The Podcast
Last night host Max Whitehead interviewed ACT Board Member Stephen
Berry about local body elections. Stephen ran the Guide to Auckland
Local Elections and we got him on to explain ‘what the hell just
happened.’ He came through with a cogent set of observations. You can
watch this episode online here. Alternatively, it can be downloaded
on all the usual platforms via Podcasts NZ, who kindly help us
make the Podcast each week.
Are We Safe Yet?
The Government is spending millions buying 'back' a small portion
of the firearms it banned in April. In theory the cost paid by
licensed firearm owners then (and from the current legislation) is
worth it for safety. Of course it’s all a lie. The announcement of
Armed Offender’s Squads roaming the streets to look for gun crime
tells us we are no safer.
How Does That Add Up?
How could this be? As gun geek Mike Loder has uncovered from
Official Information Act requests to the Police, 99 per cent of gun
crime is committed by unlicensed people. They didn’t follow the old
laws and won’t follow the new ones. Treasury said they didn’t think
the money spent on the buyback would make us safer. Perhaps they read
Loder’s blog?
Another Ban
Some people think vaping is a bit naf. It is also saving former
smokers' lives. Now the Government wants to apply the tobacco rules to
vaping. The net effect would be to make smoking more attractive in
comparison, even though vaping is 95 per cent less harmful. If you
think a Government policy to put smoking on a level playing field is
nuts, please sign Beth Houlbrooke's petition
to parliament. It's another ACT campaign for freedom.
TV3 Sale: Why TVNZ Must Pay a
Dividend
For sale: One TV company, great dancing show, variable news
coverage, major competitor is Government owned and pays no dividend.
So long as the return on equity for TVNZ is zero, its competitors must
meet the market. If Mediaworks can’t pay a dividend, it
is worth nothing. The Government has ruined the market for TV, don’t
blame Mediaworks for trying to get out.
Why You Should Care
There is lots of skepticism about the media in New Zealand. Having
a state monopoly on televised news could make it much worse. We all
need competition. We all need a level playing field for media in New
Zealand. If you doubt that just ask yourself: in what sort of
countries does the Government engineer to run private media out of
business?
Viva La Revolución
Mediaworks is a grandchild of the 80’s economic revolution. Its
parents, TV3 and Radioworks, emerged out of Broadcasting Minister
Richard Prebble’s reforms. Shows such as the Ralston Group
and Nightline as well as a second 6pm news show were a media
revolution. Before that, we had to rely on The Truth and some
kids broadcasting from a fishing boat for excitement. However we are
seeing the end of the TV3 era. Technological change is a challenge,
but it’s the Government that’s pushing us back to a media
monoculture.
Unemployment Down, Benefits Up
Over the last two years, Sole Parent Support (DPB) has been steady.
Supported Living (invalids benefit) has stayed steady. Jobseeker
Support (unemployment benefit) has gone up a per cent. Unemployment
has gone down a per cent. We are not statisticians. If anyone can
explain how this is possible, please let us know.
What We Do Know
Employers are facing horrendous labour shortages. People complain
when Immigration Minister Iain Lees-Galloway lets people in. Those
people cannot be employers. Whatever the statistics say, employers
just cannot get the people they need to grow. Wherever we go,
employers say people are the biggest constraint on growth. Ultimately
the problem is a skills mismatch caused by a hopeless state monopoly
on education, but we will ride that ACT hobby horse another day.
Gareth Morgan is Wrong (for now)
If Gareth Morgan was right, the robots would be taking over and
we’d need his Universal Basic Income by now. Two years on, our biggest
problem is productivity. In other words, robots are not doing
enough to satisfy our needs and we are as short of labour as
ever. Being an electorate MP in 2019 mostly involves helping very
angry employers who face suffocating labour shortages. Leave room for
the future to be different though.
Mutually Assured Destruction
Winston Peters knows that details of his Superannuation
‘overpayment’ didn’t get from the Ministry of Social Development’s
database to the media by magic. Somebody has publicized his dishonesty
and/or incompetence on purpose. Now he is trying to sue the person who
did it, but does he know who that was? If he does know (and can prove
it in court on November 4th), they are toast.
Unlikely
If those involved are even vaguely competent, they will have left
no tracks. Allegedly New Zealand First offered to drop charges if the
National Party dumped Paula Bennett. National refused, so they must be
confident they’re not culpable. That leaves someone deep in the
bureaucracy.
Journalists Never Reveal Their
Sources
One the best protections the leaker had was Section 68 of the
Evidence Act. Any journalist subpoenaed can simply stand up and say
‘sorry, I promised the source I wouldn’t reveal my source.’ A Judge
could override this provision, but journalists dream of going to jail
to protect their sources. For a few months of free accommodation,
their reputation and career would be made. They'll never talk.
Checkmate for Peters?
Peters will have republicized his own scandal again, for nothing.
Superannuitants know the rules, they know MSD enforce the rules like
terriers, and so they follow them. For Peters, it is the worst kind of
political scandal: wrongdoing by him that his support base understands
intuitively. Is he really that past it?
Perhaps Not...
Veteran journalist Barry Soper is going to testify. Soper didn’t
break the story. He appears to think a line’s been crossed, leaking
Government data for political purposes. He may know who was shopping
it. Normally a journalist wouldn’t reveal the source of their story.
But it wasn't Soper's story. He appears to think the source
is the story. Politics in Full Sentences is normally about
policy more than politics, but the Peters leak could shape the 2020
election as much as Peters thinks it was supposed to shape the 2017
one.
Where ACT’s Money Comes From
A recent analysis of our database shows the number one predictor
for whether someone gives to ACT is whether they read this newsletter.
Thank you if you have donated. Whether or not you have made a donation
to ACT in the past, there is no time like the present. An
unconditional and principled voice for freedom makes New Zealand all
the richer. www.act.org.nz/donate
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