This Issue: Border encounters down 64% since May, but numbers are still high

Fri, Oct 11th

The Department of Homeland Security hyped September's border statistics for much of this week, and they should. The number of encounters with illegal aliens during the last month represents a significant drop from May's high of 144,255. Customs and Border Protection report that September encounters were 52,546.

DHS has yet to officially add the September numbers to its website. Reporting is based on a press release and news conference from earlier this week. The 52,546 figure includes both the number of apprehensions and inadmissibles, and we've yet to see a break down of that figure.

On the surface, the September results look good, but they don't necessarily signal an end to the year-long surge of illegal border crossings at the Southern border. Last month's encounters are still higher than they were during the same month a year ago and are 67% higher when compared to the same month two years ago. Still, it is the lowest monthly total reported during FY2019, which ended on Sept. 30.

DHS, itself, acknowledged that "although apprehensions along the Southwest border continue to decline, there is still a border crisis."

The administration has done much to stem the flow of illegal border crossings over the last 10 months, including:

  • signed on to safe third country agreements with Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala, essentially preventing any individual from those three countries claiming asylum in the United States;
  • worked with Mexico to increase enforcement efforts on their side of the border; and
  • implemented the Migrant Protection Protocols that require asylum seekers to remain in Mexico while they await their asylum hearing, disincentivizing migrants from entering fraudulent asylum claims.

After September's report, there won't be much urgency in Congress to take action, and only one more border apprehension report will be released between now and the next battle over government spending due to take place in mid-November. So it remains to be seen if border security will continue to be a dominating factor in the debate over spending.