From Kevin McCarthy Alert (via MoveOn) <[email protected]>
Subject Democrats' "omen of defeat"
Date August 17, 2021 9:11 PM
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Dear MoveOn member,

In an "omen of defeat" for Democrats, new polling shows Democrats falling
behind Republicans by a half-dozen points in the battleground districts
that will determine who controls Congress after next year's midterm
elections.^1

The bottom line: If the midterms were held today, Democrats would lose the
majority.^2

That means that House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy—who went to
Mar-a-Lago just days after the January 6 white supremacist insurrection to
pledge loyalty to Donald Trump—will become speaker of the House, grinding
our progressive agenda to a screeching halt and putting House Republicans,
who continue to spread the Big Lie and COVID-19 vaccination
misinformation, in charge of Congress.^3

John, we CANNOT let the GOP extremists take over Congress.
That's why MoveOn is going BIG right now to win the midterms.

We just launched a powerful $1 million TV ad campaign targeting GOP
members of Congress who are up for re-election, we're preparing a series
of innovative experiments that will result in a massive, evidence-based,
get-out-the-vote program to turn out progressive voters, and we will be
ramping up additional work in the coming months.



Will you support MoveOn's efforts to defeat the GOP in 2022 by chipping
in $5 a month?

[ [link removed] ]Yes, I'll chip in monthly.

[ [link removed] ]No, I'm sorry, I can't make a monthly donation.



The polling, conducted in more than four dozen congressional battleground
districts and regions, was shared in a closed-door meeting with Democrats
last week. It showed Democratic candidates falling behind GOP candidates
by 6 points.^4

In addition, the Census Bureau last week released the long-awaited results
of the 2020 Census, triggering the nation's once-a-decade redistricting
process in which states redraw the districts that will elect members of
Congress and state legislatures.^5 Republicans hold a huge advantage and
will draw maps for 187 congressional districts, compared to just 75 for
Democrats, with the rest drawn by independent commissions or divided state
governments.^6

Republicans plan to gerrymander districts in a way that disenfranchises
voters of color and cements their control of Congress for the next
decade.^7

John, we have to fight back. We cannot sit by and watch Trump
sycophants gain control of Congress and block urgent action on so many
issues, from economic relief to working families to bold action on climate
change. That's where MoveOn comes in.

To drive up progressive turnout and defeat the GOP, MoveOn is preparing to
run an intensive series of voter contact experiments. These innovations
will identify the most effective new strategies for persuading undecided
voters and turning out Democratic voters who don't always show up during
midterm elections.

But the fact of the matter is that most people don't even think about
making political donations until a few months before an election. Indeed,
most political donations flood into campaigns in the final days and weeks.

In order for our plan to work, we need people who understand the value of
investing early in an election cycle, running innovative experiments,
testing new strategies, and who are willing to donate now—and we're hoping
that's you.



We know that next year's election seems far away, but the truth is
Democrats are already falling behind in the polls, and MoveOn needs to
build consistent resources early in order to have an impact. Will you chip
in $5 a month to support the progressive movement and help
defeat the GOP in 2022?

[ [link removed] ]Yes, I'll chip in monthly.

[ [link removed] ]No, I'm sorry, I can't make a monthly donation.



Thanks for all you do.

–Chris, Jenn, Nita, Kathy, and the rest of the team

Sources:

1. "House Dem campaign chief warns the majority at risk without message
reboot," Politico, August 3, 2021
[link removed]

2. Ibid.

3. "GOP House leader McCarthy meets with Trump at Mar-a-Lago to discuss
2022 strategy," Denver7, January 29, 2021
[link removed]

4. "House Dem campaign chief warns the majority at risk without message
reboot," Politico, August 3, 2021
[link removed]

5. "Let the Gerrymandering (and the Legal Battles) Begin," The New York
Times, August 11, 2021
[link removed]

6. "GOP Could Retake the House in 2022 Just by Gerrymandering Four
Southern States," Mother Jones, July 29, 2021
[link removed]

7. Ibid.



Want to support MoveOn's work? The GOP is launching an all-out campaign to
take down the Democratic majority in Congress and reinstall Mitch
McConnell as Senate majority leader in 2022. To defeat the GOP, MoveOn is
going all-in with TV ads, a nationwide grassroots organizing campaign, and
more.

Will you chip in to power our effort to defeat McConnell and the GOP in
2022?



[ [link removed] ]Yes, I'll chip in $5 a month.

[ [link removed] ]No, I'm sorry, I can't make a monthly donation.





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