Council on Foreign Relations
Daily News Brief
January 22, 2021
Top of the Agenda
Russia Welcomes Biden’s Proposal to Extend New START
The United States and Russia could salvage the New START treaty, their last remaining nuclear arms control agreement, which is set to expire on February 5. U.S. President Joe Biden proposed extending (AP) the treaty for five years. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s spokesperson said Russia welcomes the idea but is waiting to see the details of the proposal. Separately, a global treaty banning nuclear weapons enters into force today (Guardian), though none of the world’s nuclear powers has signed it.
 
Nuclear arms control is one of several issues that the Biden administration plans to focus on in its approach to Russia. Officials told the Washington Post that Biden plans to order Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines to assess Russia’s alleged interference in the 2020 election, use of a nerve agent on a prominent dissident, and bounties on U.S. troops in Afghanistan. Biden will also seek more information about the massive cyber breach of U.S. agencies, which officials believe Russia carried out.
Analysis
“Extending New START would demonstrate that the world’s powers are capable of working together to reduce shared threats. Letting it go would be a chilling sign of just how dangerous the world has become,” Russian Ambassador to the United States Anatoly Antonov and Stanford University’s Rose Gottemoeller write in Foreign Affairs.
 
“[The extension will likely be] the first and last success for Biden’s arms control agenda,” the Atlantic Council’s Matthew Kroenig tells Vox. “It will be hard to get Russia to agree to anything else for five years.”
 
CFR’s Why It Matters podcast examines Russia’s global influence.

Pacific Rim
Google Threatens to Cut Off Search in Australia
Google warned that it could disable its search engine (SMH) in Australia if Parliament approves the government’s proposal to force digital platforms to pay media companies for news content. Lawmakers are expected to vote on the bill early this year.

Japan: Nearly six months until the Olympic Games are set to begin in Japan, officials denied reports (Kyodo) that the already postponed Games would be canceled due to COVID-19.

South and Central Asia
Mongolian Prime Minister Resigns
Prime Minister Khurelsukh Ukhnaa resigned and submitted a proposal (Bloomberg) to dissolve his government, a day after protests in the capital of Ulaanbaatar against the government’s COVID-19 measures. Protests erupted after a video went viral showing a mother being hastily discharged from a maternity hospital because she tested positive for COVID-19.

India: The government has in recent days shipped more than three million free doses of (WaPo) COVID-19 vaccines to neighboring countries, including Bangladesh, the Maldives, and Nepal. It plans to ship more to other nations. India started vaccinating its own population last weekend.

This CFR In Brief examines the global COVID-19 vaccine rollout so far.

Middle East and North Africa
Islamic State Claims Responsibility for Baghdad Bombing
The self-proclaimed Islamic State said it was responsible for a suicide bombing (Al Jazeera) in the Iraqi capital yesterday that killed more than thirty people and injured over one hundred. It was Iraq’s deadliest suicide bombing in nearly three years.

Israel/Syria: Syrian state media reported that Israeli air strikes in the region of Hama killed four people (Reuters). In recent years, Israel has launched hundreds of air strikes in Syria against suspected Iranian military deployments.

Sub-Saharan Africa
CAR Declares State of Emergency
The Central African Republic will enter a fifteen-day state of emergency (AFP) as armed rebels try to blockade the capital of Bangui. Rebel groups have recently increased violence in a bid to oust President Faustin-Archange Touadera, who was reelected in December.

South Africa: The country will have to pay nearly 2.5 times more (Guardian) than most European nations for the Oxford-AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine, South Africa’s health ministry said. South Africa, hit hard by the coronavirus, has ordered more than one million shots that will cost $5.25 each, a health official said. AstraZeneca did not immediately confirm the price.

Europe
Hungary Is First EU Nation to Approve Russia’s COVID-19 Vaccine
It became the first European Union country to approve the Russian COVID-19 vaccine (FT) known as Sputnik V, said Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s chief of staff, Gergely Gulyas. Gulyas criticized the EU vaccine program as being too slow.

Americas
Honduran Migrants Plan Protest After Caravan Is Blocked
Honduran migrants whom Guatemalan authorities blocked from caravanning toward the United States plan to march today (Reuters) against the Honduran government in the capital, Tegucigalpa. Guatemalan authorities returned more than four thousand Hondurans to their country this week.
 
Canada: The country’s governor general, Julie Payette, and her secretary both resigned (CBC) after an independent consulting firm found that they created a toxic work environment. The governor general is largely a ceremonial position.

United States
Biden to Sign Executive Orders Aimed at Economic Crisis
President Biden plans to sign an executive order (NYT) today that will increase federal food assistance to low-income families. He will also sign an executive order to lay the groundwork for increasing the minimum wage for federal employees to $15 an hour, and he will direct the Treasury Department to help deliver stimulus checks to millions of eligible people who haven’t received the funds yet.

This CFR Backgrounder looks at how COVID-19 hurts state and city budgets.
Friday Editor’s Pick
GQ explains how UN detectives finally closed in on Felicien Kabuga, an architect of the Rwandan genocide, after a decades-long manhunt.
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