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CRITICAL STATE
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Your weekly foreign policy fix.
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If you read just one thing…
...read about Libya’s black market for fuel.
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A new Chatham House report illustrates how Libya became unable to meet its domestic fuel demand despite being a major oil producer. Fuel is subsidized in Libya, but breakdowns in regulation have led to a huge amount of subsidized fuel diverted into the black market. The problem is systemic — Libya bases its fuel policy off demand estimates from the largest institutional fuel consumers in the country and those consumers demanded 30% more fuel in 2016 than in 2010, despite the destructive war in between. The report contends that these false-demand claims drive the growth of the black market. The problem is made worse by Libya’s fractured sovereignty. With different militias controlling different
points in the fuel supply chain, each group has some incentive to divert their products to the black market, which leads to a buyer’s market for illicit fuel dealers.
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Game companies play themselves
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Last week was notable in the ongoing clash between American corporate values and Chinese market power, as both the NBA and video game maker Activision Blizzard faced crises brought on by messages of support for pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong from within their organizations.
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In basketball, Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey, nicknamed “Dork Elvis” for his commitment to advanced basketball statistics, tweeted then deleted an image with the text, “Fight For Freedom, Stand With Hong Kong,” and immediately felt the backlash. The team’s owner condemned him publicly and the NBA issued a statement backing Morey’s free speech rights but also apologized to Chinese fans. Chinese companies, unassuaged, blacklisted the Rockets, ending corporate partnerships and removing broadcasts of Rocket games from Chinese TV. The Chinese government seemed to call for Morey’s firing, a move that hasn’t come yet, but is reportedly on the table.
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Blizzard, for its part, suspended Ng Wai Chung, a professional Hearthstone player from Hong Kong, for expressing support for the protests in a post-match interview. Blizzard leadership also fired the two staff interviewers who asked him about it. The moves have brought on protests from Blizzard employees, who meet regularly at a statue of one of the company’s iconic characters at Blizzard headquarters, where one anonymous worker shared this excellent quote: “No one in charge I know of has spoken to the throng of employees gathered daily around the orc.”
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Multi-generational activism
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Buzzfeed News spoke to three generations of women in one Sudanese family who have participated in protests that overthrew successive dictators in the country. Lina Marwan, her aunt Sawsan Elshowaya, and her grandmother Butina Najela all took to the streets in different eras of Sudan’s long struggle for political freedoms and improved living conditions.
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Marwan had been arrested and beaten in custody for her activism against Omar al-Bashir, who ruled Sudan from 1989 until this year. But, in contrast to many other young people whose families tried to prevent them from joining the protests that eventually ousted Bashir, Marwan’s family encouraged her to return to the streets, even after her arrest.
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Najela first came to activism as a student, when she attempted to form a women’s union in her middle school. Later, she would join her daughter, Elshowaya, in the streets in protests that removed Gaafar Nimeiry from power in 1985.
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'Track changes diplomacy'
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Diplomacy is a game of relationships and, in the same way that Facebook has transformed your non-existent relationship to that guy in your high school science class into a My Little Pony meme transmission vector, technology has transformed the work of statecraft. On the next two editions of Deep Dive, we’ll look at new research on what has changed in 21st century diplomatic practice and the effects those changes have on global politics.
This week, we’ll look at the tool arguably most vital to a profession obsessed with words and process: the word processor. Political scientists Rebecca Adler-Nissen and Alena Drieschova have an article in the latest edition of International Studies Quarterly that focuses on how word processors — and particularly the track changes function — have shaped how diplomats do their job today.
During their time observing work in the European Union Council of Ministers, Adler-Nissen and Drieschova noticed that the process of diplomatic work often centered on track changes. It was the tool through which all of the Council’s diplomatic outputs were processed. The tracking system allowed many people to work on a document at once, it allowed everyone to be engaged with the same version of the document at the same time and it allowed for negotiations over wording to happen continuously, whether there were formal talks going on or not.
This may all seem obvious to anyone who has tried to draft a memo with multiple colleagues, but think about the effects of what Adler-Nissen and Drieschova call “track changes diplomacy” from an international politics perspective.
Historically, the question of “who holds the pen?” when crafting treaties or other international agreements has been crucial — the primary author has huge power over the actual language of the agreement. Under track changes diplomacy, however, everyone has the pen, which is also to say that no one has it. As a result, sometimes agreements have language that no one wanted in the first place. As one member of the EU parliament complained, “so many people are involved, you cannot foresee what the outcome [of the agreement-writing process] is going to be.”
Diplomatic agreements are becoming authorless, yet, they are also written faster than ever before. As more states have joined the EU, the Council of Ministers’ workload has increased dramatically and information technology has played a big role in allowing this to happen. The time pressure, combined with a lack of authorship, can lead to a diffusion of responsibility that leaves everyone wondering how the final text came to be. As an ambassador put it, “I would be curious to know who is ruling this whole thing,” — the European Union.
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Patrick Winn discussed the role of Hong Kong’s mafia organizations in violence against protesters in the city. Gang members have attacked protesters and many Hong Kong residents see mafia groups acting as a kind of police auxiliary against the public. Many organized crime syndicates in Hong Kong are closely linked with mainland Chinese government, a link cultivated by the Chinese Communist Party for decades that seems to be paying off in the current crisis.
Jon Letman recounted the history of the Golden Rule, a wooden ship that American Quaker activists intended to sail to the Marshall Islands in the 1950s, when the Marshalls were a frequent test site for American nuclear weapons. The activists hoped to keep the ship in the testing area, forcing the US government to choose between not testing nukes or killing its own citizens. The Quakers were arrested in Hawaii, and never made it to the Marshalls, but today a new group of activists have restored the Golden Rule and are slowly recreating the planned voyage.
Durrie Bouscaren reported on Turkey’s plan to resettle one million Syrian refugees currently living in Turkey in an 18-mile wide band of northern Syria. The resettlement is the Turkish government’s stated purpose for its offensive against Kurdish militias in northern Syria. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan hopes to both displace Kurds from the Turkish border and push out Syrian refugees living in Turkey, two key goals for his conservative government.
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Harvard computer scientist James Mickens got tenure back in April, but his truly epic tenure announcement only went viral on Twitter last week — maybe a subject for Mickens’ future research on inefficiencies in distributed systems.
Last week in impeachment, as seen from the Beltway.
This pun works on multiple levels, as though the person who made it had just taken a massive bong rip and then exhaled a series of OODA loops.
You may think you’re committed to Halloween and the general spookiness of October, but you’ve got nothing on the state of Louisiana. Louisiana holds elections for parish coroners (perish coroners? perish coroners.) in October, forcing the state’s eeriest retail politics practitioners to go door to door in their coroner costumes all month. Presumably, all their flyers are coffin-shaped and when you meet them at the door they say “trick or vote” before flashing a smile full of unsettlingly sharp teeth. Also the electoral maps are ghoulish.
Every flag made by this ostensible Twitter bot is a joy, but in honor of last week’s National Coming Out Day, a special shoutout to its greatest creation, Bisexual Austria-Hungary.
It’s the most wonderful time of the Introduction to International Relations year.
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Critical State is written by Sam Ratner and is a collaboration between PRI’s The World and Inkstick Media.
The World is a weekday public radio show and podcast on global issues, news and insights from PRX, BBC, and WGBH.
With an online magazine and podcast featuring a diversity of expert voices, Inkstick Media is “foreign policy for the rest of us.”
Critical State is made possible in part by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.
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