Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
August 17, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Taliban Consolidates Control of Afghanistan as Biden Defends U.S. Withdrawal
In the first signals of what Taliban rule in Afghanistan could look like in the twenty-first century, a member of the group’s cultural commission promised amnesty (AP) for those who opposed the Taliban and said women will still be allowed to work and study. But many Afghans doubted those assurances and continued to try to leave the country as evacuation flights recommenced at Kabul’s airport today. 

President Joe Biden defended the United States’ military drawdown in an address at the White House, acknowledging that the withdrawal was “messy” but saying that he stood by the decision to end U.S. involvement in the war. Biden also said Afghan troops had shown a lack of willingness to fight despite years of U.S. support. A Pentagon official said the United States is making plans to evacuate some twenty-two thousand applicants (CQ Roll Call) for special visas for Afghans who aided the U.S. war effort. Meanwhile, checkpoints set up by the Taliban have blocked many people (WSJ) trying to reach Kabul’s airport.
Analysis
“The non-Taliban side doesn’t have any leverage to force anything,” the American University of Afghanistan’s Haroun Rahimi tells the Wall Street Journal. “But if the Taliban exclude their opposition, if they don’t try to expand the domestic base of their support, they may be laying the seeds for a resistance to emerge against them.”

“The Biden administration’s short timetable for withdrawal, tied to the 20th anniversary of 9/11, and in the middle of the fighting season, was a mistake. But the situation on the ground is the result of two decades of miscalculations and failed policies pursued by three prior U.S. administrations and of the failure of Afghanistan’s leaders to govern for the good of their people,” former U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan P. Michael McKinley writes for Foreign Affairs

CFR’s Max Boot explains how the Afghan army collapsed under the Taliban’s pressure.

Americas
Storm Complicates Haiti’s Earthquake-Relief Efforts
Rainfall from Tropical Storm Grace has hampered relief efforts in Haiti (NYT) after an earthquake struck over the weekend. The earthquake killed at least 1,400 people.

Venezuela: Authorities released politician Freddy Guevara (BBC) from jail after talks began in Mexico between envoys of President Nicolas Maduro and the Venezuelan opposition. Guevara is expected to join the opposition’s negotiating team.

Pacific Rim
New Zealand Enters Snap Lockdown Due to COVID-19 Case
New Zealand will enter a three-day national lockdown (ABC) after a man in the city of Auckland tested positive for COVID-19. The case appeared to be the country’s first instance of community spread in six months. 

For Foreign Affairs, Niall Ferguson argues that hypervigilance is a necessary part of pandemic preparedness.

China: The Chinese military staged air and sea exercises (SCMP) near Taiwan in response to what a spokesperson called “provocations” and “wrong signals” from the island and the United States. Last week, Taipei and Washington agreed to hold regular talks between their coast guards.

South and Central Asia
India Introduces E-visa for Afghans
India introduced an emergency e-visa (Indian Express) for Afghans who wish to enter the country, an Indian federal official announced. Those who apply will be subject to a security screening.
This Day in History: August 17, 1969
Janis Joplin performs at Woodstock as part of a four-day music festival that produces an outsized cultural impact. Among the four hundred thousand young people in attendance is future CFR President Richard N. Haass.

Middle East and North Africa
Nuclear Watchdog Reports Iranian Progress in Uranium Enrichment
Iran has made progress in its efforts to enrich uranium metal (Reuters), the UN nuclear watchdog reported, despite warnings from the United States and other countries that such a step would threaten efforts to reinstate the 2015 nuclear deal.
 
This Backgrounder looks at the Iran nuclear deal.
 
Israel/Palestinian territories: Israel’s air-defense system intercepted a rocket fired from the Gaza Strip (Al Jazeera), the first rocket fire since the May conflict between Israel and Hamas. No group claimed responsibility for the attack, which came after four Palestinians were killed in clashes between Israeli troops and Palestinians in the West Bank.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Ivory Coast Begins Ebola Vaccinations After Recording Case of Virus 
Authorities in the Ivory Coast are vaccinating (AFP) health workers as well as the contacts and relatives of a Guinean woman who was found to have the Ivory Coast’s first case of Ebola since 1994. Guinea sent the country five thousand vaccine doses.
 
DRC: U.S. special operations forces traveled to the Democratic Republic of Congo (Reuters) to weigh the possibility of establishing a local antiterrorism unit, U.S. and DRC officials said.  

Europe
Poland, Israel Recall Ambassadors Over Property Dispute
Poland recalled its ambassador to Israel (AP) two days after Israel downgraded diplomatic ties with the country over a new law that limits Holocaust survivors’ ability to reclaim property seized by Poland’s former communist government.
 
France: Wildfires in southern France, the latest blazes caused by high temperatures in the Mediterranean Basin, forced thousands of people to evacuate (AFP). President Emmanuel Macron is set to visit the area today.

United States
COVID-19 Hospitalization Rates for People in Their Thirties Hits Record High
The rate of U.S. adults aged 30–39 who are being hospitalized with COVID-19 reached around 2.5 per 100,000 people (WSJ) last week, up from a previous peak of 2 per 100,000 people in January, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported. Health experts blamed the spread of the coronavirus’s Delta variant.
 
This In Brief looks at the threat posed by the Delta variant.
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