BLACK REPUBLICAN BLOG

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Impeachment Coup Analytics: The Democrats have exhausted every other
mechanism for destroying Trump-and they are running out of time before
November 2020 election.

Posted: 30 Sep 2019 08:12 AM PDT
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By Victor Davis Hanson | American Greatness


Aside from the emotional issue that Democrats, NeverTrumpers, and
celebrities loathe Donald Trump, recently Representative Al Green (D-Texas)
reminded us why the Democrats are trying to impeach the president rather
than just defeat him in the 2020 general election.

“To defeat him at the polls would do history a disservice, would do our
nation a disservice,” Green said. “I’m concerned that if we don’t impeach
the president, he will get re-elected.”

Translated, that means Green accepts either that Trump’s record is too
formidable or that the agendas of his own party’s presidential candidates
are too frightening for the American people to elect one of them. And that
possibility is simply not permissible. Thus, impeachment is the only
mechanism left to abort an eight-year Trump presidency—on a purely partisan
vote to preclude an election, and thus contrary to the outlines of
impeachment as set out by the Constitution.

Consider it another way: Why is it that the House is controlled by
Democrats, yet its leadership is not pushing through any of the policy
proposals voiced so openly on the Democratic primary stage?

Why aren’t progressive representatives introducing bills to pay reparations
to African Americans, to legalize infanticide in some cases of late-term
abortion, to offer free medical care to illegal aliens, to confiscate
AR-15s, to extend Medicare for all, to impose a wealth tax and raise top
rates to between 70 and 90 percent, to abolish student debt and ensure free
college for all, or to grant blanket amnesty to those currently living in
the country illegally?

Simple answer: none of those issues poll anywhere near 50 percent approval.
And no Democratic candidate would expect to beat Trump as the emissary of
such an agenda.

If the economy was in a recession, if we were embroiled in another
Iraq-like or Vietnam-sort of war, and if Trump’s polls were below 40
percent, then the Democrats would just wait 13 months and defeat him at the
polls.

But without a viable agenda and because they doubt they can stop Trump’s
reelection bid, they feel they have no recourse but to impeach. If Trump
were to be reelected, not a shred of Barack Obama’s “fundamental
transformation” would be left, and the strict constructionist Supreme Court
would haunt progressives for a quarter-century.

Why Impeachment Now?
The Democrats have exhausted every other mechanism for destroying Trump—and
they are running out of time before November 2020 election.

Think of what we have witnessed since the 2016 election. Do we even
remember charges that voting machines in the 2016 election were rigged, and
the efforts to subvert Electoral College voting, or to invoke the Logan
Act, the emoluments clause, and the 25th Amendment?

The “collusion” and “obstruction” fantasies of the Mueller investigation
now seem like ancient history. So do the James Comey leaks, the palace coup
of Andrew McCabe, the Trump tax records, the celebrity rhetoric about
blowing up, shooting, stabbing, burning and variously killing off the
president of the United States—along with the satellite frenzies of Stormy
Daniels, Michael Avenatti, Charlottesville, Jussie Smollett, the Covington
Kids, and the Kavanaugh hearings.

What is left but to try the new “Ukraine collusion”—especially given three
other considerations?

First, volatile and always changing polls appearing to favor impeachment
roughly reflect Trump’s own popularity (or lack of same). Around 45-46
percent of Americans do not want him impeached and about the same or
slightly more say they do.

Second, the hard left-wing of the party might not yet control all the
Democrats, but it does not matter because they are clearly younger, more
energized, and better organized. And they want something to show for all
their social media and photo-op grandstanding, given their socialist agenda
is mysteriously moribund.

Third, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is said to oppose impeachment
on pragmatic grounds, but I am not sure that is right. It’s the equivalent
of saying Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) was opposed to the
progressive character assassination of Brett Kavanaugh. Neither is or was
true.

A better description would be that Pelosi and Feinstein simply go along
with the perceived 51-plus percent surge of their party, and sit back
gleefully watching the fireworks happen, willing to jump in or pull back
depending on the atmospherics and polling. Impeachment, remember, will make
the Kavanaugh hearings look like a seminar on etiquette, and so everything
and anything can happen once dozens of unhinged leftists are unbound.

Be prepared for a half-dozen Christine Blasey Ford-type witnesses to pop
up, and 20 or so unhinged Cory Booker-esque “I am Spartacus” performance
acts, along with a whole slew of new Steele dossiers—all interspersed with
breathless CNN bulletins announcing new fake news developments with “the
walls are closing in” and “the end is near” prognostications. Rep. Adam
Schiff (D-Calif.) is already reading fantasies to the House Intelligence
Committee and passing them off as the text of Trump’s phone call to
Ukraine’s new president. Only after he was called on such absurdities did
he describe his performance as a parody.

Facts Won’t Matter that Much
The Left is hellbent on impeachment and the absence of a case won’t matter.
They do not care if they will sow the wind and reap the whirlwind.

In the coming days, after all, we will probably learn that the
whistleblower’s “Schiff dossier” was prepared by ex-Lawfare-type lawyers in
service to House Democrats, who just needed a vessel to pass off the hit as
a genuine cry of the heart, rather than a scripted attack with all the
Steele dossier/Mueller report/Comey memo fingerprints: classification
obfuscations, footnotes to liberal media hit pieces, pseudo-scholarly
references to court cases, and lawsuit-avoiding, preemptive disclaimers
about not actually possessing firsthand knowledge of any of the evidence,
prepped hearsay, supposition, and the subjunctive and optative mood
composition.

In a sane world, the impeachers would worry their charges that Trump forced
Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky to investigate his possible 2020
Democratic opponent Joe Biden might boomerang. After all, Trump never
actually cut off Ukrainian aid. Nor did he outline a quid pro quo deal.
Essentially he is accused of unduly asking a foreign president to clamp
down on corruption in his midst going back to 2016. So what? Especially if
there is something more to the strange antics of Hunter Biden and
CrowdStrike.

Biden’s problems are not such thought crimes, but are confirmed by his own
boasting: that he used the clout of the United States to help his own
family financially, by threatening to cut off U.S. aid unless a Ukrainian
state prosecutor looking into his own son’s suspicious lobbying was fired
within six hours. And in Biden’s own words, “Son of a bitch,” he was fired.

In contrast, Trump might have been all over the map in his call, but he
kept the aid to Ukraine coming without demanding the scalp of any Ukrainian
official. In some sense, Trump’s culpability boils down to one issue:
progressives believe that in not-too-veiled a manner, he threatened a
foreign government to start going after the Biden family without cause,
whose patriarch Joe might be Trump’s 2020 election opponent.

The other half of the country believes that what is material is not Biden’s
current transient electoral status (he is not now and may not be the
Democratic nominee), but the fact that he was vice president of the United
States when he used his office to threaten the loss of foreign aid to stop
investigations of his son, who was using his father’s position to further
his own profiteering.

Given that Trump denies any quid pro quo and his call supports that fact,
while Biden, on the other hand, openly brags that he made threats which
made the Ukrainian to cave (“in six hours”), one can draw one’s own
conclusions.

For now, we await more documents—with caveats that the canny Ukrainians,
for their own self-interest, will predicate their release of information on
the likelihood of which party will win the 2020 election.

The Left hints it has lots of incriminating documents outlining a quid pro
quo threat; conservatives suspect that Ukrainian and legal documents will
show the prosecutor was neither unethical nor uninterested in Hunter Biden,
but was fired precisely because he was not corrupt and very much concerned
with Biden.

As far as precedent, there is a good recent example. Barack Obama got
caught promising to consider cuts in Eastern-European-based missile defense
if Vladimir Putin would give him some room during his reelection campaign.

Translated into Adam Schiff’s Mafiosi parody lingo: Putin would calm down
on the international stage to make the U.S.-Russia “reset” look good, Obama
would then get rid of Eastern-European missile defense, and Obama would get
reelected in 2012.

And all three of those events transpired as planned—one can surmise whether
any of the three would have happened without Obama compliance with Russian
conditions. Remember, Obama’s quid pro quo was caught on a hot mic on the
premise that what he said to Russian President Medvedev was never supposed
to be heard. “On all these issues, but particularly missile defense, this
can be solved,” Obama said. “But it’s important for him [Putin] to give me
space . . . This is my last election. After my election I have more
flexibility.”

Once that understanding was excused, and the media was mute about such
collusion, can any notion of collusion as a crime still exist?

Conspiracy Theories
Finally, who are the winners in these impeachment psychodramas, both
short-term and long-term?

Short-term, Trump may lose traction due to the media frenzy. He lost some
of his ongoing momentum that had recently seen his polls steadily creeping
up. He gave a fine speech at the United Nations and sounded presidential in
his talks with foreign leaders—all overshadowed or now forgotten due to the
impeachment psychodrama.

Trump’s critics have become emboldened, Left and Right. The Drudge Report
has flip-flopped and is as anti-Trump as Vox or Slate. Many at National
Review call for or anticipate impeachment without much regret. Likewise,
some at Fox News—Shepard Smith, Andrew Napolitano, and Chris Wallace—are
nonstop critics of Trump and hardly disguise their contempt.

The leftist media is on uppers, and completely ecstatic in moth-to-flame
fashion, as if it were May 2017 again and Trump’s demise was a day away.

Because Joe Biden faces far more legal exposure than Trump, he is mentioned
(if even to contextualize and exonerate him) in every news account of
Ukraine. Whether or not Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) or her erstwhile
henchwoman, Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), was behind this gambit, does not
matter. (Nothing much from either one had worked to slow down Biden in the
last six months). Biden is simply not physically or mentally up to a year
of cross-examination. And Hunter Biden is more unsteady than Joe and will
thus be hard to locate.

We are starting to see the outlines of a progressive fantasy on the
horizon: Biden will be sacrificed. The party will unite around Warren. The
left-wing media narrative will be, “We took out one of our own, now it is
your turn to depose Trump.” Chaos overload for two or three weeks might
keep Trump’s polling low.

Long-term, however, Trump wins.

We still have a number of government audits coming from Michael Horowitz,
John Durham, and John Huber—and the targets are not Trump. The Senate will
not convict the president under any foreseeable circumstances. The full
story of the whistleblower has not been told, but there are a lot of
narratives to come about the sudden rules allowing hearsay, DNC
involvement, and who knew far in advance about the complainant’s writ. Once
the Democratic debates continue, the candidates’ screaming and hysterics
return, and the impeachment hearings descend into a Kavanaugh-esque farce,
the public will begin to get scared again by the Left’s shrieking Jacobins.
Schiff’s “parody” is a small foretaste of what’s to come. Voters soon will
surmise that the only thing between their 401k plans and socialism is
Donald J. Trump.

Warren or her possible facsimile is a weaker candidate than even the
enfeebled Biden. Her lack of viability will be of enormous advantage in
NeverHillary-fashion to Trump. His fundraising, already ascendant, will hit
the stratosphere. The idea that the new and old NeverTrumpers will be on
the side of socialism will finally discredit them. Wall Street and Silicon
Valley will keep trashing Trump, but privately write checks to stop
Warren’s wealth tax that would be only the beginning of her Venezuelization
of America.

So if Trump’s health holds out, if we don’t have a recession, if there is
not an optional war, and Trump endures the next few weeks of 360-degree,
24/7 targeting, 2020 will be far more favorable than ever imaginable for
him.


Victor Davis Hanson is an American military historian, columnist, former
classics professor, and scholar of ancient warfare. He was a professor of
classics at California State University, Fresno, and is currently the
Martin and Illie Anderson Senior Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover
Institution. He has been a visiting professor at Hillsdale College since
2004.
[link removed]


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Adam Schiff Received the Whistleblower Complaint a Month Ago and Didn't
Report It Until Now, Why?

Posted: 30 Sep 2019 06:48 AM PDT
[link removed]


By Katie Pavlich | Townhall


Source: (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)
As Democrats move full speed ahead with their impeachment efforts and false
claims of "collusion" or election meddling, holes continue to be blown
through their allegations.
The full whistleblower complaint against President Trump's alleged behavior
during a phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was
released. The call took place in July, but the date on the letter and who
it was sent to are raising questions.
The complaint is in fact dated August 12. It was sent to House Intelligence
Committee Chairman Adam Schiff in addition to Senate Intelligence Committee
Chairman Richard Burr. The news of the complaint didn't break until last
weekend.



Two weeks ago and just before this news broke, the Department of Justice
Inspector General announced he has completed the investigation in FISA
abuse and the origins of the Russia investigation. I'm sure the timing is
coincidental.
In the meantime, President Trump has called on Schiff to resign and be
investigated.
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Donald J. Trump✔@realDonaldTrump

Rep. Adam Schiff totally made up my conversation with Ukraine President and
read it to Congress and Millions. He must resign and be investigated. He
has been doing this for two years. He is a sick man!
-----
Recommended:Oh, Brother: Schiff Admits There Was No Quid Pro Quo But Still
Believes In Impeachment
Katie Pavlich's Latest Books, Assault and Flattery: The Truth About the
Left and Their War on Women and Fast and Furious: Barack Obama's Bloodiest
Scandal and the Shameless Cover-Up are available on Amazon
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