No Labels polled more than 12,000 voters in 33 key districts and found significant public support for the Bipartisan Infrastructure Framework. Help us spread the word and share our poll results with Majority Leader Schumer and Minority Leader McConnell. Click here to send them a message.

No Labels Poll: 12,000 Voters, 33 Districts, Three Findings Washington Can’t Ignore
Your Thursday morning update from No Labels
By Ryan Clancy and Amy Leveton

No Labels decided to find out. We just partnered with HarrisX to survey over 12,000 voters across 33 districts (20 of which are classified as “swing districts,” while 13 are represented by members whose votes on the Biden agenda are being closely watched). These are the districts that will almost certainly determine which party controls the House after the 2022 midterms.

The stakes are enormous, both for the country and the political prospects of swing district Republicans and Democrats.

On the table is:

• A $1.2 trillion infrastructure spending plan -- supported by President Biden, and a bipartisan group of 23 senators and the 58-member House Problem Solvers Caucus -- investing in roads, bridges, water, power grids, broadband and other physical assets.
• A $3.5 trillion spending plan -- supported by only Democrats and no Republicans -- investing in education, housing, child and elder care and other social initiatives, as well as clean energy and climate change provisions.

Although there has been plenty of polling on both packages, most are national samples focused on the public’s view of individual policies or funded by party or special interests with questions designed to deliver the answers they want.

No Labels is the first organization to survey this many individual districts to get a nuanced view of what voters really want their elected representatives to do, what tradeoffs they are willing to accept and what they are concerned about. Across these 33 districts -- from every corner of America -- a remarkably consistent picture emerged that looks nothing like the one that has been painted by much of the media and partisans on both sides. With more than two-thirds of voters agreeing on many issues, the 50-50 national narrative simply doesn’t hold up in this case.

The No Labels poll revealed:

1. A supermajority (72%) of voters is for the bipartisan infrastructure plan and 76% don’t want its passage linked in any way to the separate social spending plan.

2. A majority (57%) of voters do not want Washington spending a total of $4.7 trillion on infrastructure, climate change, and social welfare programs and a supermajority is concerned this level of spending could hurt them directly in the form of runaway inflation, higher taxes down the line, lower economic growth or negative impacts on their family’s finances.

3. A majority (61%) say a separate social spending bill should be passed only if it has two-party support.

These poll findings blow up the convenient narratives being pushed by leaders in both parties. (Click here to download a summary of the poll’s key findings with details from each district.)

Democratic party leaders are telling their members that voters will reward them for signing on for $4+ trillion in new spending and that they don’t care if it’s passed on a party-line basis.

Some Republican leaders are telling their members voters will reward them for obstructing it all.

But over 12,673 voters in 33 congressional districts are saying something very different. They are saying they DO want the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill passed. They are saying they ARE open to more social spending, BUT they want it done the right way, with two-party support and they aren’t comfortable with the spending levels many Democrats are pushing.

Fortunately, a growing number of House and Senate are listening. As expected, a Senate test vote on the Bipartisan Infrastructure Framework was defeated on Wednesday, but the senators negotiating the BIF are optimistic about moving forward soon, with Politico reporting that “GOP centrists say they may be willing to provide the votes as early as Monday.”

The White House is also optimistic. At a CNN town hall event in Ohio, Biden said, “Because I take my Republican colleagues at their word, when we shake, I come from a tradition in the Senate, you shake your hand, that’s it. You keep your word. … It’s going to not only increase job opportunities, it would increase commerce. It’s a good thing and I think we’re going to get it done.”

The bipartisan National Governors Association is also on board, with Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R-AR) and Gov. Phil Murphy (D-NJ) saying, “On behalf of the National Governors Association, we are pleased that Senators of both parties have come to an agreement on a framework for funding critical infrastructure investments. We urge Congress to capitalize on this rare bipartisan agreement to deliver a transformative infrastructure bill to the American people.”