Welcome back to the Data for Progress newsletter, your weekly update on our research, blog posts, and memos.
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With extreme levels of polarization and President Trump’s cult-like following, it may seem like nothing can change peoples’ minds about our president. But our polling finds that Trump’s incitement of terrorism at the Capitol last week has made a significant dent in his standing with voters — especially with Republicans and Independents.
Our polling finds that nearly two-thirds of voters think Trump is responsible for the violence at the Capitol. And in a new blog post on Wednesday, we show that Trump’s approval rating among Republicans has dropped from a +74 margin to +60 over the past week and a half. The drop was even more severe for Independents, plunging from -7 net approval to -27.
Our survey — conducted on January 9-10 — also found majority support (53 percent) for impeaching Trump, meaning Wednesday’s impeachment was not only the right thing but the popular thing to do.
Ok, well that’s the positive angle of these results. The pessimistic angle is that four in five Republican voters don’t think Trump should have been impeached. Even more concerningly, our polling shared in Vox shows that 49 percent of Republican voters don’t trust the election results and don’t think Biden should be inaugurated.
Here are some more unsettling results compiled by Waleed Shahid:
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