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By The Numbers

Each week, we'll share with you some of the most compelling numbers in our studies.

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41%

While the Taliban has governed in the past, it has no cadres with the practical experience to deal with the problems of today's Afghanistan—a failed state dependent on aid with 41% of the population under 14 years of age. It will quickly learn it needs outside trade and investment, a reasonable degree of international recognition, and substantial aid to deal with the challenges it faces.

 

SOURCE: "The Taliban Takeover: Plan Now for the Next Crisis in Afghanistan" by CSIS's Anthony Cordesman.

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70,000

Similar to previous conflicts, Afghan nationals employed by or on the behalf of the U.S. government are eligible for a Special Immigrant Visa (SIV) to immigrate to the United States. Around 20,000 Afghans are waiting for a SIV, while up to 70,000 Afghans are eligible to apply. As many applicants are stuck in the process of filling out the lengthy application, there is a potential that thousands of Afghans will be excluded from the process.

 

SOURCE: "The Case for Expediting Special Immigrant Visas amid a Transition of Power in Afghanistan" by CSIS's Dan Runde and Elena Méndez Leal.

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2.6 million

The fall of Afghanistan to the Taliban will likely spark a reinvigorated refugee—and broader forced displacement—crisis. Afghans already made up the third-largest group of refugees (2.6 million) in the world at the end of 2020 and, as many of the roughly 40 million people still in country are contemplating escape, it would not be surprising if the number of forcibly displaced Afghans doubles over the next couple of years.

 

SOURCE: "The Next Big Refugee Crisis Just Started" by CSIS's Erol Yayboke and originally published by Defense One.

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73%

On August 10, the Senate passed the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), the largest-ever investment in the United States' "hard infrastructure." While the IIJA a vehicle of green industrial strategy for a long-term, economy-wide transition to clean energy, it reflects more long-held priorities than a radically new agenda. According to Senator Rob Portman, approximately 73 percent of the 2,700-page infrastructure bill is existing legislation already passed through various Senate committees.

 

SOURCE: "The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act Will Do More to Reach 2050 Climate Targets than Those of 2030" by CSIS's Morgan Higman, Lachlan Carey, and Stephen Naimoli.

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