Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
May 17, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict in Gaza Enters Second Week
The Israeli military continued to strike Gaza today as the worst conflict with Palestinian militant groups there since 2014 entered its second week (NYT).

Nearly two hundred people in Gaza have been killed (Haaretz), according to the territory’s health ministry. Ten people in Israel have been killed. On Saturday, Israeli forces drew condemnation from press-freedom groups for destroying a building (AP) that housed the Associated Press (AP), Al Jazeera, and other media outlets. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called the strike “perfectly legitimate,” alleging that the building was a base of intelligence operations for the Palestinian militant group Hamas. The AP said there was no indication Hamas was “in the building or active in the building.” Diplomatic efforts toward a cease-fire have yielded little so far (AP), and the United States continues to block a statement by the UN Security Council, which met yesterday. Meanwhile, China offered to host (SCMP) Israeli-Palestinian peace talks and criticized what it called U.S. “obstruction.”
Analysis
“Neither side is interested in having the United States broker a two-state solution. Hamas is dedicated to a one-state solution in which Israel does not exist; Netanyahu is committed to a three-state solution in which Hamas rules in Gaza and the Palestinian Authority presides over West Bank enclaves,” CFR’s Martin S. Indyk writes in Foreign Affairs. 

“Bipartisan support for Israel [in the United States] still endures, but analysts say the ground is perceptibly shifting. A new focus on Palestinian rights—as opposed to the long-deferred aim of Palestinian statehood—may mean more people will view the conflict through a clearer social justice frame,” the Washington Post’s Ishaan Tharoor writes.

CFR’s Steven A. Cook and James M. Lindsay discuss the turmoil on The President’s Inbox podcast.

Pacific Rim
Taiwan Raises Alert Level to Contain COVID-19 Outbreak
Taiwan, long praised for its pandemic response, raised its coronavirus alert (WaPo) to level three, the second-highest level, as it tries to contain a localized outbreak of COVID-19. Authorities placed restrictions on gatherings and ordered entertainment businesses to close.

South Korea: President Moon Jae-in said he will discuss a COVID-19 vaccine partnership (Yonhap) with the United States during a meeting with U.S. President Joe Biden in Washington on Friday.

South and Central Asia
Thousands in India Flee Homes Ahead of Cyclone
Tens of thousands of homes were evacuated (NYT) ahead of Cyclone Tauktae’s expected landfall in the Indian state of Gujarat. Heavy rains caused at least six deaths in states along India’s west coast.

Myanmar: The UN General Assembly will consider a nonbinding resolution tomorrow calling for an arms embargo (AFP) on Myanmar’s military junta. Forty-eight countries have cosponsored the resolution.

Middle East and North Africa
Hard-Line Head of Iran’s Judiciary Registers Run for President
Ebrahim Raisi, a hard-line cleric who heads Iran’s judiciary and is close with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, was among the final candidates to register (RFE/RL) for next month’s presidential election. Iran’s Guardian Council will vet the candidates and announce a final list next week.

This article explains who holds power in Iran.
This Day in History: May 17, 1983
Israel and Lebanon sign a security agreement intending to lead to a withdrawal of Israeli troops from Lebanon. The agreement additionally calls for continuing Israeli involvement in policing the country’s southern region.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Ethiopia Again Delays National Elections
The Ethiopian government said national elections scheduled for June 5 will be delayed (Al Jazeera), citing logistical issues. Several opposition parties had planned to boycott the vote, which would have been held amid the ongoing conflict in the Tigray region. The vote was first delayed last August due to the pandemic.

CFR’s Michelle Gavin argues that peace in Ethiopia requires domestic reconciliation.

Sudan: Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok and other top officials will discuss debt relief for, and investment in, Sudan (Dabanga) during a conference in Paris with representatives from the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, and Paris Club. Sudan is emerging from diplomatic isolation after it was removed from a U.S. list of state sponsors of terrorism last year.

Europe
Blinken Begins Arctic Trip
U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken is set to meet with Danish leaders today as he kicks off a trip that will include a meeting of the Arctic Council (RFE/RL) and his first face-to-face meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov since joining the Biden administration. In addition to the United States and Russia, the Arctic Council comprises Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden.

This In Brief explains rising competition in the Arctic.

Russia: Russia designated the United States and the Czech Republic as “unfriendly states” (Politico) and placed restrictions on hiring local staff for both countries’ embassies. European Council President Charles Michel called Russia’s move an “escalatory step” that undermined diplomatic relations.

Americas
Chileans Reject Political Parties in Constitutional Convention Vote
In elections held over the weekend, voters in Chile mostly chose independent delegates (MercoPress) to represent them in the body that will rewrite the country’s dictatorship-era constitution. The ruling center-right coalition failed to win at least one-third of the seats, making it unable to block proposals (Reuters), which require a two-thirds majority to be approved.

Colombia: The government is in talks with protesters (AFP) as demonstrations against inequality and police brutality continue across the country for the third week straight. At least forty-two people have been killed in violent confrontations with police.

United States
Hundreds of Homes in California Evacuated Due to Fire
A brush fire in southern California forced the evacuation (NYT) of more than five hundred homes, according to the Los Angeles County Fire Department. The cause of the fire was deemed suspicious.
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