Daily News Brief
December 4, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
U.S. Director of National Intelligence: China Is the Greatest Security Threat
In a Wall Street Journal op-ed, U.S. Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe said China is the biggest threat to the United States and to freedom and democracy around the world. 

Ratcliffe’s broadside comes as the Donald J. Trump administration continues to put pressure on Beijing. The administration yesterday tightened visa rules (WaPo) for members of the Chinese Communist Party and added more companies (Reuters) to a blacklist of firms with alleged ties to China’s military. In his op-ed, Ratcliffe said China is trying to achieve economic, military, and technological dominance by stealing American intellectual property and supplanting U.S. companies—an approach he called “rob, replicate, and replace.” He also warned of China’s growing cyber capabilities and efforts to influence U.S. lawmakers, as well as threats posed by Chinese tech firms such as the telecommunications giant Huawei.
Analysis
“The United States can craft a strategy that much more effectively deters China’s most problematic behavior. But to do so, Washington must endeavor to upend Chinese leaders’ assumption that the United States is inexorably declining,” CFR’s Julian Gewirtz writes in Foreign Affairs.

“The arrival of an external competitor has often pushed the United States to become its best self; handled judiciously, it can once again,” Kurt M. Campbell and Rush Doshi write in Foreign Affairs

CFR’s Elizabeth C. Economy and Adam Segal discuss how President-Elect Joe Biden could approach China on The President’s Inbox podcast.

Pacific Rim
Tokyo Olympics Postponement Could Cost Billions
The cost of delaying the Tokyo Olympics due to the pandemic could reach $2.8 billion (AP), according to figures released by the organizing committee. The games are set to open next summer.

This CFR Backgrounder explains the economics of hosting the Olympic Games.

South and Central Asia
Bangladesh Begins Moving Rohingya Refugees to Remote Island
Bangladesh started moving Rohingya families (Guardian) from camps near its border with Myanmar to a settlement on a remote island, despite opposition from rights groups who say the move was done without Rohingya refugees’ consent. More than 1,600 refugees set sail today.

India: The Ministry of External Affairs summoned Canada’s high commissioner to India over comments Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made in support of farmers (Scroll) protesting agricultural reform laws in New Delhi, calling it an “unacceptable interference” in India’s affairs. Another round of talks between farmers and the Indian government is scheduled for tomorrow.

Middle East and North Africa
Qatari Foreign Minister Announces Progress in Gulf States’ Dispute
Qatar’s foreign minister said there has been progress (Al Jazeera) toward resolving the yearslong diplomatic row that led Bahrain, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates to boycott Qatar. His comments follow reports that Saudi Arabia and Qatar are nearing a U.S.-brokered agreement (Bloomberg)

Iran: Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said a law passed by parliament to stop UN inspections of Iran’s nuclear sites and boost uranium enrichment would not be implemented (RFE/RL) if sanctions on Tehran are lifted and the United States and other signatories to the 2015 nuclear deal return to compliance with the agreement.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Ghana Nears Presidential Election
Ghanaians will vote on Monday (AFP) in a presidential election dominated by incumbent President Nana Akufo-Addo and his predecessor, John Dramani Mahama. Ten other candidates, including three women, are also running.

Ethiopia: Thousands of federal troops have been killed (AP) during the conflict in Tigray, a regional government official said. A communications blockade makes it difficult to verify such figures. Federal forces yesterday prevented people (AP) in Tigray from fleeing to neighboring Sudan, Sudanese forces said.

Europe
More Than Five Thousand Killed in Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict
Nearly 2,800 Azerbaijani soldiers died in the conflict with Armenia (BBC) over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, Azerbaijani officials said in the first official announcement of the country’s casualties. Armenian officials said last month that they had counted at least 2,425 deaths on their side.

Germany: The U.S. Congress moved to block (WSJ) President Trump’s decision to reduce troop levels in the country. A provision in the annual defense funding bill will defer a decision until after President-Elect Biden takes office.

Americas
U.S. Reportedly in Talks to Drop Charges Against Huawei’s CFO
The United States is discussing a deal with Meng Wanzhou, Huawei’s chief financial officer, that would allow her to leave Canada after awaiting extradition to the United States for two years, the Wall Street Journal and Washington Post report. Meng would have to admit wrongdoing, but the wire and bank fraud charges against her would be deferred or dropped.

This CFR Backgrounder looks at Huawei, China’s controversial tech giant.

Venezuela: The country will elect a new National Assembly (WaPo) on Sunday, but Juan Guaido, the U.S.-recognized Venezuelan leader, will not appear on the ballot because he is boycotting the elections. In the absence of the opposition, President Nicolas Maduro’s supporters are expected to gain control of the body.

United States
Top Military Official: U.S. Should Reconsider Permanent Overseas Deployments
The military’s top official, General Mark A. Milley, said the United States should reconsider its long-standing policy of permanently stationing troops (AP) in allied countries such as Bahrain and South Korea. Milley said the practice is expensive and places military families at risk. He recommended rotational or “episodic” deployments instead.
Friday Editor’s Pick
The Washington Post talks to the Harvard-trained lawyer leading the search for Mexico’s seventy-nine thousand disappeared.
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