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RAND research and commentary on the issues that matter most
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Apr 1, 2021
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Photo by Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
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Terrorism and ideologically inspired violence represent a persistent, serious threat to national security. On January 6, Americans watched this threat become a reality in the deadly attacks on the U.S. Capitol.
Why do individuals join extremist organizations? How do they become radicalized? And what could lead them to eventually leave such groups?
To help answer these questions, RAND researchers interviewed former extremists and their family members, representing 32 unique stories of 24 white supremacists and eight Islamic extremists. Here are just a few of the key takeaways:
- Negative life events—abuse or trauma, family problems, bullying—may be part of radicalization. But they are never the sole cause.
- When recruiting new members, radical groups leverage psychological vulnerabilities—for example, by using cognitive strategies to reinforce hatred toward people outside the group.
- Media literacy and access to diverse sources of information appear to be critical for deradicalization. And experiences with diversity could help, too: Exposing radicalized individuals to people outside the group who exhibit kindness and generosity have shown positive effects.
The insights gleaned from these interviews helped RAND researchers develop recommendations to prevent radicalization and promote deradicalization. The findings also emphasize the importance of incorporating the voices of individuals who have personal experience with radical ideology into U.S. efforts to counter violent extremism. Read more »
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The Ever Given, one of the world's largest container ships, after it ran aground in the Suez Canal, March 28, 2021. Photo by Suez Canal Authority/Handout via Reuters
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A massive container ship blocked the Suez Canal for six days before finally being dislodged on Monday. The incident is a reminder of the “fragility of maritime lifelines,” says RAND's Scott Savitz. And although it was an accident, there is a long history of intentionally grounding vessels, a tactic known as “blockships.” With new technologies, such as unmanned ships and cyber warfare, blockship strategies have become even more effective—and potentially more dangerous, says Savitz. Read more »
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A traffic jam in Orange County, California. Photo by MCCAIG/Getty Images
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The gas tax no longer suffices to pay for America's roads and bridges; it hasn't kept up with inflation, and cars are becoming more and more fuel-efficient. What if the gas tax was replaced by a federal vehicle miles traveled fee, or VMT, that charges motorists based on how far they drive? Like any new tax, a VMT fee would be unpopular. But according to RAND's Liisa Ecola and Laura Patton, the main obstacles—privacy concerns, fear of double taxation, and political will—can be overcome. Read more »
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People holding mobile devices in front of a screen projected with a binary code and a Russian flag, in Zenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina, October 29, 2014. Photo by Dado Ruvic/Reuters
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During future U.S. elections, Russia may try again to manipulate and divide voters using social media. In a new study, RAND researchers conducted focus groups to find out whether public service announcements could prevent foreign disinformation from taking hold. Participants were first shown Russian-made memes designed to breed conflict; most mistakenly assumed that this content came from Americans. Then, they were shown a PSA about foreign election interference. Most participants responded positively, especially after learning that the memes they viewed came from Russia. Read more »
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A Venezuelan refugee with his daughter on his shoulders asks for help at a traffic light in Medellin, Colombia, February 11, 2019. Photo by David Himbert/Hans Lucas via Reuters Connect
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Colombia recently announced it will give temporary protection status to a million undocumented Venezuelan refugees. Refugees will be permitted to work legally for 10 years while contributing to the tax base that funds social services. RAND experts say this approach benefits both the refugees and the host country. And by giving refugees a reprieve to earn a living, “Colombia is promoting economic inclusion in the face of a persistent global problem.” Read more »
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Photo by A1C Kathryn R.C. Reaves/U.S. Air Force
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Fear of retaliation is often identified as a barrier to reporting sexual assault in the U.S. military. But little is known about the predictors of such retaliation. A new RAND report helps to fill this gap, documenting factors that may increase the risk for perceived professional and social retaliation against U.S. service women who have been sexually assaulted. Among the key findings: Perceived professional retaliation was a higher risk when the perpetrator had authority over the assault survivor via the chain of command. Read more »
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