for an attack that killed at least twelve Iraqi police officers (WSJ) near the city of Kirkuk.
This Day in History: September 7, 1977
U.S. President Jimmy Carter and Commander of Panama’s National Guard General Omar Torrijos sign the Torrijos-Carter Treaties, granting Panama control over the Panama Canal beginning December 31, 1999.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Attack in DRC Kills Thirty People
An attack in northeastern Democratic Republic of Congo killed at least thirty people (AFP) over the weekend, according to local and UN sources. They said jihadis from the Allied Democratic Forces armed group were the suspected attackers.

Europe
Belarus Jails Two Opposition Figures
Belarusian activist Maria Kolesnikova received an eleven-year jail sentence (BBC) and lawyer Maxim Znak received a ten-year jail sentence after they took part in a council that challenged the results of the country’s 2020 presidential election. Authorities accused the council of trying to stage a coup.
 
This 2020 meeting looked at the crisis that stemmed from Belarus’s contested election.
 
Germany: A German foreign ministry spokesperson said Germany holds Russia responsible (FT) for targeting German politicians in cyberattacks ahead of upcoming elections.

Americas
Brazil’s Bolsonaro Organizes Rallies for Supporters
Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro will join (MercoPress) rallies of his supporters today in the city of Sao Paulo and the capital of Brasilia. Bolsonaro’s approval rating is at the lowest of his term. Opposition leaders have also planned protests.
 
El Salvador: El Salvador begins to accept bitcoin (FT) as legal tender today. It is the first country to take this step, which supporters say will make remittances more affordable but skeptics warn could increase the risk of money laundering.

United States
Pandemic Unemployment Benefits Expire
Around 8.9 million Americans are expected to see a reduction (AP) in unemployment benefits as two federal pandemic-related programs expire today. The U.S. Department of Labor estimated that there are still 5.7 million fewer jobs in the economy than before the pandemic.
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