|
Well the Senedd elections already seem quite a long time ago, but a huge thanks to those who engaged in the process and accompanying discussions, as well as those who went out and voted...
As it turns out, not a lot has really changed in Wales.
Sam Kurtz has replaced Angela Burns here in Carmarthen West and South Pembs and Paul Davies has won again in Preseli Pembs. The wider Wales picture shows Labour gaining one extra seat, the Conservatives five and Plaid just one. Because Labour had previously relied on the one Liberal Democrat to govern, the “balance of power” has remained pretty well identical, and with turnout at 46% (compared with 66% at the General Election in 2019) public interest hasn’t really changed much either.
What does all this actually mean?
You won’t be surprised if I say I was pretty pleased with the Conservative result. We made solid progress across the board, achieving 40% more seats in the Senedd and increasing our vote share almost everywhere. Rome wasn't built in a day...
Meanwhile, the almost complete demise of the smaller parties (Abolish, Propel, Reform, UKIP and the Liberal Democrats) came as a surprise to the pollsters, as did the lacklustre outcome for Plaid. Despite a lot of noise promising an inevitable march towards independence, Plaid actually made no progress from their 2016 position, with 3 out of 4 voters choosing a unionist party. I’m pretty relieved about that, as I’ve never believed that the risks of separation are matched by the opportunities. This is especially true as we recover from Covid.
|