Read about the stakes of data management. Received this from a friend? SUBSCRIBE [[link removed]] CRITICAL STATE Your weekly foreign policy fix. If you read just one thing…

… read about the stakes of data management.

Recently, Critical State highlighted [[link removed]] an article about how data gathered by international aid and research organizations gets managed. Last week, Human Rights Watch released [[link removed]] a stark reminder about why those questions of data ownership matter. According to the advocacy organization, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) gathered data on Rohingya refugees who fled genocide in Myanmar for refugee camps in Bangladesh. The information included photographs, biometric data, and biographical details through which the refugees can be easily identified. UNHCR shared that information with Bangladeshi authorities, who in turn shared it with their counterparts in Myanmar — the same government that the refugees were fleeing in the first place. Refugees who spoke with Human Rights Watch said they did not consent to having their information shared, and that they now fear the information is being used to assist in forced repatriations of Rohingya refugees back to Myanmar.

Civilian casualties in the Sahel

A new investigation [[link removed]] into French counterterrorism operations in Mali since 2013 finds that French forces have been significantly undercounting the number of civilians they have killed during that time. France claims to have killed seven civilians, but reporters found credible accounts of over 50 civilian deaths at French hands.

Malian civilians who survived a French airstrike in January told reporters that the bombs hit a wedding, killing multiple people in the midst of a peaceful celebration. France maintains that the strike killed about 30 people and that every one of them was an armed combatant. They deny that there was any wedding.

The UN has challenged the French account of the incident based on its own internal investigation. Rather than re-evaluating their account, the French military has attacked the UN as being biased against it.

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] The future of US-China arms control

The US and China continue to view each other as strategic rivals, and the people who keep track of the sine qua non of modern strategic rivalry — nuclear weapons — are growing concerned. Chinese nuclear stockpiles are still far smaller than the massive accumulation of nuclear weapons in the US, and experts are worried that this and other strategic asymmetries could lead to an arms race. In a new article [[link removed]], political scientist Fiona Cunningham argues for a new strategy to avoid that eventuality.

Cunningham makes the case that cooperative nuclear threat reduction between China and the US could rest on three pillars. The first, and the most innovative, is the idea of combining nuclear and conventional strategic weapons — like offensive cyber capabilities and ballistic missiles — into one area of strategic stability that both sides agree requires clear limits.

The other two pillars are separating bilateral nuclear issues between the US and China from US arms control efforts with Russia and finding compromises that limit the advantages from weapon asymmetries on each side.

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] DEEP DIVE What's a border anyway? Part I

If there’s one question that a newsletter called Critical State should engage with, it is this: What actually constitutes the state? When we say that a state has done something — or even that a state exists — who or what are we talking about? Luckily, social scientists have a lot to say on those questions as well. This week and next on Deep Dive, we’ll look at new research on defining an important component of stateness — borders.

In a new article [[link removed]] in International Studies Quarterly, political scientist Beste İşleyen investigates the recent evolution of one of the most famously contested borders in international relations scholarship, the Aegean Sea border between Turkey and Greece. Historically, a bitter rivalry between Turkey and Greece has played out on the Aegean. The two countries nearly went to war over the rocky Imia/Kardak Islet in 1995, even after both had been members of the NATO alliance for over four decades. Yet, in recent years, the character of this contested border has changed, at least from the Turkish perspective. On a day-to-day basis, Turkish security forces spend much less time than they used to directing a steely gaze to the west to deter Greek aggression, and much more time monitoring and intercepting migrants attempting to reach Greece from Turkish shores.

This evolution is partly a result of changing migration policies in both Greece and Turkey, but İşleyen argues that there is a more fundamental technological explanation. In 2013, Turkey contracted a domestic tech company to create the Coastal Surveillance Radar System (CSRS), a system of radar stations and drones that has dramatically increased Turkey’s ability to gather real-time intelligence about the situation on the Aegean. What was once a border that could only be monitored piecemeal, by patrol ships with limited sensing capabilities, has become an area over which the Turkish government has nearly perfect awareness of the movement of surface ships.

Before the technology, therefore, the border area largely existed as an idea — a contested line that Turkish forces prevented Greek forces from crossing, but could only be seen at certain times and places depending on patrol ship schedules. The CSRS, however, allows for what İşleyen calls the “visualization” of the border, turning it into a physical space of state control.

Now that Turkey has the ability to control the border area, it finds itself confronted with the imperative to actually exercise control. As one Turkish coast guard sergeant joked with İşleyen, “We are trained to protect the motherland security, right? Against the enemy that comes from the other side of the sea... But this is not what I mostly do on an everyday basis.” Instead, coast guard and naval forces now spend most of their time utilizing the sensing power of the CSRS to enforce domestic migration policies through migration control missions.

Those missions even supersede the Greek-Turkish rivalry at times. Turkish coast guard ships routinely stray into Greek waters to interdict migrants and return them to Turkey, and the Greek government steadfastly ignores the incursions. Even near the Imia/Kardak Islet, the site of recent international tension, CSRS technology is enabling a shift towards migrant interdiction operations that have led to the interception of hundreds of migrants attempting to cross to Greece.

By visualizing the border area and shifting government action on the border from outward-facing deterrence to inward-facing law enforcement, İşleyen argues, Turkey has created “territorial change” on its Aegean border. With no structural change in Turkey’s stance toward its Greek neighbor, CSRS technology has turned the border from a primarily military concept to a primarily civilian law enforcement reality. The Aegean border remains — like all borders — a site of state violence, but technology has shifted the target of that violence from external threats to migrants merely trying to pass through.

LEARN MORE [[link removed]]

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] SHOW US THE RECEIPTS

Durrie Bouscaren traveled [[link removed]] with Turkish health workers as they delivered COVID-19 vaccines to far-flung areas of the country. The pandemic reached many remote villages in Turkey, often taking a steep toll in areas where it was difficult for people to access health care. As more and more Turks become eligible for vaccination, public health workers are traveling up mountains and across rough terrain to deliver the vaccine. Only 17% of people in Turkey have yet received the vaccine, but public health officials hope that increased vaccine access and face-to-face efforts to convince people who are unsure about getting the shot can help get more people vaccinated quickly.

Gabriella Gricius raised [[link removed]] the concern that militarized rhetoric about the arctic makes it more difficult to meet other pressing challenges in the region. As climate change melts arctic ice and more navigable seaways open up, countries with an interest in the arctic have worked to extend their military reach into the region. The resulting competition has narrowed policymakers’ understanding of what is at stake in the arctic. The focus on military competition, Gricius argued, is crowding out discussion of environmental degradation, Indigenous issues, and worsening climate change that should all be priorities for countries interested in the arctic.

Andrew Connelly reported [[link removed]] on a British high court ruling that the Home Office acted improperly by placing asylum seekers in old military barracks. The UK has been sending male asylum seekers to the Napier barracks on England’s south coast since late 2020. The site, surrounded by barbed wire and with men living 12 to a room, resembles a prison in some respects, with many of the attendant dangers: Fires, COVID-19 outbreaks, and hunger strikes against poor conditions. Using the Napier barracks was part of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s effort to discourage asylum seekers from coming to the UK, but a judge ruled that housing asylum seekers there was unlawful.

FORWARD TO A FRIEND [[link removed]] WELL PLAYED

Imagine all the layers of bureaucracy that were involved in printing this [[link removed]] extremely specific poster (and presumably at least four other, similarly specific, posters). The goose has already won.

If bears are menacing [[link removed]] Japanese military bases, maybe we should retroactively revoke Theodore Roosevelt’s Nobel Peace Prize [[link removed]].

It was a big week for police interacting with dairy confections. Cops doing a buddy comedy bit [[link removed]] with ice cream cones while running security at the G7? Almost adorable. Cops threatening [[link removed]] a Shake Shack employee over a supposedly poisoned milkshake they made up? Not at all adorable, but still resulted [[link removed]] in a great photo.

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Critical State is written by Sam Ratner and is a collaboration between The World and Inkstick Media.

The World is a weekday public radio show and podcast on global issues, news and insights from PRX and GBH.

With an online magazine and podcast featuring a diversity of expert voices, Inkstick Media is “foreign policy for the rest of us.”

Critical State is made possible in part by the Carnegie Corporation of New York.

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