Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
July 26, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Tunisian President Sacks Prime Minister, Suspends Parliament
Tunisian President Kais Saied fired Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi and suspended parliament (Reuters), causing one of the country’s biggest crises since its 2011 revolution. The moves, which opposition parties denounced as a coup, followed large anti-government protests over economic malaise, political dysfunction, and rising COVID-19 cases.
 
The turmoil threatens what many experts consider to be the sole democracy to emerge from the Arab Spring. For months, Saied competed (NYT) with Mechichi and parliament Speaker Rached Ghannouchi for power, increasing his own authority by refusing to swear in ministers. After a day of protests calling for the dissolution of parliament, Saied announced that he would “freeze” the body for thirty days and assume executive power alongside a new prime minister. Military forces blocked lawmakers (Al Jazeera) from entering parliament today. The foreign ministries of Germany, Russia, and Turkey voiced concern.
Analysis
“Saied is still the most popular figure in Tunisia, and beyond his base, his moves likely also appeal to Tunisians who loathe [moderate Islamist party] Ennahda and other political parties, as well as those who seek a stronger presidency,” the College of William & Mary’s Sharan Grewal tells the Washington Post

“COVID-19 isn’t responsible for the precarious economic balance in many countries at risk of conflict, but it almost certainly increases the likelihood of strife. Just as a health crisis can trigger an economic collapse, economic crises can trigger political instability in the societies least able to weather the storm,” the International Crisis Group’s Tarek Ghani writes for Foreign Affairs. 

These graphics show the legacy of the Arab Spring uprisings in Tunisia and other countries.

Pacific Rim
Beijing Warns Washington During Visit by Top U.S. Official
In a meeting with U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman in Tianjin, Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Xie Feng called U.S. foreign policy (SCMP) “extremely dangerous” for treating China as an “imagined enemy.” Xie called on Washington to remove sanctions and drop a request to extradite Huawei’s financial chief from Canada.
 
Malaysia: Parliament reopened (Nikkei) after being suspended since January, and the government announced it will not extend (AP) a COVID-19 state of emergency beyond August 1. Opposition lawmakers have criticized Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin’s handling of the pandemic, and the largest party in his coalition withdrew its support earlier this month.

South and Central Asia
U.S. Steps Up Air Strikes Against Taliban
U.S. forces have increased air strikes (Reuters) against the Taliban in recent days and are prepared to maintain the heightened level of air support if the Taliban continues its attacks, the head of U.S. Central Command said.
 
For Foreign Affairs, Seth G. Jones looks at how to prevent catastrophe after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.
 
India: At least 164 people were killed (Hindustan Times) and some 100 were reported missing amid floods and landslides in Maharashtra State over the past week. 

Middle East and North Africa
U.S., Iraqi Leaders to Meet at White House
U.S. President Joe Biden and Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi will meet today (USA Today) at the White House, where they are expected to announce the redeployment of U.S. combat troops from Iraq.
This Day in History: July 26, 1947
U.S. President Harry S. Truman signs the National Security Act, establishing the air force, National Security Council, and CIA.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Sierra Leone Moves to Abolish Death Penalty
Sierra Leone’s Parliament approved a bill to abolish the death penalty (VOA) and replace it with life imprisonment or thirty-year minimum sentences. The president is expected to sign the bill into law, which would make Sierra Leone the twenty-third country in Africa to end capital punishment.
 
Mali: The man accused of trying to kill interim President Assimi Goita last week died in custody (AFP), Mali’s government said.

Europe
G20 Disagrees on Coal 
Group of Twenty (G20) environment ministers at a summit in Naples, Italy, failed to reach an agreement (FT) on phasing out coal and reducing subsidies for fossil fuels, prompting criticism (UN News) from UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres. In their communique, the nations for the first time referenced a goal of limiting warming to 1.5°C, rather than 2°C, above preindustrial levels.
 
For Project Syndicate, CFR President Richard N. Haass discusses how the pandemic and recent climate-related disasters have revealed the weaknesses of global governance.
 
UK: A new parliamentary report found that among over four thousand women in the armed forces, 62 percent had experienced (Guardian) bullying, sexual harrassment, and discrimination at work.

Americas
Protests Erupt After Guatemalan Anticorruption Investigator Ousted
Hundreds of Guatemalans protested (Reuters) the firing of prominent anticorruption investigator Juan Francisco Sandoval, who fled the country after being removed from office last week. A U.S. State Department official called the ousting (AFP) “a significant setback to the rule of law.”
 
Mexico: At a meeting of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador called for a new and more autonomous body (MercoPress) to replace the Organization of American States (OAS).
 
This Backgrounder looks at the OAS.

United States
Several States Reduce COVID-19 Reporting
States including Florida, Iowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota are reducing their COVID-19 reporting (AP) from daily to weekly even as infections rise across the nation amid the spread of the coronavirus’s Delta variant.
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