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As US surpasses 500,000 COVID deaths, experts reflect on what could have been
Early last February, a Californian became the first American to die from COVID-19. At the time, testing was barely available, and it would take months for authorities to determine why the person had died.

Just over a year later, the United States has now reached a calamitous milestone that crystallizes a year of grief and aguish: 500,000 lives lost to COVID-19.

Some early models of the pandemic projected that as many as 2 million Americans would die without public health intervention, and others that as few as 100,000 would die if the United States imposed serious mitigation strategies. The country’s actual death count, falling firmly in the middle of these estimates, may not represent a worst-case scenario. But the scale of human loss stands as an indictment of a series of fatal policy missteps, experts said.

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