Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
July 14, 2021
Top of the Agenda
EU Leaders: Proposed Climate Rules Are ‘Man on Moon’ Moment
European Union leaders will today introduce thirteen proposed rules (FT) that would help the bloc reach its existing climate goal of limiting greenhouse gas emissions by 55 percent by 2030, compared to 1990 levels. If passed, the rules would transform much of everyday life and business. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen dubbed the plan the EU’s “man on the moon” moment.

The proposals would give muscle to the previously announced European Green Deal. The rules are based on the principle that greener options should be cheaper (Reuters) than those that pollute more. They include measures to expand carbon pricing, tax greenhouse gas emissions (NYT) associated with imported products, and offer financial support to households suffering from energy poverty. EU leaders anticipate pushback (Politico) against the hundreds of pages of proposed rules, which will be negotiated by EU member states and the European Parliament.
Analysis
“We will see a lot of friction and tension over the next two to three years. Europe is set to become a global laboratory for deep decarbonization and the world will have an opportunity to learn how to achieve climate targets,” Bruegel’s Simone Tagliapietra tells Bloomberg.

“The tariffs the EU is expected to propose on Wednesday will leave [U.S. President Joe] Biden with a grim set of options. The White House could take a page from [President Donald] Trump’s trade playbook and impose its own retaliatory tariffs, or it could seek to challenge the EU’s move by resurrecting the World Trade Organization’s hobbled dispute resolution body, an option sharply opposed by U.S. climate policy advocates,” Politico’s Zack Colman writes.

Pacific Rim
Beijing Disqualifies Pro-democracy Candidates From Macau Elections
The Beijing-controlled electoral commission in Macau banned twenty-one candidates (Guardian), including fifteen from pro-democracy groups, from running in September elections. Like Hong Kong, Macau falls under China’s policy of “one country, two systems.” 

China: The U.S. government issued a business advisory (SCMP) warning that American firms operating in China’s Xinjiang region “run a high risk of violating U.S. law” given the extent of abuses in the region such as forced labor and mass surveillance.

South and Central Asia
Prominent Afghan Leaders to Attend Doha Talks With Taliban
A delegation of prominent Afghan politicians, including High Council for National Reconciliation Chair Abdullah Abdullah and former President Hamid Karzai, will begin talks with the Taliban in Doha, Qatar, this week, TOLOnews reports.

Myanmar: In his first meeting with foreign ministers from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken urged the group (Al Jazeera) to act to end violence and restore democracy in Myanmar.

This Backgrounder looks at ASEAN.

Middle East and North Africa
UAE Opens Israel Embassy
The United Arab Emirates opened a new embassy (Haaretz) in Tel Aviv, following the inauguration of Israel’s embassy in the UAE last month. The countries normalized diplomatic relations last year as part of the U.S.-brokered Abraham Accords. 

In this 2020 Foreign Affairs article, CFR’s Martin Indyk discussed how President Trump’s botched plan for peace in the Middle East produced the Abraham Accords.

Iran: Four Iranian intelligence operatives were charged in a U.S. federal court for conspiring to kidnap (NYT) an Iranian American journalist living in New York who criticized Iran’s government.
This Day in History: July 14, 2015
Iran and the permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany sign the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Iran agrees to place limits on its nuclear program and allow inspections in exchange for sanctions relief.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Over Seventy Dead in South Africa Unrest
Protests and looting after the jailing of former South African President Jacob Zuma have escalated into the country’s worst unrest in decades, with more than seventy people killed (Al Jazeera) and over 1,200 arrested.

DRC: Prosecutors ordered the arrest of former Democratic Republic of Congo Prime Minister Matata Ponyo Mapon on accusations of misappropriating $140 million, two government sources told Reuters.

Europe
France Fines Google for Failing to Negotiate With News Publishers
France’s competition authority hit Google with a $593 million fine (BBC) for failing to negotiate deals with news publishers “in good faith” for use of their content. The regulators had ordered Google (WSJ) to negotiate publishing rights in April 2020. 

For the Net Politics blog, Maya Villasenor discusses whether antitrust regulators can face the challenges posed by big tech.

Americas
U.S. Ups Government Support for Haiti
The U.S. Departments of State and Homeland Security are sending personnel to Haiti (White House), including security experts and a police advisor, in response to the country’s request for security support in the wake of President Jovenel Moise’s assassination.

Mexico: At a public ceremony, the Mexican Navy issued a rare apology (Reuters) for its role in a series of forced disappearances that occurred during 2018 operations against drug cartels in the northern city of Nuevo Laredo.

United States
COVID-19 Cases Rising After Months of Decline
The number of new COVID-19 cases reported daily in the United States has doubled over the past three weeks (AP), a rise that follows months of decline, according to Johns Hopkins University data. Authorities in places such as Los Angeles County and St. Louis are asking vaccinated people to resume wearing masks in public.
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