Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
July 28, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Blinken’s Visit to New Delhi Highlights U.S. Focus on India as Strategic Partner
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is in New Delhi today (Hindu) for meetings with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar, and civil society representatives. His visit comes amid a push to deepen the U.S. partnership with India, which Washington sees as vital to countering China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific.

Blinken and Jaishankar discussed the war in Afghanistan (Indian Express), business ties, and boosting COVID-19 response efforts. Prior to the meetings, a U.S. official said Blinken would express concerns (AP) over New Delhi’s human rights record. His trip follows visits to India by U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and Special Envoy for Climate John Kerry. Prime Minister Modi is scheduled to visit the United States later this year for a summit with leaders of the so-called Quad, which also includes Australia and Japan.  
Analysis
India has historically rejected foreign criticism of its domestic affairs, so Washington will not be able to use familiar diplomatic templates, such as a formal bilateral human rights dialogue, to reinforce democratic values, as it does with many other nations. Instead, it should pursue a reciprocal discussion with India, acknowledging that the United States has work of its own to do and underscoring the need for both nations to live up to their democratic values,” CFR’s Alyssa Ayres writes in Foreign Affairs.

“What does India stand to gain from the Quad? First, the security dividend will be significant, though not immense since India can take care of the more severe threats to its security, as is evident from the Ladakh crisis [on the China-India border], and is already benefiting from bilateral U.S. arms transfers,” Nanyang Technological University’s Sumitha Narayanan Kutty and Rajesh Basrur write for the Diplomat.

This timeline traces U.S.-India relations.
Why It Matters: ‘Japan’s Population Problem’
Japan’s population is aging and its birth rate is declining, trends with major implications for the region. Three experts break down the issue in the latest episode of the Why It Matters podcast.

Pacific Rim
Satellite Images Show New Chinese Missile Silos  
Satellite imagery shows that China is building (Reuters) over one hundred nuclear missile silos in the Xinjiang region, according to a report from the Federation of American Scientists. On Twitter, U.S. Strategic Command referred to the development as part of a “great threat.”
 
In Foreign Affairs, Jill Kastner and William C. Wohlforth write that the United States, China, and Russia will need to work together on nuclear proliferation.
 
Japan: Amid the Olympic Games, daily reported COVID-19 infections reached record highs (Kyodo) of nine thousand in Tokyo and nearly three thousand in the country. 

South and Central Asia
Vaccine Shipments to India Held Up
Deliveries of COVID-19 vaccines to India have been held up as drugmakers such as Pfizer and Moderna demand that they be granted protection from lawsuits, Reuters reports.

Middle East and North Africa
U.S. Diplomats Encourage Yemen Peace Deal
U.S. Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking is in Saudi Arabia today to encourage Saudi and Yemeni officials (National) to establish a peace deal ending the war in Yemen. U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman advocated for an immediate cease-fire yesterday during a meeting with her Omani counterpart. In recent days, fighting has intensified in the Yemeni government’s last stronghold, in the country’s northern Marib Governorate.
 
Tunisia: President Kais Saied banned gatherings (FT) of more than three people and lengthened curfew requirements. Since Saied suspended parliament and sacked the prime minister on Monday, some in the opposition have called for dialogue (Al Jazeera) and new elections.
This Day in History: July 28, 2005
The Irish Republican Army (IRA) Council declares an end to its decades-long armed campaign against British authority in Northern Ireland. By late September 2005, international monitors announce that the “totality of the IRA’s arsenal” has been decommissioned.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Washington Aims to ‘Reimagine’ Africa Business Initiative
The Joe Biden administration announced plans to reinvigorate Prosper Africa (Reuters), a business initiative established during the Donald Trump administration, with a focus on clean energy, health, agribusiness, and transportation. U.S. executives said new investment on the continent will be slow until the Biden administration finishes a review of trade measures and clarifies its policy on natural gas.
 
CFR’s Michelle Gavin writes that the United States’ policy toward Africa needs to reckon with its partners’ priorities.
 
Ethiopia: The executive director of the World Food Program said food aid to the conflict-afflicted Tigray region will run out this week (AP) and that aid convoys are struggling to move through the neighboring Afar region. 

Europe
WTO Fails to Reach Agreement on Vaccine IP Waiver
At a meeting in Geneva, World Trade Organization (WTO) countries failed to agree (AFP) on a proposal to waive intellectual property (IP) rights for COVID-19 vaccines. Several low- and middle-income countries back such a waiver, as does the United States.
 
Russia: The United States and Russia begin arms control talks (FT) today as part of a strategic security dialogue the countries’ presidents agreed to last month.

Americas
Washington Pauses Anti-graft Cooperation With Guatemala
The United States temporarily suspended its anticorruption cooperation (AP) with Guatemala after Guatemala’s attorney general fired a top anti-graft investigator. Guatemala had been an important partner in the United States’ fight against corruption in Central America.
 
Ecuador: Quito stripped the Ecuadorian citizenship (AP) of Wikileaks founder Julian Assange, who is currently imprisoned in the United Kingdom.

United States
Biden Plans to Increase Local-Content Requirement for Government Purchases
The White House announced a proposed rule (Bloomberg) that 60 percent of content in items purchased by the federal government be made in the United States, a 5 percent increase from current standards. The requirement would increase to 75 percent by 2029.
 
This Backgrounder discusses whether U.S. industrial policy is making a comeback.
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