The Evening: Syria, Global Growth, White Room and More
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** Good Evening,
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It's Monday, October 7th.


** U.S. Withdraws Troops From Syria’s Border With Turkey
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The United States began withdrawing American troops from Syria’s border with Turkey early Monday, in the clearest sign yet that the Trump administration was washing its hands of an explosive situation between the Turkish military and U.S.-allied Kurdish fighters, as the
Washington Post’s Missy Ryan, Kareem Fahim, Sarah Dadouch and Karen DeYoung report ([link removed]) .

And, as the WSJ’s Lindsay Wise reports ([link removed]) , Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell urged President Trump to “exercise American leadership” and keep U.S. troops in northern Syria, joining a chorus of Republican and Democratic lawmakers who warned the president against withdrawing from the area.

Dive Deeper: “The Implications of a Turkish Intervention in Northeastern Syria ([link removed]) ,” by CSIS’s Will Todman.

“The Syrian Conflict Is About to Intensify ([link removed]) ,” by CFR’s Steven Cook.

“Syria Study Group 2019: Final Report and Recommendations ([link removed]) ,” by the Washington Institute’s Michael Singh and Dana Stroul.


** World Bank Warns Global Growth Could Disappoint
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David Malpass, the president of the World Bank, has warned that global growth could fall short of the 2.6 per cent rate it predicted in June, in the latest sign of concern in multilateral institutions about the direction of the world economy, as the
FT’s James Politi reports ([link removed]) .


** Hong Kong Police Jeered After Show of Force
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Hong Kong police staged a show of force on Monday night in a district hit by some of the most violent clashes with protesters in recent months, but instead of being confronted by demonstrators, they were jeered by onlookers, as Reuters reports ([link removed]) .


** CSIS Executive Education
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Join CSIS October 15-18 for our course,
Understanding Washington ([link removed]) . Explore how formal entities and informal networks interact to impact policy decisions. Open to professionals who are new to D.C. or those seeking a better understanding of the policy ecosystem.


** Video Shorts
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Check out CSIS’s new series of video shorts: “Testify,” "What's Happening," "Preview," and “High Resolution.” And don’t forget to subscribe to the CSIS YouTube Channel ([link removed]) !


** In That Number
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** 132 million
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Nearly 132 million people need emergency humanitarian assistance globally.

Source: CSIS, “Denial, Delay, Diversion: Tackling Access Challenges in an Evolving Humanitarian Landscape ([link removed]) .”


** Critical Quote
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** “…if Turkey does anything that I, in my great and unmatched wisdom, consider to be off limits, I will totally destroy and obliterate the Economy of Turkey (I’ve done before!)”
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— President Donald Trump


** iDeas Lab
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[link removed]
With authoritarian threats on the rise, there has never been a more important time for the United States—and especially Congress—to lead on human rights. Watch the new PreView ([link removed]) on "Human Rights in a Shifting Landscape ([link removed]) ."

The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and video.


** Optics
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CSIS
(Photo credit: Nazeer Al-khatib /AFP/Getty Images). Turkish-backed Syrian rebel fighters gather near the Syrian-Turkish border north of Aleppo.


** Recommended Reading
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“Perfect Match: How Workers Can Find Jobs That Fit Them Best ([link removed]) ,” by CSIS’s Kati Suominen and Jack Caporal.


** This Town Tomorrow
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At 8:45 a.m. ([link removed]) , CSIS’s Stephenson Ocean Security Project will hold a forum on the connection between maritime security and climate stress.

And, at 12:00 p.m. ([link removed]) , The Woodrow Wilson Center will host a book launch event for Nuclear Crises with North Korea and Iran: From Transformational to Transactional Diplomacy. The book, written by Robert S. Litwak, addresses the ongoing nuclear threats posed by North Korea and Iran.

Later, at 1:00 p.m. ([link removed]) , CSIS’s Energy and National Security Program will host a launch event for the report, Oil and Gas Industry Engagement on Climate Change: Drivers, Actions, and Path Forward. The report focuses on the oil and gas industry’s climate engagement and opportunities to drive further technological development.


** Video
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CSIS’s International Security Program hosted a conference on the future of missile defense featuring Vice Admiral Jon Hill, Director of the Missile Defense Agency. Watch the full conversation here ([link removed]) .


** Podcasts
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[link removed]
The Trade Guys discuss Senate Majority Mitch McConnell’s call for the president to resolve the U.S.-China trade war. Plus, there is talk of the administration limiting U.S. investment into China, a move that could have huge economic implications.

Listen on Apple Podcasts ([link removed]) and Spotify ([link removed]) .


** Smiles
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“I'll wait in this place where the sun never shines
Wait in this place where the shadows run from themselves”

It happened again. I was thinking just last week that Ginger Baker wasn’t going to be around much longer and then the news came on Sunday that the superstar rock drummer had passed away. I was thinking the same thing about my friend Art Neville just a few weeks before he died. I’m not clairvoyant, it’s just that some of my musical heroes are getting to a certain age and mileage. Baker was 80, but had logged so many more miles than his years indicate. If you watch the 2012 documentary “Beware of Mr. Baker,” or read Jay Bulger’s seminal 2009 Rolling Stone article “The Devil and Ginger Baker,” you’ll get a sense of Ginger’s millage.

Let’s start with this: Ginger Baker is widely recognized as having helped invent the rock drum solo. For me, he’s on the short list of all time great rock and roll drummers: John Bonham, Keith Moon, Ginger Baker, Stewart Copeland and Dave Grohl. I am sure there are a few others you can add to that list, but that’s my list. If you want to write me to discuss it, please do.

Here’s what I’ll say about Ginger Baker. It’s pretty hard to want to watch anything other than Eric Clapton or Jack Bruce in Cream but I always find myself wanting to look for Baker in old footage. And when listening to their influential music, it’s really Ginger’s drums that make it all work. It’s similar to watching or listening to Led Zeppelin—Jimmy Page and Robert Plant are the starts but it was really Bonzo’s band. Cream was Ginger’s band ([link removed]) .
I invite you to email me at [email protected] (mailto:[email protected]) and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz ([link removed])

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed with the External Relations team: Emma Colbran, Caleb Diamond, and Brad Honigberg.

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