Dear John,
The impeachment process is picking up. Devastating new details emerge every day, and Donald Trump's behavior has become increasingly unhinged as a result. But we can’t let his outrageous lies distract us from the clear fact pattern. Donald Trump will almost certainly be impeached in the House, possibly as soon as Thanksgiving. The odds are rising that he’ll be convicted in the Senate.
There are only two questions at stake, and the answers to both are becoming more obvious to more Americans every day.
The first is whether asking a foreign power to dig up dirt on a political opponent is an impeachable offense. The answer is indubitably yes. The second question is whether Trump did this. The answer is also an unqualified yes. In the published version of his phone conversation with Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Trump asks for the “favor” of digging up dirt on Joe Biden.
Everything Trump has tried to do to divert attention from these two facts is further undermining his case and his credibility.
He’s been acting like the spoiled child who gets caught with his hand in the proverbial cookie jar – denying his hand was there, blaming the person who caught him, blaming the cookie jar, blaming the cookie, throwing a tantrum, daring his parents to do anything about it.
House Democrats will vote to impeach, but will Senate Republicans vote to convict? Until now that seemed implausible. If the vote was held in secret, reports say at least 30 Republican senators would vote to impeach. And Trump is already losing the support of responsible Senate Republicans like Mitt Romney, Ben Sasse, and Richard Burr.
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