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**JANUARY 4, 2021**

Kuttner on TAP

Is This the Republican Crack-Up?

****

Many on the progressive side are fairly slavering at the spectacle of
Republicans performing a masochistic ritual usually reserved for
Democrats-the circular firing squad.

In one ring of the circus, Trump will speak at a Georgia rally tonight.
His narcissistic words, on net, are more likely to dissuade voters from
coming out to back the two GOP candidates, on whose success Senate
control hinges, than to increase their support.

Then tomorrow, as a sequel, Senate Republicans will fracture bitterly
and publicly over an Electoral College challenge that is purely for
show.

So, will the GOP, as an unstable coalition of diehard ethno-nationalists
and mainstream corporations, finally begin flying apart, amid personal
rivalries to succeed Trump and the new stresses on hidden fissures?

I would not bet the farm on it. The long-term infrastructure, including
the Koch brothers, and the improbable coalition between the business
elite and the gun-toting, God-loving party base, is all too intact. Once
Biden is elected, the Republicans will revert to their unified
opposition to anything the Democrats propose.

We've been publishing pieces prematurely heralding the coming
conservative crack-up (a cover line more than 20 years ago) almost as
long as the

**Prospect** has been publishing.

The crack-up was going to be based on a combination of inexorable
demographic changes plus the contradictions in the Republican coalition.

Sorry, but that is not going to happen anytime soon. As 2020 showed, the
American ethnic patchwork quilt does not vote as a progressive bloc.

If we ever beat these people, it will depend mostly on what our side
does right, not on their missteps or mishaps.

~ ROBERT KUTTNER

Follow Robert Kuttner on Twitter

Robert Kuttner's latest book is
The Stakes: 2020 and the Survival of American Democracy
.

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