Dear John,

Today, the Fraser Institute released a new study, Lessons for the Ford Government from the 1995 Federal Budget [[link removed]].

This study finds that Ontario’s provincial net debt will equal 47 per cent of the provincial economy by the end of this year and highlights how the current government can return to budget balance following the example of the 1995 Chrétien government reforms.

Below is the news release and accompanying infographic. Please share with your colleagues and friends.

Best,

Niels

Niels Veldhuis | President

The Fraser Institute

401 – 1491 Yonge Street, Toronto, ON M4T 1Z4

Ontario government debt will reach 47 per cent of the economy (GDP) this year, requiring immediate action

TORONTO—Ontario’s net debt (total government debt minus financial assets) will equal 47 per cent of the provincial economy by the end of this fiscal year, finds a new study released today by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan, Canadian public policy think-tank.

“If the Ford government wants to work towards eliminating the province’s historically large deficits, it must address the spending side of the ledger,” said Steve Lafleur, a Fraser Institute senior policy analyst and co-author of Lessons for the Ford Government from the 1995 Federal Budget [[link removed]].

For example, to return to budget balance—without increasing tax revenue beyond current projections—the Ontario government must reduce annual spending by 3 per cent of GDP.

While this would require sizeable spending reductions, there are historical precedents for spending-focused deficit elimination efforts of this size. In fact, the Chrétien government’s 1995 federal budget reduced annual spending by 4.6 per cent to eliminate the federal deficit in only two years.

“The 1995 Chrétien reforms included a rigorous review of federal programs that helped determine the appropriate role of government in delivering services and resulted in broad spending reductions,” said Ben Eisen, senior fellow at the Fraser Institute and study co-author.

“The Ontario government has an opportunity to change course in its third budget, just like the Chrétien government did in its second budget 25 years ago,” Lafleur said.

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